Israel did sort of find peace with most of the neighbors. Honestly, I think the hostility between Iran and Israel is precisely because they cannot hurt each other too badly. It makes it easy to drum up the hate to distract the internal problems instead of sit down and negotiate. After years of leaning into the hate, both of them are backed into a hole.
War with...Iran?
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Israel did sort of find peace with most of the neighbors. Honestly, I think the hostility between Iran and Israel is precisely because they cannot hurt each other too badly. It makes it easy to drum up the hate to distract the internal problems instead of sit down and negotiate. After years of leaning into the hate, both of them are backed into a hole.
Speaking from experience on those supposed to be price insensitive items, Karolus is absolutely correct, while Megalodon is absolutely wrong.
Plastic and rubber price will absolutely reflect crude oil price, naphta price, refineries availability, and anything tangentially connected that can be used as an excuse for price increase. Resin price will usually rocket up or in free fall whenever there is any disturbance. And current situation is definitely a rocket up situation, going up 50% higher from end of February. There is no price guarantee right now, it's negotiated on the spot and paid in cash. The problem is the same as oil, there is no guarantee of when the replacement is coming. Importers are faced with canceled contract (which they have paid full in advance), and what they have is what they can sell for the foreseeable future.
Cheers, that's good to know. I think I didn't realize how much of the intermediate processing was happening in the gulf countries and also impacted by the shipping restrictions.
TPP was deeply unpopular with the broader public by the time she opposed it, though Clinton had to be basically bullied into opposing it -- it's exactly the kind of thing she would've advocated for. Broad trade deal, basic rules, etc etc, but there was a lot of concern about more offshoring, not enough teeth on the enforcement mechanisms, and so forth.
But yeah, Trump's certainly not a willing agent of China. He's a willing agent of Russia and unwilling one of China, he's just too stupid to see the latter. Culturally, to the degree that he has any, he's basically just a wannabe Central Asian republic strongman.
I think trump likes how Putin runs his country but accusing him of being a russian agent is pure BlueAnon
I think that's probably over-indexing on how much is sincere admiration, how much is willingly doing the bidding, and how much is kompromat, and how much of it is being a fucking idiot with competent regimes running circles around him. I don't think it's profitable to sweat those distinctions.
Not quite working. The forces that answer to the A-Sharaa regime have been butchering Alawites, Druz and Kurds since he took power. By the thousands
That depends on the relative cost of use and interception, anf how many the force that uses them has.
That's one of the unreliable polls. The Channel 14 poll I referred in another poll to even claims 34 seats for Likud.
Two more professional polls say 27, although the error margins are extremely high for all and the number of people polled very small for all.
Two of the parties new do not have any platform or a list of candidates, just the leader's named, so including them in a poll at all is laughable.
Which is a stupid response, of course.
Israel didn't have any way to carry out any widespread strikes against the IRGC bases and Basij (no bombers).
The parts of the TPP that allowed investors to sue countries in private courts if countries enacted laws that affected their profits (eg: restricting pollution) was corporate overreach that turned lots of folks against it. Me being one of them.
He may not be an agent, but at the bare minimum he’s an asset who is being played like Hendrix played his Stratocaster.
Sort of tangential, but "private courts" really just means arbitration, which is the standard for how international disputes are now settled. They level the playing field when, for example, a German company would have to go to a US court to sue a US company: the German company is less familiar with US law, and US judges may be biased toward the American company. On top of that, judges are unlikely to have the expertise to rule on narrow technical issues. Arbitration means you put together an expert panel specifically for a particular issue, with each side nominating some of the panel and the panel collectively choosing an independent judge to preside. Those arbitration rulings then get enforced by national courts around the world. It's really a fantastic system for handling complex issues, especially when you deal with very different legal systems that are more or less developed.
Again? Iran has already tried to assassinate him. Didn't go so well for the previous guy who was orchestrating this (and is no longer around). Probably won't go well for the new guy either. Question is if we need to remember his name or if he won't make it to the end of the week.
I keep seeing references to Iran attempting to assassinate Trump but don’t know the story. It seems unlikely, but is there a link I should read?
Also, the fatwa is not a joking matter. It requires all muslims to attend to this (at least to consider it) and promises a reward in heaven for anyone who carries it out. It elevates the threat to Trump up to almost the level of his cholesterol.
Also, the fatwa is not a joking matter. It requires all muslims to attend to this (at least to consider it) and promises a reward in heaven for anyone who carries it out. It elevates the threat to Trump up to almost the level of his cholesterol.
A Fatwa isn't an action of the Iranian state, it's a commandment to the faithful worldwide, to be undertaken by anyone who feels sufficiently motivated to do so.
It is, at the very least, a new permanent headache for the Secret Service.
There's seems to have been a recent trial of a Pakastani merchant who confused to being coerced into a scheme to assassinate Trump but was foiled well before he could attempt to carry it out. So, it seems there may actually be a there there.
No, that's actually OK and prevents companies and foreigners from being fleeced by arbitrary punishment laws. These courts are a VERY GOOD THING and prevent government overreach. It also doesn't prevent the enactment of restricting pollution laws. It gives foreign businesses a way to recoup (maybe, some) losses incurred through those laws. Which again, is a good thing. If you enact pollution laws, you better got some ass in that drivers seat and confirm that "yes indeed, these pollution laws are worth the expense".
It forces governments to good and high quality governance. Something that is sorely lacking in most countries at most of the times.
It's irrelevant and unsubstantiated fluff. It is also Iran's right and perogative to toy around with that idea since the US is doing the same to Iran since the declation of "The Axis of EvilTM". This shit cuts both ways, so come down from that high-horse.
In tribute to Country Joe
And it's one, two, three
What are we fighting for?
Don't ask me I don't give a damn
Next stop is in Iran.
And it's one, two, three
What are we fighting for?
Don't ask me I don't give a damn
Next stop is in Iran.
It would only be, most likely, Shiites sympathetic to the Iranian mullahs that would pay any attention to it whatsoever but that's still potentially a few million people
The last two lines should be:
Don't ask me I don't give a darn
Next stop is in Iran.
/pronunciation pedantry
Yeah, but the assassination of Khamenei means that's more people than it was last month.
He's more popular dead than he was alive, and not in the Margaret Thatcher kind of way.
First NATO response?
View: https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2030978426266407370?s=20
Launching missiles at a NATO country seems like a new level of stupid. But if they want another 30 countries striking back… sure. Let’s see how long Europe can choose not to be a part of it.
View: https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2030978426266407370?s=20
Launching missiles at a NATO country seems like a new level of stupid. But if they want another 30 countries striking back… sure. Let’s see how long Europe can choose not to be a part of it.
Given the Ayatollah, is Shia, I’m guessing Sunnis will ignore his fatwas.
What makes you think the rest of NATO would give a rip? It's likely Turkey would just complain a bit to keep up appearances and then call it a day.
The end result of Trump denigrating NATO for a year is that NATO doesn't really care if US bases gets hit or not.
US bases in the Middle East getting hit isn’t an attack on US soil. Turkey getting hit could trigger Section 5 if they called for mutual assistance.
There was this from 2024 (during the Biden administration):
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/25/nx-s...ut-irans-alleged-threats-to-assassinate-trump
I think it turned out to be this case:
https://www.justice.gov/archives/op...nd-related-charges-against-irgc-asset-and-two
It just means regarding Iran as an enemy is an issue that cuts across party lines. Netanyahu thinks he'll make himself more popular by doing something most Israelis want. He's probably right.
And once there are long breadlines for official "Trump Victory Bread" rations.
Europe has spent the last four years playing down Russian violations to avoid being dragged into Ukraine. I don't see there being more of an appetite for joining an American elective middle East escapade.
irrelevant fluff. NATO didn't care about dozens of Russian drones and Russian terrorist attacks within NATO countries. Why should an errant ballastic missile mov the needle?
Yeah this. If someone is able to manipulate him, it barely matters how they're doing it; he becomes their tool. Trump is notoriously susceptible to flattery and bribes. Putin is more than smart enough to have seen that. So assume that.
China Deploys 30,000-Ton Liaowang-1 “Floating Supercomputer” to Gulf of Oman
I’m not sure the extent to which China actually supplied the Iranian regime with advanced equipment, but I am sure Beijing is salivating at the amount of data they can capture from the theater.
Maybe they coordinate with Türkiye to shoot down missiles heading their way.
I worry about the increased cost of transporting all finished goods, food, etc to market. That's something which will impact consumer prices quickly as has been shown in the past.
I'm sure they do. But the idea that anyone is triggering Section 5 over a few Iranian missiles aimed at bases primarily used by the US is ludicrous. Especially when Trump has been telling NATO to get stuffed since he took office and didn't bother to inform NATO in advance of US attacks on Iran.
Dude is 100% at the age and mental capability where if he was a normal person he would get conned out of everything he owned by a Televangelist he saw while channel surfing on a TV.
Sorry, Europe has been "playing down Russian violations"? Are you familiar with the Trump administration?
I'm saying that whenever there's been Russian missiles in European countries' airspace we've eagerly explained how it doesn't really trigger article 5 because whatever. Same for all the Russian sabotage that's been going on, firebombs on mail planes, internet cables getting trawled, you name it.
Europe is (wisely) not eager to become a participant in a hot war with Russia.