It could be very interesting if individuals simply sued current or previous landlords in small claims after the DOJ wins its lawsuit if that landlord used RealPage during their tenancy. I'd simply file for the maximum and based my claim on the difference of an inflation rate rental increase versus what increase actually happened due to the use of illegal price fixing.
This is the expected outcome if they win the case.It could be very interesting if individuals simply sued current or previous landlords in small claims after the DOJ wins its lawsuit if that landlord used RealPage during their tenancy. I'd simply file for the maximum and based my claim on the difference of an inflation rate rental increase versus what increase actually happened due to the use of illegal price fixing.
At a minimum it means they'll have to stop coordinating their rents which would help tenants a lot.This is the expected outcome if they win the case.
It would likely end up as a class action, but it would be a big one. It may pale in comparison to the extra paid in rent over time, but it may very well be thousands per person rather than some cents or dollars.
There is also the chance that Harris wins, decides something must be done politically about the housing market but does not want to crush property values, and decides that disgorging profits from this legal event really helps that goal. That would be better for you.
Maybe that would be better for everyone. In fact, I think I will donate more to Harris.
That's insane and quite frankly obscene.https://www.businessinsider.com/mom-moved-kids-hotel-room-because-rent-is-high-2024-8
I moved with my kids to a hotel room. It's cheaper than renting an apartment and has many amenities. (In CT)
If RealPage operated a separate implicit price-fixing scheme for each sub-market, none of the legal implications would change. Localized market power is still market power. A landlord agent who controls 80% of the multifamily housing in Seattle or Houston would also face scrutiny.What I am saying is that, based on what I have read about RP's business, they are simply doing what landlord agents have been doing for centuries (which has never been illegal) but with a larger database of rental information. The only real difference between RP and other landlord agents is that it has the scale to dominate a large number of local markets, far more than even the largest of the landlord agent companies have managed in the past. In other types of business we see that scale can turn legal activities into abusive illegal ones but, as I have said in the past, there is not a single rental market in the US but rather thousands upon thousands of local markets - so having massive amounts of rental data for Seattle is utterly irrelevant if you are asked to advise upon rent in Houston. As I said in my original post of this, I am not saying DoJ will lose (although irrespective of the evidence, the current make up of SCOTUS leaves me with little confidence in DoJ's eventual success), but there are some pretty obvious high hurdles that need to be cleared for them to win
OP was describing an area where home prices were in the $300K range. This is also an area where median car payments are $1000/mo. I think 'no way in hell' doesn't really apply here.You obviously move in different circles than I do. Most of the people I know that are renters, are renters because there's no way in hell they'll ever have enough money to buy & maintain a house.
I live in a large apartment complex that uses RealPage. While I like my apartment and the complex, I've been curious about what specifically RealPage was doing that was illegal.So I rarely get to play the "expert" card, and shy away generally from posting, but in this case I will comment.
This is such a flagrant violation of antitrust law that I am honestly surprised any person who is familiar with pricing policies and rules would ever productive such a feature in their software. I've seen other articles on this case, and many seem to emphasize the algorithmic approach, but actually is not the issue. Algorithms are used all the time in pricing, and whether that is good or bad is subjective, but they aren't illegal nor should they be. However, this quote: "This nonpublic, material, and granular rental data includes....." (emphasis mine) is the real issue. Using data that is not public through a third party is just collusion with facilitation. It's trully a blatent violation. I hope they get nailed to the wall as an example to others.
Source: I've run pricing organizations for several multi-nationals over the past 20+ years and have delivered internal training on pricing policy and business conduct.
Well, no. It's a collusion-as-a-service product. Collusion is also illegal in the US, even tacit collusion which occurs when you have a small number of market participants and where the participants just need to mutually understand what market conditions are most profitable - for instance US health care companies in a concentrated market refusing to try and undercut competitor prices because they recognize consumers have no options. That's basically what's happening here. The landlords don't need to conspire to set prices, they just have to agree to provide the software with the necessary information and recognize that the algorithm will produce the most profitable results for the entire market.RealPage was basically MAAS (Monopoly as a Service) product.
Do you have a source on this?Also the lister does have to use the recommendation, or RealPage cancels their subscription.
Are you advocating for socialism here? Sounds suspiciously like it!Okay, so treating a critical societal need like a commodity made things worse. But that's just one instance. Surely there are other examples where it's been beneficial to society, so let's check in on the status of other critical societal needs and services:
Education? Yeah, that's completely fubar thanks to being treated like a commodity.
Healthcare? Oh, wow...even worse thanks to being treated like a commodity.
Well what about medicine? Yeah, not any better.
Food? Same sorry state, you say?
Telecommunications? Okay, never mind. Bad and getting worse, and dragging a whole lot of other things down with it.
You know, I'm starting to see a pattern here. Maybe, JUST MAYBE, critical societal needs shouldn't be treated like commodities and exploited to the greatest extent humanly possible?
This makes sense, at least with fixed mortage and predictable maintenance costs. What I can't figure out regarding the whole realpage issue is, if realpage allows new owners to extract excessive profits, then there must be a large pricing gap between rental pricing giving a fair return on investment that is sufficient motive to purchase and rent out properties, and the rental pricing returning those excessive profits. So why can't those people who are not intent on gaining those excessive profits, as surely there are some such people with money to invest, buy homes and apartments and rent them out at reasonable price, which would still be enough to motivate them to put their money in this rather than in potential other investments?In any market, rents and mortgage costs for comparable properties need to in time come to some kind of parity over a long enough period of time. When supply is constrained, mortgages will outstrip rents because buyers not looking to lease out the property will drive up land costs, but new rentals struggle to get built because landlords can't necessarily force out the rent increase necessary to cover the cost of new development, so construction stalls. You continue to have rentals though based on property values that were paid 5, 10, 20 years prior though and which still turn a profit at the lower rent levels, because the capex of those were much lower, and at some point get paid off entirely so you only have the maintenance cost to cover in rent. A paid-off property rented out throws off a shitload of cash because prices are not connected to costs (never are) only to what the market will bear.
So, we're in a market where much of the US - coastal, cities, places with a lot of white collar jobs - property values are wildly out of touch with what the rental market can bear, and with new construction property values will go down (as supply overtakes demand) but rents will continue to go up until rents and mortgages get near parity. Where I live a 3BR house rental will run you about $5K/mo, while the mortgage (plus property taxes, etc.) on a 3BR purchase will run you about $11K/mo. There's a $7K/mo gap that needs to close - not entirely, but mostly. When we bought our first house in this same market nearly 30 years ago, the monthly mortgage+taxes, etc. of the palace we bought, nearly the same size as the place were were renting was only 30% higher than our rent. Now it's 175% higher. I'm expecting housing prices here, should we get the market balanced, to fall about 40%, while rents continue to climb.
The rule of thumb is the price to rent ratio. For my city median price is $1.6M and median rent is $60K/yr. That's a ratio of 27. It should be between 15 and 20 for renting/buying to be in parity and if the market can't afford to uplift rents ($4700/mo for rent as a median is already unworkably high) then the only path to get there is to build to get ahead of demand and crater property values.
My city builds housing like crazy. In the last 20 years we went from a city of 100K to a city of 300K - about 100K people added each decade. And that's still what the market looks like. We have a mandate to build 23,000 units in the next 5 years, and that number probably needs to be at least double that for housing prices to reach a reasonable level.
There are still many people renting out properties on reasonable terms, but it is also not the majority of the the market these days. At least here, one big company has been buying everything up, renovating, and in looking are setting rents very high. Most notable is that smaller units are not much less expensive than larger ones, so the low priced options have been removed. They want more than double what these places were going for before the pandemic, so it is much more than inflation.This makes sense, at least with fixed mortage and predictable maintenance costs. What I can't figure out regarding the whole realpage issue is, if realpage allows new owners to extract excessive profits, then there must be a large pricing gap between rental pricing giving a fair return on investment that is sufficient motive to purchase and rent out properties, and the rental pricing returning those excessive profits. So why can't those people who are not intent on gaining those excessive profits, as surely there are some such people with money to invest, buy homes and apartments and rent them out at reasonable price, which would still be enough to motivate them to put their money in this rather than in potential other investments?
The ability for rental pricing to stay excessive long-term seems to depend at least in part on something also keeping the purchase price of properties excessive.
Basically every illegal activity has been (or will be) retried "with a computer" so I guess this isn't surprising just sad.For over 100 years, business has been looking for creative ways to legalize price fixing. Now, I guess, it's 'Do it with a computer.'
This makes sense, at least with fixed mortage and predictable maintenance costs. What I can't figure out regarding the whole realpage issue is, if realpage allows new owners to extract excessive profits, then there must be a large pricing gap between rental pricing giving a fair return on investment that is sufficient motive to purchase and rent out properties, and the rental pricing returning those excessive profits. So why can't those people who are not intent on gaining those excessive profits, as surely there are some such people with money to invest, buy homes and apartments and rent them out at reasonable price, which would still be enough to motivate them to put their money in this rather than in potential other investments?
The ability for rental pricing to stay excessive long-term seems to depend at least in part on something also keeping the purchase price of properties excessive.
Because the amount of land is fixed, and the people willing to overprice have more money to buy what's available than the ones who charge a reasonable rent.This makes sense, at least with fixed mortage and predictable maintenance costs. What I can't figure out regarding the whole realpage issue is, if realpage allows new owners to extract excessive profits, then there must be a large pricing gap between rental pricing giving a fair return on investment that is sufficient motive to purchase and rent out properties, and the rental pricing returning those excessive profits. So why can't those people who are not intent on gaining those excessive profits, as surely there are some such people with money to invest, buy homes and apartments and rent them out at reasonable price, which would still be enough to motivate them to put their money in this rather than in potential other investments?
The ability for rental pricing to stay excessive long-term seems to depend at least in part on something also keeping the purchase price of properties excessive.
That's all the same thing. And that's all collusion. Collusion through a third party is still collusion.It may be that my post was not sufficiently precisely worded - my fault not anyone else's who interpreted my post differently to what I intended. What I was talking about was a landlord agent who has a spreadsheet or little black book containing the rental information of all its landlord clients and uses all that information to advise another landlord client of what rent level is market rate.
Obviously if one landlord agent provided that information to a different landlord agent who was a competitor that would definitely be illegal and has been for a very long time but it has never been illegal to use the information you have which you acquire from your own clients. One of the fundamental flaws was claiming that RP is engaged in illegal activities is that doing on a computer using algorithms is somehow different (and illegal) from doing in your head using memory aids and mathematics - I trust the intellect of the DoJ not to fall too far into that trap but I know if I were the defence attorney I would be arguing that
This makes sense, at least with fixed mortage and predictable maintenance costs. What I can't figure out regarding the whole realpage issue is, if realpage allows new owners to extract excessive profits, then there must be a large pricing gap between rental pricing giving a fair return on investment that is sufficient motive to purchase and rent out properties, and the rental pricing returning those excessive profits. So why can't those people who are not intent on gaining those excessive profits, as surely there are some such people with money to invest, buy homes and apartments and rent them out at reasonable price, which would still be enough to motivate them to put their money in this rather than in potential other investments?
The ability for rental pricing to stay excessive long-term seems to depend at least in part on something also keeping the purchase price of properties excessive.
Page 28Do you have a source on this?
98. RealPage threatens to drop lessors who reject RealPage’s set rates. Lessors agree that if they fail to consistently implement RealPage’s set rates, their contract with RealPage will be terminated. As Jeffrey Roper, the architect of RealPage, explains, “f you have idiots undervaluing, it costs the whole system.”50 Thus, RealPage ensures participating lessors cannot use RealPage’s rates to undercut competitors—in other words, compete in the market.
There are a few individual landlords who surely do this. One here, one there, etc. 25 rentals in Silicon Valley not charging maximum won't affect a thing. Anyone who rents out "en masse" has to get the best returns. If they don't, they'll be replaced with someone who is.
Sure, billionaires could do it out of the kindness of their hearts - but you'll find that billionaires usually become that way because they don't HAVE any kindness in their hearts that extends to non-family members of society.
If some investment firm decided to try this, they would underperform those using RealPage, and quickly lose investors or be bought out / merged / liquidated.
could it be that there is a barrier where people is too broke to buy and too "rich" to rent?In my area property values have gone down while rent continues to rise. I can't explain this.
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Solutions are mostly inconvenient, but the best of the bad is likely a government backed building campaign, and maybe more significant regulation for companies owning multiple rental units. Where to get that money is a good question, but this nice big potentially criminal conspiracy may offer some options to at least provide some of the funding. It even has the interesting aspect that if judgements or settlements cannot be paid and they end up with property instead, it is the kind of property which is useful in this, even if it is just sold off again with some restrictions.
That's not necessarily always an option. A 20 or 30yr fixed rate mortgage is basically unheard of in Australia, for example.No. If you weren't smart enough to get a fixed rate mortgage, then you don't deserve to raise rents just because your mortgage is now more expensive.
Also, you want a fixed rate when interest rates are at their lowest, not when they are about to come down.That's not necessarily always an option. A 20 or 30yr fixed rate mortgage is basically unheard of in Australia, for example.
Well, that's literally how a cartel operates.
Frankly, I hope both the company and a few engineers get prosecuted. RealPage is illegal, if it's torn down as it deserves but no engineers are prosecuted, it'll be easy for it's replacement to hire back the same people.While I'm happy the feds and additional states are suing RealPage, I can't help but be sad the DOJ didn't file criminal charges. RealPage seems to match the criteria (bolding mine).
https://www.ftc.gov/advice-guidance/competition-guidance/guide-antitrust-laws/antitrust-laws
This is an excellent point.Many foreign countries actually (and expressly) forbid foreign ownership of residential properties. Greece allowed a bunch of foreign companies to come in and buy up huge swaths of its housing market, and that played a significant role in the country's economic implosion. People get pushed into rentals, the money paid in rent leaves the country, and NOTHING comes back in. There's no trade. No exchange. Just a constant economic drain. And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how hyperinflation happens....
They definitely should face scrutiny. I have my doubts that they would face scrutiny.If RealPage operated a separate implicit price-fixing scheme for each sub-market, none of the legal implications would change. Localized market power is still market power. A landlord agent who controls 80% of the multifamily housing in Seattle or Houston would also face scrutiny.
The reason why most class action lawsuits give very small amounts is because they're dealing with very small harms. For example, the Zoom class action harm is pretty small.This is the expected outcome if they win the case.
It would likely end up as a class action, but it would be a big one. It may pale in comparison to the extra paid in rent over time, but it may very well be thousands per person rather than some cents or dollars.
There is also the chance that Harris wins, decides something must be done politically about the housing market but does not want to crush property values, and decides that disgorging profits from this legal event really helps that goal. That would be better for you.
Maybe that would be better for everyone. In fact, I think I will donate more to Harris.
Or even just local people who buy up a ton of the market are also just siphoning money out of the economy. That is what happens when rich people get money. It stops circulating. Doesn't matter a whole lot if they're rich locally or in some other country.This is an excellent point.
But I'd note, this problem doesn't require foreign companies. Just large rental firms with no connection to the communities they own property in. So the process is already underway across the U.S., and like Greece, it's building to a crash. The timeline is up for debate, but I suspect it's 10 to 20 years tops. We'll know the gig is nearly up when smaller rental firms start getting swallowed at a rapid clip.
RealPage's profits from that harm are probably not sufficient to cover the harm to the class, since they basically just made it easier for the landlords to jack up prices, and the landlords will be the ones pocketing the largest cut of the excess. However if RealPage loses here it'll probably set precedent for a bunch of smaller class action suits against each landlord to get it back from them,The reason why most class action lawsuits give very small amounts is because they're dealing with very small harms. For example, the Zoom class action harm is pretty small.
However, the damages here are massive given how long Real Page has been active in the markets. Depending on how far back the collusion goes. You could easily have people who have more than $100k+ of damages over 15 years especially if they lived in a larger city where the rent problems have been much larger. Even if the lawyers get 50% of that money, that is still a huge payout.
In the long run, current housing values have to be gutted. We'll just have to make those who bought in at the top of the market whole.