Somehow I don't doubt that. After all, the idea that Donald Trump or Pete Hegesth have learned any of the lessons that resulted in us adopting rules of engagement in the first place are... slim.... Who cares if it has never worked ever before, we are strong powerful leaders and....
I'm afraid that, soon enough we will see the consequences of Trump's cabinet picking targets.
If what
@goates posted about Hegseth embracing the holy war aspect. Maybe he doesn’t know what Armageddon is per se but the citation of others in CIC mentioning it on a battalion and squad level support that he does and has been actively grooming service members for this eventuality—a fit with Donald’s reshaping of Pentagon leadership who MAGA no matter the command. Or he is simply falling to some crude interpretation of the old crusade rallying cries of Trump’s two gulf war predecessors. It’s hard to tell with such limited whistleblowing but extremely disconcerting.
On one hand, a small yield nuke would fulfill his remarks quite neatly, so perhaps they’re planning to fire off tactical nuclear devices in Iran say on hardened targets or just for effect, say in place of the slow process of sending in drones to deplete forces (or small groups of forces) again, doing so in ignorance that Japan didn’t submit because of the atom bombs. As uncomfortable for US warmongers to believe that Japan was already in process of surrendering they didn’t win WWII’s Pacific Campaign.
Any angle is uncomfortable here. It is turning into a regional conflagration quite fast, though I’ve now seen unconfirmed intelligence on just how quickly the Iranian launcher numbers have fallen since February 28th and am waiting to post them once confirmed.
Unsurprisingly the Intel shows that severe degradation is occurring as you’d expect after 1,000+ strikes by the USAF/IAF joint forces air strikes against air defense and offensive strike materiel would be, with air superiority looking likely today, ME time or tomorrow with the additional refueling tankers inbound for close air support and ATG attacks. Old playbook that’ll just set the country back hundreds of years without supporting a new government.
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In the “no plan” lamenting of many concerned people posting here and elsewhere, I’m thinking even more Delta and IDF joint operations for assassinating more Guardsmen or remaining leadership are on the table whether any of us like it or not, in addition to more naval strikes until there are none left to make. Escalation, following old doctrine, but not without risk. And seemingly without checks and balances for the time being.
Furthermore, many of the US Middle-Eastern bases have now had penetrations of their air defenses by munitions as unsophisticated as Shahed drones. Perhaps the saturation strikes will lose their efficacy before one of Iran’s other neighbors decides to send forces in? A greater conflagration is terrifying considering just how much of the ancient world still resides in shooting distance, and has actively tried to modernize away from this kind of blunder back to the Stone Age yet remain armed with US and Russian weaponry.
As of tonight I’m not thinking quagmire, just a humanitarian and environmental nightmare with tremendous loss of life and billions more wasted. Bonus round of a newly radicalized generation or two of Iranians.