ChatGPT competitor secures billions from Microsoft and Nvidia in deal to use cloud services and chips.
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Out of curiosity, where have you moved those investments?I have now moved more than 60% of all investments into things which have very minimal or no AI exposure. Will take one last look in December and decide on the rest.
In another thread, someone suggested that if you're a boring index-fund investor, move to a "capped" index-fund where no one element (NVDA, etc) can be as super-overweighted as they are in a conventional index fund. This means that when/if the magnificent N deflate, instead of starting from 30% of the index, they're starting from like 5%. Timing the pop of the bubble is basically just a matter of luck. Maybe it was a month ago! Maybe there's another 50% pump still to come.So if everyone knows it's a bubble...What do you do? Sell off all your stonks or what?
https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/822011/coreweave-debt-data-center-aiDid these companies go to the Enron school for accounting? I'm just waiting to hear about opaque special purpose entities when they have report on their finances. As the AI companies are privately held, it may be a while before they have to show anything to the public.
These two situations are nowhere near congruent. If Microsoft loses their $100B investment in OpenAI, that sucks for Microsoft. These are not collateralized debt obligations where junk debt was mixed with good debt, then sliced up and all sold as good debt.When the AI bubble pops, there's a best case and a worst case scenario. Best case, it deflates gently while Big Tech finds another hype to throw billions at. Minimal collateral damage. Worst case, it crashes hard and makes 2008 look like a picnic.
Looks like these investors are all in for the hard crash.
Heaven forbid that the money do anything which might help to improve the lives, and futures, of the ordinary people , whom our mastersI worry that the AI bubble will turn out like the crypto bubble, which keeps rising, sucking in huge amounts of capital and energy, then popping and destroying vast amounts of value, then rising again and causing the same problems. I suspect that AI isn't going away any time soon, but neither will it generate much in the way of value for anyone.
This will keep happening as long as the underlying cause goes unaddressed - there is too much money in the hands of very few people, with nowhere to usefully invest it or spend it.
These circular investments will abruptly stop when the AI bubble bursts, so which companies, apart from nVidia, will suffer serious harm when this happens?
There's a lot of loans from normal-economy sources propping up datacenter construction. If OpenAI folds, then those datacenter companies fold, then those loans go bad. Microsoft/Google/etc are protected because of their financial engineering. A lot of the loans are collateralized with GPUs. Do you think those GPUs will hold their value in a world where datacenters are going under? You'll end up with a bank or private equity firm holding onto a bunch of now-worthless silicon along with a giant cash loss.These two situations are nowhere near congruent. If Microsoft loses their $100B investment in OpenAI, that sucks for Microsoft. These are not collateralized debt obligations where junk debt was mixed with good debt, then sliced up and all sold as good debt.
If there's anyone familiar with my posts I'm not surprised, I've been saying they're purposely trying to destroy money in ways that don't give regular people any benefit. No shoes, no shirts, no services, no food. Just getting rid of money without having inflation go off the rails. Why? They see how far away and hostile Mars is and they think it's the cheapest and lowest-effort way to keep Earth habitable for themselves and their descendants. They just need to be able to kill anyone coming at them with pitchforks and torches and they're golden. They know their bank balance doesn't actually matter.$1.4 trillion of whose money?
With the copyright suit and other stuff Anthropic has been in the news for recently, I am kind of surprised these companies are willing to give them more money.
Sounds like Florida brain to me or do other states have a state insurer of last resort?Sam Altman has already said that he thinks of the federal government as "the insurer of last resort". Why anyone should think this is beyond me, except that we've bailed out banks on multiple occasions, auto makers, we subsidize some of the most already profitable enterprises in the world for some reason....and all at the expense of regular people. Always, always, the regular people just trying to get by.
Oh no, it has hemorrhoids, internal and external. Anyone have any rubber bands?For those not familiar with the AI circle
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Reagan's mind might have been a bit boggled when he deregulated banking and finance. Trickle down indeed, and it's even golden!How stock promotion schemes like this are legal just boggles my mind...
Reagan was a p.o.s. until he went gaga, then he was a gaga p.o.s.Reagan's mind might have been a bit boggled when he deregulated banking and finance. Trickle down indeed, and it's even golden!