The Aerospace Industry Discussion Thread

The issue with the F-4 is that it was developed before energy-maneuverability theory was established so it ended up in a lot of engagements it was poorly suited for even though it was quite fast. That's why it's long gone while platforms that aren't that much newer, like the F-15 and F-16, have demonstrated impressive longevity.

Speculation, but with technological progress leading to a considerable increase in missile range, particularly with ramjet missiles like the Meteor, something like it might be more useful today. Though of course, there's also a much greater emphasis on stealth, where it wouldn't have much to contribute.
Nah, we would use the F4 to overwhelm the sensors of today with it's antistealthyness.
 

Chuckstar

Ars Legatus Legionis
37,251
Subscriptor
Agreed, but my comment was the Flogger is a step down in dogfighting compared to the Fishbed. Nothing more.
Which made it sound very much like you were arguing that I was wrong to point out the obsolescence of the MiG-21 and greater capability of the -23, so I responded with the importance of the look-down/shoot-down radar to avoid being ambushed in close.

Are you claiming you were merely making an aside about the airplanes, such that a response as to the key improvement from the -21 to the -23 was irrelevant?
 

Technarch

Ars Legatus Legionis
14,930
Subscriptor
why? Like, a commercial freighter ain't a skunkworks project, why not wring a quarter out of it?

I think it depends on what the NTSB/FAA decide the acceptable fix is going to be. If it's new bearings and a really frequent inspection routine that might be okay for a while. If it's held to be a design flaw and they have to reengineer the whole fucking pylon then byeee.
 

iPilot05

Ars Praefectus
3,785
Subscriptor++
why? Like, a commercial freighter ain't a skunkworks project, why not wring a quarter out of it?
UPS is very phobic of their name being associated with used/damaged equipment. Their delivery trucks all get crushed (or at best painted white and only used for internal purposes other than deliveries) and either buried or melted down . They basically never resell an aircraft after they're done with it, even the parts. They don't want anyone to say "oh that plane involved with drug smuggling used to work for UPS" or "look at that old POS food truck, looks like they used an old UPS delivery van and put a BBQ inside it."

When a UPS MD-11 overran the end of the runway in Korea, they went out into the wreckage and covered up the logos on the airplane even during the investigation. I don't know how they talked the authorities into that but it just shows how much they don't want their name associated with damaged goods.
 
  • Wow
Reactions: continuum
Which made it sound very much like you were arguing that I was wrong to point out the obsolescence of the MiG-21 and greater capability of the -23, so I responded with the importance of the look-down/shoot-down radar to avoid being ambushed in close.

Are you claiming you were merely making an aside about the airplanes, such that a response as to the key improvement from the -21 to the -23 was irrelevant?
No, I was only commenting that once you got in close the Flogger was not an improvement. It had some technical improvements, but it was not a step up like going from the F4 to the F15 for air superiority. The Flogger to Fulcrum was a much larger leap in all categories, except maybe range!
 

nj_kruse

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,141
Subscriptor

Quarthinos

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,900
Subscriptor
Not all in that list are jets.
Newspapers have been treating jet as a noun referring to any generic aircraft for years, regardless of the powerplant of said aircraft. So an Electra might not have a jet powerplant, but I bet most people would probably say it's a jet.


edit: Hell, an MD-11 has a turbofan, which is not strictly speaking a jet engine.
 
Newspapers have been treating jet as a noun referring to any generic aircraft for years, regardless of the powerplant of said aircraft. So an Electra might not have a jet powerplant, but I bet most people would probably say it's a jet.


edit: Hell, an MD-11 has a turbofan, which is not strictly speaking a jet engine.
But those are still more "jet" propulsion than a turboprop, which is "jet" powered or a piston engine.
 

Quarthinos

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,900
Subscriptor
If you don't think the Electra looks like a jet, then say that. You said:
Not all in that list are jets.
and now that I point out that the original post was about the MD-11, which is also not a jet in the sense you seem to be implying, you're complaining that's not what you meant? Are you being pedantic about some of the aircraft on the list don't look like your concept of a jet, or something else? The electra isn't piston engined, it's a turboprop. Museum cutaway model. So it's just as much as a jet as the MD-11, it just has a propeller rather than a fan.
 
If you don't think the Electra looks like a jet, then say that. You said:

and now that I point out that the original post was about the MD-11, which is also not a jet in the sense you seem to be implying, you're complaining that's not what you meant? Are you being pedantic about some of the aircraft on the list don't look like your concept of a jet, or something else? The electra isn't piston engined, it's a turboprop. Museum cutaway model. So it's just as much as a jet as the MD-11, it just has a propeller rather than a fan.
I don't think the 377 Stratocruiser looks like a jet at all, no.
 

demultiplexer

Ars Praefectus
4,944
Subscriptor
That's a really interesting discussion on some level. I personally would only discriminate based on literal powerplant. IOW the stratocruiser and L-749A would definitely not be jets, and to me anything powered by a turbine would be a jet, including turboprops. There is maybe arguably a grey area with turboprops since they derive almost no thrust from the jet of air out of the exhaust, but then what is a CFM RISE-powered aircraft? To me, determining jet-ness by an arbitrary cutoff of bypass ratio is madness, so the only logically consistent choices are that either all turbine aircraft are 'jets' (i.e. everything including helicopters), only pure jets are 'jets' (i.e. basically no aircraft) or only defined bypass ratios are jets, excluding turbprops, turboshafts and RISE.

Another criterium for discriminating between jet and non-jet would be a pressurized cabin, allowing for higher, faster flight out of the weather. That's pretty much what distinguishes the jet age from what came before. In that case, IMO all of the aircraft on the list are jets, even though some use piston engines and props.
 

continuum

Ars Legatus Legionis
97,602
Moderator
Some current insight on some of the concepts/hybrid/electric aircraft that have been in the news the last few years.

(proper article title: Outlook 2026: The airliner projects that promise new technology and lower emissions)
https://leehamnews.com/2026/02/05/o...t-promise-new-technology-and-lower-emissions/

Paywall but some choice bits on some two of the more well-know speculative ones:

Boom Aerospace and their prototype (supersonic always fun!):
Today, it has no technological resemblance to the target aircraft for development, certification, and deliveries.
And:
The problem is that it must have low-noise takeoff and landing, which is technologically tied to a high bypass ratio, whereas supersonic flight is tied to a low bypass ratio.


It has not been revealed whether the engine is a fixed-medium bypass engine or a variable-bypass engine. Developing a new engine concurrently with the US’s first supersonic passenger airframe is more than challenging. We have no running engine nor taxing prototype, so it’s difficult to say where the project stands.


Honestly, in practical terms, was more interested in the JetZero BWB:
JetZero says the BWB will be 30% more aerodynamically efficient than the aircraft it replaces, which in this case should be the Boeing 767.
and:
problem for JetZero is that the wing’s large size requires it to fly at over 41,000 ft to reduce parasitic drag, which is the maximum altitude of an A321neo or 737 MAX. At such high altitudes, high-bypass engines such as CFM LEAP and Pratt & Whitney GTF experience thrust loss. The plus 40,000 feet area is for the superlong-range Business jets with their low-bypass engines.

Unfortunately, these engines are too small for JetZero’s project, so the three-generation-old Pratt & Whitney PW2040 is used instead
and:
Compared with today’s GE9X, the most modern engine in flight test, the PW2040 would deliver 25% higher fuel consumption, so the project is dangerously close to delivering only marginal improvement
 

iPilot05

Ars Praefectus
3,785
Subscriptor++
Ah the old “one true Scotsman” debate over what a jet is.

Really in practical sense there’s just three categories: piston, turboprop and turbojet. Whether it’s a 707 with straight pipe turbojets or a A350 high bypass turbofan is nitpicky bullshit in comparison.

Out in the real world it’s really just the three categories that determine how they fly, get handled by ATC and get charged for parking and maintenance ;)
 

Quarthinos

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,900
Subscriptor
How about civilian afterburning turbojets?

Of course the Concorde is no more -- IMHO the Concorde wing and engine nacelles still are some of the most aesthetically pleasing design work ever done in aviation -- but there are a couple F-104's with civilian regs ... ;)
Doing a quick wikipedia search says the F-86H had afterburners, too. I know Michael Dorn had an F-86 for a while, but no idea if it was an H.
 

NervousEnergy

Ars Legatus Legionis
11,452
Subscriptor
Doing a quick wikipedia search says the F-86H had afterburners, too. I know Michael Dorn had an F-86 for a while, but no idea if it was an H.
I'm not a pilot (other than VR) and am too risk averse to ever really get into general aviation, but I followed the old ME-262 restoration project while it was going on over a decade ago. Owning a 262 with modern engines would have been the pinnacle of awesomeness in terms of classic aircraft.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AdrianS
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Categ...idents_involving_in-flight_engine_separations
MD-11/DC-10 x2
L-749A
707 x3
L-188 Electra
377 Stratocruiser x2
737-230A
747 x3
An-24
Il-18
Trans-Air Service Flight 671 was of particular note (one of the 707s).

On 31 March 1992, Trans-Air Service Flight 671 suffers an in-flight separation of its two right engines while en route to Kano, Nigeria, forcing the pilots to make an emergency landing at Istres-Le Tubé Air Base in France. The number three engine detached due to metal fatigue and tore off the number four engine.

It's happened to military aircraft too which aren't included on that list, such as a Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker:

On 6 February 1991, a military aerial refueling aircraft loses both engines from under the left wing while on a combat mission in Saudi Arabia during the Gulf War, forcing the pilots to make an emergency landing. The accident was attributed to severe wake turbulence from a passing KC-135.

Needless to say, these make for some of the more interesting Mayday episodes, particularly given in both above examples the pilots were still able to still safely land the compromised aircraft!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Fingolfin

Technarch

Ars Legatus Legionis
14,930
Subscriptor
Scott Manley has posted a good discussion of the many things that went wrong with Starliner:


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L96asfTvJ_A


Classifying this as a Type A mishap is really serious and yet it still doesn't fully describe the magnitude of the failure. This could easily have taken out the entire ISS and everyone on it. We're extremely lucky the Starliner astronauts survived. Lots of executives should have been fired.
 

sryan2k1

Ars Legatus Legionis
46,410
Subscriptor++
I mean he says it later in the video but the fact that Boeing is allowed to "self police" ends up with shit. This is basically 737MAX/MCAS all over.

I especially like the part about someone said it was the wrong O-Rings but nothing came of it.

It also seems a failure of NASA to not know that what they were flying didn't meet the standards/requirements that had been agreed to.


The fact that nobody died or it didn't slam into the ISS is pretty nice though I guess.
 

Technarch

Ars Legatus Legionis
14,930
Subscriptor
I mean he says it later in the video but the fact that Boeing is allowed to "self police" ends up with shit. This is basically 737MAX/MCAS all over.

I especially like the part about someone said it was the wrong O-Rings but nothing came of it.

Yeah that stuck out, something like "a non metal washer is not a seal, it is a controlled leak".

It also seems a failure of NASA to not know that what they were flying didn't meet the standards/requirements that had been agreed to.


The fact that nobody died or it didn't slam into the ISS is pretty nice though I guess.

Given that the thrusters were guaranteed to fail eventually, and that Starliner was somehow accepted without meeting the fault tolerance specs in the contract, I think live astronauts was actually a statistically unlikely outcome. Far more likely that the capsule would have tumbled out of control, only question is whether that happened before or after it was headed for the ISS.
 
Sandboxx impromptu video drop, expect more on the usual Friday release.

Fresh info on the F-22 Raptor upgrades:
  • New stealth fuel tanks can be dropped, but are intended to be semi-permanent. Unlike current drop tanks, they are intended to be taken into combat. Still a significant range extension over the bare F-22.
  • New external passive-IR search-and-track targeting pods
  • Engine upgrades
  • New modular software platform to make future upgrades easier
  • Helmet-cued targeting
Speculation about similar tanks for F-35, but it's not copy/paste even though F-35 is plumbed for external tanks. Stealth features will require aircraft-specific implementation. Speculation that Israel may have cracked the requirements.


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_0L9uASjA
 

Chuckstar

Ars Legatus Legionis
37,251
Subscriptor
Sandboxx impromptu video drop, expect more on the usual Friday release.

Fresh info on the F-22 Raptor upgrades:
  • New stealth fuel tanks can be dropped, but are intended to be semi-permanent. Unlike current drop tanks, they are intended to be taken into combat. Still a significant range extension over the bare F-22.
  • New external passive-IR search-and-track targeting pods
  • Engine upgrades
  • New modular software platform to make future upgrades easier
  • Helmet-cued targeting
Speculation about similar tanks for F-35, but it's not copy/paste even though F-35 is plumbed for external tanks. Stealth features will require aircraft-specific implementation. Speculation that Israel may have cracked the requirements.


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_0L9uASjA

The IR is probably much more about detecting stealth than avoiding radiating radar. The F-22’s radar is LPI, so already very hard to detect against the noise background. Maybe I’ve missed something, but so far I haven’t seen any evidence that anyone has cracked the problem of detecting such LPI radars.
 

Chuckstar

Ars Legatus Legionis
37,251
Subscriptor
I thought I read recently that this is more than speculation
Israel announced they have both stealthy external tanks and some missiles that can ride under the wings stealthily (although have not been specific regarding what missiles, at least that I’ve seen). The speculation is that they worked closely with Lockheed, such that the tech might not be proprietary to Israel. The Israeli tanks are probably not droppable, which might be why the U.S. is still working on stealthy droppable tanks for the F-35, similar to those for the F-22. If they’ve cracked the code for the F-22, seems like a version for the F-35 is a matter of development time+$, rather than a fundamental issue of how to accomplish it. Seems unlikely there’s something about the two planes that makes the development process of such tanks much easier for one than the other. More likely there was some fundamental issue with the concept that needed cracking — maybe the stealth geometry design software couldn’t handle the more complex geometry of a tank sticking out like that, without a meaningful upgrade, as one possibility.

EDIT: What I’ve seen about missiles is Israel claiming they can carry up to four underwing missiles along with the external tanks without compromising stealth, but not saying anything else about what missiles those might be.
 
Last edited:

Megalodon

Ars Legatus Legionis
36,631
Subscriptor
EDIT: What I’ve seen about missiles is Israel claiming they can carry up to four underwing missiles along with the external tanks without compromising stealth, but not saying anything else about what missiles those might be.

Don't think that's possible unless the missiles are themselves stealthy, or are carried in a stealthy fairing.
 

Chuckstar

Ars Legatus Legionis
37,251
Subscriptor
Don't think that's possible unless the missiles are themselves stealthy, or are carried in a stealthy fairing.
I assume that's exactly what they mean: they have either developed one or more stealthy missiles or have developed a fairing that works with one or more missile models. If one can develop a stealthy external fuel tank, applying the same process to a missile or fairing is entirely plausible. But I don't mean to make any assertion beyond that I read that Israel claimed to have such a capability and that such a capability is plausible.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Megalodon

MilleniX

Ars Tribunus Angusticlavius
7,786
Subscriptor++
https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/27/science/nasa-moon-landing-artemis-schedule
It looks like Jared Isaacman has moved to at least partially rationalize the Artemis program, to the extent that continuing it at all is rational. Some of these things require legislative changes in the NASA authorization bill, but it sounds like they're in the draft already
  • HLS will be tested in LEO on Artemis III, moving a landing attempt back to Artemis IV
  • Vehicle construction for flights IV and V may move ahead in close succession
  • SLS Block 1B development is cancelled
  • Exploration Upper Stage (EUS) development may also be cancelled
Between this and the decisive publication of the Starliner mishap report, I'm liking his tenure as administrator so far.
 

continuum

Ars Legatus Legionis
97,602
Moderator
maybe the stealth geometry design software couldn’t handle the more complex geometry of a tank sticking out like that, without a meaningful upgrade, as one possibility.
Having recently been at a supercomputing-focused presentation by GE, I can believe that; computing power now of the very largest HPCs (such as Frontier) are able to handle calculations needed for parts of an airframe at high detail levels, but the entire airframe (or a large enough part) are still not possible at the resolution demanded. I should caveat this presentation was for airflow/aerodynamics, not radar reflections, so YMMV. Obviously there are significant asterisks there to anything I am saying if you are trying to extrapolate out.
 

MilleniX

Ars Tribunus Angusticlavius
7,786
Subscriptor++
Having recently been at a supercomputing-focused presentation by GE, I can believe that; computing power now of the very largest HPCs (such as Frontier) are able to handle calculations needed for parts of an airframe at high detail levels, but the entire airframe (or a large enough part) are still not possible at the resolution demanded. I should caveat this presentation was for airflow/aerodynamics, not radar reflections, so YMMV. Obviously there are significant asterisks there to anything I am saying if you are trying to extrapolate out.
Honestly, a lot of this sort of limitation is simply due to under-investment in software and the implementation of modern numerical methods. That's not to mention ML-based surrogate models for parts of the physical calculations. The major aerospace players tend to have a lot of established simulation codes that they've grown over the years, and won't spend money improving it because they're mostly in a market where they're not really racing any particular competitor to get the next big thing out to customers.

For contrast, wind turbine manufacturers doing very similar aero-structural simulations have incredibly sophisticated simulation suites, that are the subject of huge amounts of innovation and development for a competitive edge in improving subsequent product design generations.
 

Chuckstar

Ars Legatus Legionis
37,251
Subscriptor
Honestly, a lot of this sort of limitation is simply due to under-investment in software and the implementation of modern numerical methods. That's not to mention ML-based surrogate models for parts of the physical calculations. The major aerospace players tend to have a lot of established simulation codes that they've grown over the years, and won't spend money improving it because they're mostly in a market where they're not really racing any particular competitor to get the next big thing out to customers.

For contrast, wind turbine manufacturers doing very similar aero-structural simulations have incredibly sophisticated simulation suites, that are the subject of huge amounts of innovation and development for a competitive edge in improving subsequent product design generations.
I would expect that the defense primes would be happy to update their numerical methods software to allow them to do more complex analyses… for a fee, of course. ;)
 

Quarthinos

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,900
Subscriptor
NASA put out the equivalent of a bug bounty for their major windflow/drag/aerodynamics model a few years ago (maybe a decade now). They pointed to their current code repo and said that lines x-y of file z were a big bottleneck, and they'd give bounties for anyone who could improve the code. The only issue was that all the code was in FORTRAN. No idea if they ever paid out any money.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Technarch

Anacher

Ars Praefectus
5,580
Subscriptor++
NASA put out the equivalent of a bug bounty for their major windflow/drag/aerodynamics model a few years ago (maybe a decade now). They pointed to their current code repo and said that lines x-y of file z were a big bottleneck, and they'd give bounties for anyone who could improve the code. The only issue was that all the code was in FORTRAN. No idea if they ever paid out any money.

Be happy it was in FORTRAN! It coulda been in ADA.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bardon