Speaking of auguring into the ground:I'll do it for 5%! And I have real qualifications: I've held a senior role at a company as it augured into the ground before.
Crazy thought: if TrumpElon manages to gut the EPA, and eliminate its regulations enough that the emission credits program dies out, what will Tesla do for spare change? Everybody else will be pivoting to ever more giant (and profitable) diesel & gasoline-powered pickups and SUVs, but they won't need to buy emission credits from Tesla any more.There's no way this is an anti-Musk move by the board. The board isn't independent and Musk has effective voting control. And he's responsible for around 95% of TSLA's market cap. When you're sitting on a shaky meme stock you don't dump the meme.
More likely Musk is looking for a way out. He's not interested in running a car company. He's very particularly not interested in running this particular car company. He wants to be running an AI company and/or a media empire and/or a city on Mars, all of which are far enough in the future to leave a nice runway for massive fund-raising before any actual results are required.
The problem is the getting out. Musk leaving Tesla means TSLA's stock reverts to a normal car stock valuation which blows a huge hole in his personal financial empire. So he can't just walk away. He needs a buyer who'll pay a Musk premium for a business Musk isn't interested in anymore.
Best guess: xAI investors. In the form of dilution, with xAi buying out TSLA in a stock deal. Not likely today's SEC would look closely at that one. Nor the next one in which Musk gets the xAI board to cut him enough options to wipe out his own dilution, thereby throwing the entire cost of the deal onto the outside xAI investors. While simultaneously screwing TSLA investors by paying them out in inflated xAi stock. All justified by synergies.
Second best guess: someone who wants to launder a shitload of money to Donald Trump.
Third best guess: someone with larger financial interests involving the federal government.
Either way, Elon's not going back to running a failing car company, so they're going to need a plausible candidate to run the place after he's sold out and gone. That's probably what this search is about, though depending on headhunters to be discreet about a big new client was probably a mistake.
On the other hand, when Steve Jobs died is was said to be terrible for Apple's future. Turned out not to be the case. Then again, can the Tesla brand survive the taint of Musk?Removing Elon Musk is simultaneously the best thing the board can do for the company and the worst thing it can do for the stock price.
Since they work for existing shareholders, it is arguably their fiduciary duty to keep him.
He could be a great asset to a macro data refinement team, especially that he’s already fairly skilled at forgetting uncomfortable memories.Maybe he should quit his low-productivity CEO job and move to a high-productivity manufacturing or materials refining job.
Honestly, Musk is the brand. He made it so. I'm not sure Tesla has a long term future without him.This very poor excuse for a human does not deserve anything. They need to give him the boot to save the brand. He’s nothing short of a POS.
Perhaps he come to the office more and do some 'hands on work', like doing a more public service job that the employees would notice, think custodial. and OFC in the off hours, tidying up the excess contents of various office receptacles. The navy expression 'swabbing the decks' could be another of these public service activities.Maybe he should quit his low-productivity CEO job and move to a high-productivity manufacturing or materials refining job.
Last quarter their profit was smaller than the revenue generated by tax credits from non ev auto sales. They lost money on every unit sold without those creditsCrazy thought: if TrumpElon manages to gut the EPA, and eliminate its regulations enough that the emission credits program dies out, what will Tesla do for spare change? Everybody else will be pivoting to ever more giant (and profitable) diesel & gasoline-powered pickups and SUVs, but they won't need to buy emission credits from Tesla any more.
That said, so far at least, Tesla isn't a "failing" car company, but it certainly is showing cracks in the facade. They still appear to make a profit per unit sold, on average, unlike nearly everybody else (though GM might be about to cross that line) with EVs (E: in the US at least). And if Their Favorite PresidentTM sticks with backing off from tariffs on offshore-sourced parts for in-country vehicle assembly Tesla will benefit as much as the others.
Even if I could afford one, though, I wouldn't buy one. Several reasons, but the putative CEO's antics are certainly among them.
More truth = More capsYou can tell how truthful their denial is by their use of ALL CAPS TEXT.
Translation: "I'm done ratfucking the US Government and can now return to my previous part-time side gig ratfucking Tesla.
Removing Elon Musk is simultaneously the best thing the board can do for the company and the worst thing it can do for the stock price.
Since they work for existing shareholders, it is arguably their fiduciary duty to keep him.
Grok for CEO! *
*Can't do any worse than the current option.
It's also possible the board is doing this to get some leverage over Musk to get him back to work. Because, much as i despise the man, when he is paying attention, he makes things happen. He does it in the worst possible ways, but from a board's POV, that's fine because it makes money. I find it plausible that they would continue supporting him so long as he isn't distracted. I also find it plausible that the executive search firm is a Plan B.
I've seen very little evidence that he has been capable of getting things done in a constructive, disciplined way for a number of years now. To whatever extent he was that guy, I think the objective evidence is that he's not anymore, and that he's devolved into a distractible, addled, megalomaniac chaos agent motivated largely by narcissistic injury and impunity. Typically, when someone starts acting that way, it gets worse, not better. The board may be conflicted and captive, but they are not stupid people, and I suspect they know this.Like Falcon Heavy. Like Starship. Like the enormous amount of work required to move manufacturing to a new state (on a whim because irritated, but still). You can argue that other people do the work, and you would be correct, but also missing the point. The man is a dumpster-fire of a human being, but from a supportive board's point of view, when he isn't distracted, he is awesome for them.
According to Google...Tesla's board derive vast wealth from their Tesla shares, and know full well the share price would collapse if they replaced Musk with a real CEO. So there is precisely no chance they'll do that.
Nah, not really. They can still build individual units and sell them for more than it cost to produce, so they're making money on the sales. They're just selling few enough units that they can't cover their expenses with the total revenue of those sales without the credit sales to prop them up.Last quarter their profit was smaller than the revenue generated by tax credits from non ev auto sales. They lost money on every unit sold without those credits
I don't know. Could be raining.Grok for CEO! *
*Can't do any worse than the current option.
Definitely failing. They're facing massively increased competition with an aging and/or unpopular product mix and a brand that's now toxic in their major markets. Tesla sales are down YOY and 13% in Q1 whereas EV sales overall are up.That said, so far at least, Tesla isn't a "failing" car company, but it certainly is showing cracks in the facade. They still appear to make a profit per unit sold, on average, unlike nearly everybody else (though GM might be about to cross that line) with EVs (E: in the US at least). And if Their Favorite PresidentTM sticks with backing off from tariffs on offshore-sourced parts for in-country vehicle assembly Tesla will benefit as much as the others.
Just tell them its vengeance. They grok vengeance. It's their raison d'etre, only MAGA-made. None of this frenchified stuff. It reminds them of guillotines.I've been organizing Tesla Takedowns locally and the "feedback" we get from the other side is that we're getting paid to do it. It's striking that Musk and his followers can't seem to wrap their minds around the idea that people do things for reasons other than financial renumeration.
Only if you consider it an actual business, and not a stock.not entirely sure why him spending more time in tesla would make any sort of difference as he's the albatross around the neck of the brand.
Bear in mind last summer intelligent money managers knew his huckstering was the only thing propping up Tesla's inflated valuation and voted grudgingly to approve the compensation plan I think most of them knew he wasn't going to be able to earn anyway. I suspect it was their last ditch effort to buy time in the forlorn hope maybe, just maybe, the horse might learn to dance.not entirely sure why him spending more time in tesla would make any sort of difference as he's the albatross around the neck of the brand.
I’m sure they notice that Musk’s increasingly unhinged and unpopular behaviour is a problem but I’m equally sure they realize that the reason their holdings in Tesla are as high as they are is because of Musk. No Musk, no irrationally high stock prices.First, I want to say how much I en joyed encountering a good old-fashioned line-by-line fisking. Even though I disagree: that was fun.
I don't know. What I was trying to postulate was that it was possible that there were other explanations that might be worth explore, such as the board using it strategically to get someone back in line. I admit that with his brother, employees, and friends on the board it seems unlikely, but is it possible that even they see a problem? Yes.
Falcon Heavy isn’t successful solely because of Musk (or any one singular individual at SpaceX).Like Falcon Heavy. Like Starship.
You can’t put that solely on Musk’s shoulders though. Musk isn’t the one figuring out how to do that. He’s just the one who threw a temper tantrum and demanded that the company move states.Like the enormous amount of work required to move manufacturing to a new state (on a whim because irritated, but still). You can argue that other people do the work, and you would be correct, but also missing the point.
The problem is that he hasn’t been focused for years.The man is a dumpster-fire of a human being, but from a supportive board's point of view, when he isn't distracted, he is awesome for them.
The problem is that he is so distracted by his 6 other companies, being terminally online and trying his damnedest to follow and promulgate the 14 words. His dive into politics is just another bullet on a laundry list of distractions.Again: You aren't wrong, but from a supportive board's point of view, that reason is that he's distracted by shiny politics instead of focusing on his job.
Past performance is not indicative of future success. I honestly think that Tesla would eventually be hurting regardless if Musk was fully committed to Tesla and Tesla only. Tesla has made huge promises year after year that they have continually failed to deliver on. Tesla is trying to make a business case for Optimus that is absolutely ridiculous and not viable. Eventually those cheques will need to be cashed and they will absolutely bounce.Tesla was doing well before he got distracted, so either you get him un-distracted (supportive board), or you replace him (board fed up with his s—) Could be either of those. Both could lead to hiring an executive search firm.
I disagree. It just was a problem that the board either saw and was willing to ignore or were not cognizant of.Sure. But until now it wasn't a problem.
Except you are defending him.Please don't think I am defending or supporting the man. He's a complete asshat. What I am doing is pointing out that there are other possible explanations that aren't entirely ridiculous.
xAI.Which company would that be? The right-wing social network company, or the rocket company, or the tunnel-boring company? (That last one being a complete scam to prevent cities from investing in public transit. Really, The Boring Company is a pro-Tesla ploy.)
I am not even going to start to guess what the board may or may not want of Musk other than basically cater to his every whim because he’s good for their net worth. Hence why the pay packages were overturned… the board is not independent of Musk.No. I am not saying that. I am says that the board probably wants him not to be distracted. Don't let your irritation confuse you into thinking I support the man.
Of course… I’m not sure why you think that is news to any of us?That may be. We don't know this. There is no evidence either way. We're all speculating here. None of us really knows. We're playing a game of Kremlinology here.
Oh man. That's not something to worry about at all.According to Google...
"Other than the small purchase from Joe Gebbia disclosed last night, Tesla executives and board members have exclusively exercised stock options and sold them right away. Robyn Denholm, Tesla's Chairwoman, has been the top seller. She sold over $150 million worth of Tesla stocks over the last 6 months."
Except you are defending him.
The company is well past it's due date. If this were an honest, logical timeline the company would have gone tits up somewhere around the pedo-guy incident. Their products are crap even without the nut job in charge.How could they be motivated to do their jobs when they only get paltry millions and not the billions that are totally justified to get their CEO to show up for work?
There are no reasons for a board doing its job to support him. None.If that is how you read it, then either I have failed to communicate, or you were unable to see through your hatred of Musk. I was not at any point "defending him"; I was exploring how from a supportive board's point of view, there are reasons to retain him. You do make effective points about the downsides of keeping him, and I agree with all of them. But this isn't about me: I'm not the board.
I will accept that it was my own failure to explain that I was trying to explore other possible explanations for the executive search. I thought it was clear I don't support Musk. I guess it was not clear.
Translation:"there was a media report erroneously claiming that the Tesla Board had contacted recruitment firms to initiate a CEO search at the company."
"This is absolutely false (and this was communicated to the media before the report was published). The CEO of Tesla is Elon Musk and the Board is highly confident in his ability to continue executing on the exciting growth plan ahead," Denholm's statement said.
IfThe problem really isn't about the amount of work he's doing at Tesla, it's that he's become a toxic personality for brands he touches. He needs to just take a break for a few years so he's not in the spotlight for a while.
If they're only covering their unit costs and not their fixed costs then they're not "making money" on the sales at the end of the day because those fixed costs are still part of the total COGS (cost of goods sold)Nah, not really. They can still build individual units and sell them for more than it cost to produce, so they're making money on the sales. They're just selling few enough units that they can't cover their expenses with the total revenue of those sales without the credit sales to prop them up.