War with…Greenland?

Crolis

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Be careful what you wish for. The fascist calculating move would be to take the EU up on their offer to allow American military buildup on Greenland. Then after 5 -10 years you have enough troops stationed there to take it a la Crimia.

I was under the impression we could already do that if we wanted.
 

poke 532810

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Do you see a lot of farming in Alaska?
There is quite a bit of farming in the Mat-Su Valley, northwest of Anchorage. The fertile soil and long summer days allow it to produce some of the largest vegetables in the world, even with the short growing season. There is a little farming elsewhere in the state as well.
 

fractl

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There is quite a bit of farming in the Mat-Su Valley, northwest of Anchorage. The fertile soil and long summer days allow it to produce some of the largest vegetables in the world, even with the short growing season. There is a little farming elsewhere in the state as well.
That's a very small region compared to, say, the North Slope. But if you want to hasten climate change, feel free to start digging up the tundra up there.
 
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Lt_Storm

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I understand but it's either continue to hope our elected representatives and others actually do their job to constrain this administration or just accept that nothing matters anymore. Trump is still a f***ing human being not some god that cannot be defied except upon death. If we accept one of the worst abuses of presidential power in US history is just inevitable what the hell is the point of doing anything? Why protest, he'll shoot you and get away with it. Why vote, he'll say it's fake and appoint whoever he wants in congress and anywhere else. Why DO anything except accept whatever the worst possible outcome is? Why even complain here or elsewhere if everything is just inevitable?

And I will add some court decisions have so far stopped some of the more egregious actions so I'm not quite ready to give up hope that some small bit of sanity remains to stop an outright war because Trump decided he wants Greenland.

Don't get my wrong, I am terrified my hope is completely illusionary and the world is headed for a hot WW3 driven by evil republicans and feckless democrats. I just can't accept that and give up yet.

Oh, I don't know we could also all take Minneapolis as the example to emulate and just be unruly to the point of being unrulable. Whenever someone from the administration shows up anyone nearby should tell them very loudly where they can fuck off to. At this point, the complaints from the declaration of Independence are starting to resonate. Add in the kind of tactics* that the north adopted to make slavery untenable and we might get somewhere.

* Seriously, to watch that video. It's about three American history of resistance to the tyranny of the old South. It's good.
 
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Chuckles

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That's a very small region compared to, say, the North Slope. But if you want to hasten climate change, feel free to start digging up the tundra up there.
One of the challenges for high latitude farming is that most of the soils are poor and thin. Trying to farm in a couple inches of soil, or soil that has only very recently been exposed (~1000 years) is very difficult. That means high cost due to both materials, equipment, and labor.
 

Tijger

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Am I completely deluded to believe, or more accurately hope, that the US military flag officers wouldn't blindly follow an order to attack a NATO nation and at least some token number of Republicans (but enough to get results) would join Democrats in immediately impeaching, convicting, and removing him before the first shot could be fired?

I wouldnt put any faith in the US military leadership, thats as succinct as I can put it.
 

Tijger

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by weakening Nato (killing really), the US and international cohesion. Russia does not have to be in the right spot to capitalize on this coup for it not to have been a smart move from his perspective.

Except Russia isnt capable of profiting from that, if NATO is dissolved it will have a successor without the US in a day, Russia isnt the factor some think it is. Its only trump card (hah!) is the fact it has nukes but the US isnt the only NATO member who has those either.

I would also argue that international cohesion hasnt really been a thing for a long time in reality.
 

meisanerd

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I wonder if things could almost be worse off for Russia without the US in NATO. A lot of the arms supplies have been based on what the US is providing/doing (ie: no long range strikes, then no long range strikes into Russia proper, all the other restrictions Biden slow-walked) that Europe followed. Now, without the US as an ally, the question becomes how much they care about what the US is doing, vs just throwing resources at Ukraine to get Russia out and dealt with.
 

Matisaro

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Except Russia isnt capable of profiting from that,

Ahab did not profit from trying to kill the white whale either, yet try he continued.

I would also argue that international cohesion hasnt really been a thing for a long time in reality.
In this particular relationship that is an argument I am confident you would lose.
 
So is the new strategy just to lie, and pretend denmark gave it to them? Any guesses on how that will work out?
What’s this about?

(edit: just to be clear this isn’t a leading question or something, I just missed the story you are referencing and am curious).
 
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bthylafh

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Am I completely deluded to believe, or more accurately hope, that the US military flag officers wouldn't blindly follow an order to attack a NATO nation and at least some token number of Republicans (but enough to get results) would join Democrats in immediately impeaching, convicting, and removing him before the first shot could be fired?
This is definitely what some Germans thought before the Poland invasion.
 

Bardon

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There are currently USA operational in Middle East right now. If USA loses the bases in Europe, it would be a lot harder to operation/resupply Middle East operation. I assume it will not degrade that fast, and seaports will open for a fee. However, we may see USA bases closing in Europe if we go down this path.

Japan, South Korea and Taiwan may not feel safe under the USA's umbrella either.
Australia & NZ are currently not feeling safe in regards to the USA - I propose a new alliance called the GAP "Global Asshole Prevention" encompassing all of Europe/Scandinavia, Australia, NZ, Canada & other non-batshit-insane countries.
 
Am I completely deluded to believe, or more accurately hope, that the US military flag officers wouldn't blindly follow an order to attack a NATO nation and at least some token number of Republicans (but enough to get results) would join Democrats in immediately impeaching, convicting, and removing him before the first shot could be fired?
I'm afraid that the first is a very optimistic scenario based on recent events. They should absolutely have refused the order to kill helpless people clinging to the remnants of a boat they just sank. It was a blatantly, obviously illegal order. They didn't.

And the second is impossible politically. Plus the likelihood is that Trump acts without any notice to Congress. By the time they know, it's already begun, and the Republicans will rally around their leader and invent reasons for it to make sense.
 

wireframed

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What’s this about?

(edit: just to be clear this isn’t a leading question or something, I just missed the story you are referencing and am curious).
I’m guessing he’s referring to the results of the meeting held about Greenland.

The story Leavitt and Trump is going with is, the parties agreed to form a working group to discuss the how the US purchase of Greenland could proceed.

That isn’t actually what was agreed because the sale of a self-governing territory of the Kingdom of Denmark was, is and will remain a red line.
Instead, the working group is, to my understanding, to try and address the expressed concerns of Trump regarding security. (Those being obvious bullshit, but it’s at least something where Denmark, Greenland and US could reach a compromise).
 

Carewolf

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Tijger

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That Karoline Leavitt is lying and saying Denmark has enterred negotiations on the US acquisition of Greenland.

Hmm. Looking for english links. Doesnt seem anyone cares what she says anymore. Here it the news from Denmark https://politiken.dk/internationalt...hverve-Grønland-–-men-der-er-stille-fra-Trump

Obviously Leavitt is lying, she's the spokesperson of Trump and has a long track record of lying. Except for some domestic outlets in the US nobody takes what she says serious.
 

Carewolf

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Obviously Leavitt is lying, she's the spokesperson of Trump and has a long track record of lying. Except for some domestic outlets in the US nobody takes what she says serious.
Yeah, while I was tired on the way to bed, I was afraid it could be part of a US strategy of pretending to "win" and enter Greeenland trying to force Denmark to shoot first. With sleep behind me, If there is any strategy behind the lies, I would assume it is for domestic MAGA consumption. Tell the cult they won, after denmark gives them treaty rights they already had.
 
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Matisaro

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The other problem with that, when you look a little deeper, is that Trump's haphazard method of picking fights has involved two Russian allies.

Caused by Rubio, imho there are multiple factions which have seperate channels of control to talk the senile walking STD and get him to make whatever orders they want from him without cohesion.

Way I figure it there is the Russian faction which is direct putin mostly, whenever he calls home to daddy he always kicks Ukraine afterwards I think Putin gives him a reminder of the CP that he has over Trump.

There is the anti south America and cuba faction which is Rubio. There is the nazi ICE "proto SS" being run by Miller and the Techbro's who alternate between the white supremacy because Musk is a south african racist but mostly they want AI laws and electricity plus bitcoin manipulation.

There lastly is the Mike Johnson religious right faction which is ran by one of the cabinet but not sure who the point person for that is.

The legit businessmen who used to have power in the GOP are no longer in charge but they don't really know it yet their power goes pretty much limp when Mcconnell dies/retires/completes the ritual to descend to the 7th plane of hell to assume his role as Tortiganus the dark lord of sycophancy.

They just get him to nod along and sign shit and they feed him that young intern lady and Adderall in his nuggies.
 

LizandreBZH

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Except Russia isnt capable of profiting from that, if NATO is dissolved it will have a successor without the US in a day, Russia isnt the factor some think it is. Its only trump card (hah!) is the fact it has nukes but the US isnt the only NATO member who has those either.

I would also argue that international cohesion hasnt really been a thing for a long time in reality.
Europe will not step in to replace nato just like that. Some (Spain, ireland) don’t feel threatened by russia. Some will try again the free rider strategy. Some will want to sell their luxury cars and so not antagonise trump or whatever.

Édit : not Even talking about active russian assets ( hungary)
 
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Louis XVI

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There’s a great article in Politico (I know, I know) today about Europe’s options for pushing back against Trump. TL;DR, there are lots of options and possibilities, but it’s extremely complex, and every option has significant challenges and potential downsides.

Diplomats from European countries, who declined to be identified because the subject is sensitive, said discussions are ongoing in capitals about how to push back against Trump. Easier options include delaying tactics, lobbying efforts among Republicans in Washington, sending allied troops to visit Greenland, and even a publicity campaign in America.
But the possibility of cutting off support for American military deployments has come up, including radical suggestions to take back control of U.S. bases, one of the diplomats said.
“Discussions are ongoing on how could we put pressure and say ‘Hey, you need us, and if you do this we are going to retaliate in some way,’” the diplomat said. “But at the same time, nobody wants to speak out about this.”
The main reason Europeans are reluctant to get aggressive in public is that they see Trump’s backing as vital to providing viable security guarantees for Ukraine under any peace deal with Russia. At the same time, many allies simply can’t imagine a world in which the U.S. takes Greenland by force. “Maybe it’s wishful thinking,” the diplomat said, but noted: “We should be prepared for it.”
(Anybody know how to insert blank lines between paragraphs without the forum automatically splitting it into separate quotes?)

The whole article is worth a read.
 
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Tijger

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The EU has extended its protection guarantee to Greenland.

I dont have an english language source at the moment, this is in Dutch:

EU bevestigt: Groenland valt onder Europese beschermingsgarantie
Een woordvoerder van de Europese Commissie heeft vrijdag bevestigd dat Groenland onder de Europese beschermingsgarantie valt. Die garantie is vergelijkbaar met artikel 5 van de NAVO, waarbij een aanval op één geldt als een aanval op allen. De voorbije dagen weigerde de Commissie antwoord te geven op de vraag of het zogenoemde artikel 42.7 ook op Groenland van toepassing is, omdat het een overzees gebied is.

https://www.nu.nl/buitenland/638259...and-onder-europese-beschermgarantie-valt.html
 

Gary Patterson

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That Karoline Leavitt is lying and saying Denmark has enterred negotiations on the US acquisition of Greenland.

Hmm. Looking for english links. Doesnt seem anyone cares what she says anymore. Here it the news from Denmark https://politiken.dk/internationalt...hverve-Grønland-–-men-der-er-stille-fra-Trump
This is why it's so dangerous to even meet with Trump's people about matters such as this. Now the US internal story is that acquisition is on the table, so when Denmark refuse to sell, the story will be a broken deal with an unreasonable nation and Trump's regime can use that to gin up support for military intervention. Once soldiers are on the ground and a shot is fired, the US will fall into line behind their soldiers, legality be damned.

It's insane, but this is all about manipulating the US populace to go along with an invasion of an ally. Sanity and logic left the room a long time ago and now it's entirely about maximising internal support to reduce friction.

In an earlier age, Trump's envoys would have been sent back minus their bodies. People are more polite nowadays, but the response needs to be the modern version of that - a complete public repudiation of Trump and the ludicrous talk of acquisition. Any ambassadors from the US must be expelled, and their own words give ample justification to do so.
 
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sword_9mm

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Maybe Denmark should go for a trade with Trump.

Greenland for California, Oregon, and Washington.

Win win. Trump gets rid of states he hates, those states get to live under an actual logical government, and whoever lives in Greenland gets to work at Trump resorts so call that an economic boon.

It could work.
 

wallinbl

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This is why it's so dangerous to even meet with Trump's people about matters such as this. Now the US internal story is that acquisition is on the table, so when Denmark refuse to sell, the story will be a broken deal with an unreasonable nation and Trump's regime can use that to gin up support for military intervention. Once soldiers are on the ground and a shot is fired, the US will fall into line behind their soldiers, legality be damned.
Yeah, I don't know why you'd even take the meeting. If he said "we want to buy Shenhzhen to boost US manufacturing", China wouldn't bother holding a meeting with him about it.
 

Sajuuk

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There’s a great article in Politico (I know, I know) today about Europe’s options for pushing back against Trump. TL;DR, there are lots of options and possibilities, but it’s extremely complex, and every option has significant challenges and potential downsides.


(Anybody know how to insert blank lines between paragraphs without the forum automatically splitting it into separate quotes?)

The whole article is worth a read.
Shift + Enter/Return should work while the cursor is inside a quote block.