Should Aptera succeed and begin delivering vehicles...
The folding and unfolding to get into and out of it is what concerns me. I like the rotating doors for getting into and out of tight parking places (not that a small form-factor car will need a lot of room anyhow), but IIRC, they're not that way for a reason on most cars (complicated mechanics that fail being one of them).While I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.
While I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.
I would disagree if not for the $40k starting price. If these things were sub "real" car pricing (in between motorcycles and cheaper cars), it would be a relative slam dunkWhile I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.
That's exactly why it has and must only have three wheels. It takes up the space of a car and it does many (some might say not enough) car things, but it's legally not a car.And I do NOT see them passing the bumper requirements in the US for passenger cars. They might get around that by classifying it as a motorcycle, but hard to say. Imagining just getting into it is already making my arthritis ache. Getting OUT of it would be a nightmare.
For a two-seat $40,000 EV?I hope they actually get something out the door and it's good. There certainly seems to be a demand for it.
These are usually classified as motorcycles (that's why there aren't four wheels), so the safety regulations are way lower.And I do NOT see them passing the bumper requirements in the US for passenger cars. They might get around that by classifying it as a motorcycle, but hard to say. Imagining just getting into it is already making my arthritis ache. Getting OUT of it would be a nightmare.
And how did that work out for Elio? They claimed over 65,000 reservation holders (bottom of page). I don't know who these tens of thousands of people are but they're not 'real', in the sense that 95%+ will not actually buy the thing. $40k gets you a lot of car these days, even in the EV space (especially used, as your articles have covered). Every single one of those vehicles is more usable AND backed by a manufacturer who isn't a few bad months away from bankruptcy. I'm sure a few hundred/thousand tech-focused people will try to pick one of these up, even if just to be different, but that's not sustainable.[Aptera] says it has “nearly 50,000 reservations on record”
A primer on the checkered history of this company:Eh.. Aptera has the biggest case of perpetual goalpost moving. It's probably because of inadequate funding, but mostly it seems to me they have startup disease. The startup phase is working for them -- free money, work on what you want to, no grumpy customers...
Deliver? Deliver?
Then the nightmares all come true, the bad decisions, the deaths, the lawsuits.
Better to just be in perma-development mode.
While I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.
Ditto. I think there's ample reason for skepticism about their long term prospects, and I can't see myself being interested in one, but I am pleased to know there are still these "Tucker: The Man and His Dream" type idiosyncratic companies banging away at the margins of the possible. This is ultimately a good thing.I wish them and their buyers the best.
For a two-seat $40,000 EV?
Edit: I guess if they have almost 50k reservations…
I wouldn't put much store in a refundable $100 deposit but you do you.
I used to really like the Elio. I think the design being narrow one person wide with a second person behind (or luggage, not both) was a better idea than this (granted, it wasn't an EV). I wonder how much lower drag that would be with the reduction in frontal area.And how did that work out for Elio? They claimed over 65,000 reservation holders (bottom of page). I don't know who these tens of thousands of people are but they're not 'real', in the sense that 95%+ will not actually buy the thing. $40k gets you a lot of car these days, even in the EV space (especially used, as your articles have covered). Every single one of those vehicles is more usable AND backed by a manufacturer who isn't a few bad months away from bankruptcy. I'm sure a few hundred/thousand tech-focused people will try to pick one of these up, even if just to be different, but that's not sustainable.
Vaporware with a capital V.Our production plan for our Carlsbad facility is phased. The initial “low-volume” production phase requires an estimated $45 million to 50 million in capital to fund the remaining necessary tooling and validation programs. Following the initiation of low-volume production, a second phase to ramp to high-volume production (a target rate of approximately 20,000 vehicles per year, which we believe is our current facility’s maximum capacity based on consultations with Munro & Associates) would require an estimated additional $140 million to $160 million. Until the necessary funding for a given production phase is secured, we are unable to predict if and when that phase of production will commence, and our previously anticipated timelines are no longer indicative of our current expectations.
Looking at numbers for the Polaris Slingshot, MSRP runs from $26k-$44k and I don't think that includes a roof (sold separately). They don't publish unit numbers sold but give a total market north of $1B. So maybe there is a marketFor a two-seat $40,000 EV?
Edit: I guess if they have almost 50k reservations…
Yeah who is this for? The guys that buy those goofy-ass Slingshots don't strike me as EV believers.While I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.
I hope they actually get something out the door and it's good. There certainly seems to be a demand for it.
From a channel run by short-sellers, which specializes in badmouthing publicly-traded startups in order to short them.A primer on the checkered history of this company:
If even five percent of the people who took a reservation actually buy one, and Aptera makes a profit, that's enough to call it a viable business. Besides, "Supercars" look "way too crazy", yet millions of people, all over the world, OBSESS over them. Do you think people buy Ferraris, Lamborghinis, and Bugattis based on their trunk space?These look way too crazy.
And yet, I don't see Americans rushing off to buy the cheap cars--which are disappearing from the market one after another. They appear to prefer coughing up $48,000 for an SUV or large pickup truck. While fuel prices continue to spiral up.$40k gets you a lot of car these days
Do you really want me to do the math on how useless those solar panels will be?Another astonishingly uninformative article from Dr. Gitlin. It takes until the 7th paragraph (out of 10 in the article) to mention that Apteras are SOLAR ELECTRIC VEHICLES (first, and EVs second). That’s why they have the funky shape and proportions they do, but Gitlin seemingly doesn’t feel that info is important - certainly not enough to be mentioned in the headline or lede, and apparently not even worth mentioning at all until near the end of the article (and that mention makes for a total of one time, that the actual nature of the vehicle is mentioned).
Some days I honestly get the impression Dr. Gitlin is like Grampa Simpson, shaking his fist at the cloud that is any vehicle which doesn’t conform to his ideal.
I’m sure the doctor will chime in to reinforce the “only 40 miles per day of range added by the panels” figure, but that doesn’t negate the fact these vehicles were conceived from the ground up as solar vehicles first. Have they managed to check all the boxes every car driver needs? Probably not. But don’t they deserve some credit for seeing this vision through to production?
(Edited to correct Km to miles)
Ah, open with the "doubters are just short sellers" bullshit and immediately jump into the heaviest lifting "ifs" of all time.From a channel run by short-sellers, which specializes in badmouthing publicly-traded startups in order to short them.
If even five percent of the people who took a reservation actually buy one, and Aptera makes a profit, that's enough to call it a viable business. Besides, "Supercars" look "way too crazy", yet millions of people, all over the world, OBSESS over them. Do you think people buy Ferraris, Lamborghinis, and Bugattis based on their trunk space?
And yet, I don't see Americans rushing off to buy the cheap cars--which are disappearing from the market one after another. They appear to prefer coughing up $48,000 for an SUV or large pickup truck. While fuel prices continue to spiral up.
It is still FAR too early to condemn or praise Aptera--they are inventing an entirely new market for a device that did not exist before. Give them a bloody chance.
At one time it seemed like it might be useful because it had a large range but batteries have moved on and regular cars are getting equal or more range (though more expensive) and charging network improvements are making the more common 300 mile range BEVs adequate for almost every use case except towing, and at similar or cheaper prices.While I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint?
Seriously, it's like the Electromechanica Solo, or a Twike, but way worseWhile I wish them success, I just find it highly doubtful that this form factor is going to have any widespread appeal at all. Limited capacity yet has a large footprint? Seems a very, very niche product and in this economic (and US EV) environment I don't know that's a recipe for success.