"A new design I don't like" is not what enshittification means, dude.Who the fuck broke Ars and how can I fix it. Has enshittification finally come to destroy my favorite site? That fucking sucks.
"You never get a second chance to make a first impression."We're kind of derailing the thread here, but I would suggest people give them a few days to shake out issues and then see where things land. I am not, so far, much caring for the new UI either. But maybe they will be tweaking it to resolve some of the bigger issues with it?
I think you're making a big assumption that initially the costs of competitors will be lower. That may eventually be the case, but it is usually the case (though there are exceptions) that when a new synthetic version of something natural is first manufactured at commercial scale, that it is a bit MORE expensive than the natural sources. But then, over time, technology improves, larger scale factories are built to get better economies of scale, etc, etc and the costs come down below the natural version.I think that's unlikely. It's tough to justify a business model of keeping a mine open -- with all the capital, labor, and regulatory cost that entails -- where the plan is to be a backup source for suppliers which likely have lower costs than you and might get knocked offline once every few decades. And you likely wouldn't be able to entirely fill the gap, so the global industry would still face disruption.
It's likely more cost-effective to maintain a stockpile of a critical resource, akin to how the U.S. has its Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
It can be part of enshittification - a lot of UI design changes at a lot of companies are specifically driven by the profit-enshittification cycle. A worse design being put in place in order to increase advertising revenue, for example. I'm not saying that's the case here at Ars, but. . . maybe?"A new design I don't like" is not what enshittification means, dude.
In hopes of saving this comment section I'd like to note that the best place to express your thoughts is the help and feedback forum.
https://meincmagazine.com/civis/threads/the-new-ars-technica-front-page-design-is-coming.1503149/
I'm not talking about competitors like manufacturers of synthetic HPQ; I'm talking about the mines which are the subject of the article. If they're not producing, that might last a few months while roads are rebuilt, electric service is restored, safety inspections are performed, etc. Presumably the mines near Spruce Pine have ~70% of the global market due to quality or costs or both. Once they're producing again, they'll be satisfying market demand and the need for a backup source is far less acute.I think you're making a big assumption that initially the costs of competitors will be lower. That may eventually be the case, but it is usually the case (though there are exceptions) that when a new synthetic version of something natural is first manufactured at commercial scale, that it is a bit MORE expensive than the natural sources. But then, over time, technology improves, larger scale factories are built to get better economies of scale, etc, etc and the costs come down below the natural version.
Another silicon material, so-called silicon metal—a lower-grade and more easily accessible material that is largely sourced in China—is also listed as a critical raw material for the silicon industry by the European Commission, the UK, India, and South Korea. But it is unclear what percentage of it is refined for use in computing.
It's Wired - what did you expect?This is quite misleading and suggests that the author didn’t understand much about the subject.
It makes it sound that elemental silicon (I guess you can call it silicon metal, although it’s not quite metal) is something they mine or something in China. And I’m sure everyone knows that it is what the modern semiconductors are made from.
Elemental silicon is actually made from quartz (silicon dioxide SiO2) through pretty energy intensive process. It is not yet “another silicon material“ that can be mined.
Actually, one can take less pure natural SiO2, produce elemental Si, purify it chemically, and then oxidize it back to SiO2, it is certainly doable but expensive, so if there is pure SiO2 available to be mined, it certainly makes economical sense.
Seriously, either the author or an editor at the Wired could clarify these confusions about the most basic facts by having a short conversation with ChatGPT.
More or less. The purity/clarity coming from the HPQ dug up there have been generated from a lot of pressure, heat, and surprisingly, friction over time. (Yes, even though it's considered East Coast, we do occasionally get earthquakes, and the Appalachians were at one time a very active series of mountains.) Unlike lab-grown diamonds, which can get similar, but more often than not, better results than mined diamonds (despite what industry incumbents claim), quartz's lab-grown process is still a few years off from reaching parity.Is this one of those things where this HPQ is there, so it's cheaper to just dig it out of the ground rather than purifying it in a lab from less pure feedstock?
IMHO, this is the only real way to go overall.This looks like an opportunity for the artificial/synthetic quartz industry to step up to the plate.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/synt...87V9GfV47BguzfS6jgU5u1dlPh5eEzRnapQWe1Zd_8C3Q
I think that economics will cause the energy cost/lb to drop all of its own. Although capitalism has its huge flaws, few will buy a pound of quartz which includes $100 worth of electricity, when someone else is selling the same thing with only $20 of electricity in it, at 80% of the price.More or less. The purity/clarity coming from the HPQ dug up there have been generated from a lot of pressure, heat, and surprisingly, friction over time. (Yes, even though it's considered East Coast, we do occasionally get earthquakes, and the Appalachians were at one time a very active series of mountains.) Unlike lab-grown diamonds, which can get similar, but more often than not, better results than mined diamonds (despite what industry incumbents claim), quartz's lab-grown process is still a few years off from reaching parity.
The fact that Quartz is SiO2 makes it more complex to synthesize than just taking a bunch of carbon atoms, cooking them, and smashing them together really hard. We're close though, and there are a few companies who could likely step up to make the artificial HPQ start to make sense soon.
The downside to artificial HPQ vs. mined HPQ, is the energy requirements to actually make it? Would contribute non-trivially to further anthropogenic global warming, unless they could find an atmospherically clean source of energy, like nuclear, wind, solar, or hydroelectric. And contributing further to climate change means more devastating storms like what rocked Asheville in the first place. So, at least in my opinion, we should probably just take what the Earth made for us for a few more years while we drop those energy requirements on the lab-grown.
On Diamond? I 100% agree. Manufacture that all day, every day, even on leap-years. It's worth it every time.IMHO, this is the only real way to go overall.
Anything mined is finite. Quartz is abundant, but if a particular kind is needed, and not abundant, then manufacturing it is the only reasonable option.
I can't speak to the "green" of manufacturing vs mining, since it seems to me both would have major environmental impacts of some climate change flavor. But being able to keep things running is likely going to be more vital as mankind's ability to help or further hurt the environment begins to dim in the face of the tipping points falling left and right.
So manufacture it. Just don't blow it all on fucking AI...
WTAF<snip>
Also, did all y'all read about how the US Gov had a deal to keep private the Hurricane data??? Oh, we need to vote in reps OF the PEOPLE, FOR the People, and By (not BUY) the people.
And it doesn’t signal articles read so I can’t fast scroll to where I left off. This feels a lot like change for the sake of change rather than any real progress!This new website layout is awful and creates a ton of wasted space. For the love of ARS, please give us the option to change it back.
How frequently do the crucibles need to be replaced? Offhand it sounds like they should last until they get broke.I used to work in the semiconductor industry; the short version is chips are made on silicon wafers. Wafers are thin slices of a long round silicon ingot. This ingot is a precise crystal form of silicon grown from a pool of melted silicon. The melted silicon is from raw chunks of silicon, along with doping agents (that make it N type or P type), heated up in a large quartz “bowl” or crucible. This has to be ultra pure so it doesn’t cause impurities in the silicon crystal. So no quartz crucibles, no silicon wafers, and no chips on those wafers.
There are a number of known synthetic paths to producing crucibles etc from sol gel synthesis (densified aerogels) and modified chemical vapor deposition (mCVD). I suspect that cost is the major driver holding back transition so possible that this event could create renewed interest in alternatives to mined HPQ.Is this one of those things where this HPQ is there, so it's cheaper to just dig it out of the ground rather than purifying it in a lab from less pure feedstock?
This must be a Wired article...Semiconductors are the fundamental building blocks of modern IT. Transistors, a type of semiconductor device, are the small electronic switches that perform computation functions in every tech gadget, from smartphones to electric scooters, data centers, and military aircraft. They make possible the processors that power most of the world’s smart gadgets.
Too many web designers with nothing else to do but re-design web sites. Unfortunately, this is a common occurrence these days and a major frustration for users.We're kind of derailing the thread here, but I would suggest people give them a few days to shake out issues and then see where things land. I am not, so far, much caring for the new UI either. But maybe they will be tweaking it to resolve some of the bigger issues with it?
I hope by now the pandemic has taught companies to be more wary of "just in time" shipping. To take a page from NASA, you're really asking for "No Earlier Than when I need it" shipping.If a months long disruption of a world wide mission critical substance is likely than you’re doing it wrong.
I don’t care if it’s global warming, world wide economic disruption or aliens you need to stockpile stuff because Murphy was an optimist.
The report on the Bloomberg Odd Lots podcast said that the Indian and Brazilian deposits weren’t as pure as this one. if I were a Chinese economic planner I’d be spending pretty freely to produce a viable alternative: India is playing both sides and doing very well out of it, so they can’t be relied on, the risk that Brazil will be brought back under full American control hasn’t entirely gone away, and it’s an essential product.Possibly. Although, that mine might be back online fast enough that it doesn't really give much window of opportunity for new entrants to bring product to market. However, I suppose even if the mine comes back online, this might give investors reason to start thinking about the fact that there is opportunity created by the systemic risk of pretty much the entire industry relying on a single point of failure.
Also, corps/investors in the US should consider the high probability that if China starts to develop capability to create 'refined quartz' I'll call it - it's not really synthetic, because it comes from natural, impure sources and that would then be purified in industrial processes - sounds refining to me - then they will likely get good at it and start exporting it cheaply to other countries. So a US corp might want to get out in front of that and get it cheap before China does.The report on the Bloomberg Odd Lots podcast said that the Indian and Brazilian deposits weren’t as pure as this one. if I were a Chinese economic planner I’d be spending pretty freely to produce a viable alternative: India is playing both sides and doing very well out of it, so they can’t be relied on, the risk that Brazil will be brought back under full American control hasn’t entirely gone away, and it’s an essential product.