"I am very unhappy with the openly hostile policy of the USA toward my country."
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Day to day it seems that nothing much is happening in Ukraine/russia. Huge numbers of people die, Russia slowly grabs unimportant bits of devastated land (which may have been important in the past, but it got destroyed months ago). Repeat endlessly.
The theory of victory for Ukraine really seems to be reduced to a Russian financial collapse leading to regime change. I don’t know how long Russia can hold off bank runs, but even if they happen, would it actually cause regime change? And if it did, would it cause military withdrawal?
No, Ukraine's theory of victory is waiting for the Soviet stockpiles to run dry, for Russia's numbers to dwindle, and for their economy to become unable to sustain the war at this scale, all of which is slowly happening, and then to reconstitute enough to take advantage of that. The war will continue to look like nothing much is happening for a while yet, maybe another year. That doesn't mean that that will continue forever.Day to day it seems that nothing much is happening in Ukraine/russia. Huge numbers of people die, Russia slowly grabs unimportant bits of devastated land (which may have been important in the past, but it got destroyed months ago). Repeat endlessly.
The theory of victory for Ukraine really seems to be reduced to a Russian financial collapse leading to regime change. I don’t know how long Russia can hold off bank runs, but even if they happen, would it actually cause regime change? And if it did, would it cause military withdrawal?
A rather important thing to add: to make all this happen before its own forces are unable to secure the front and its own economy becomes unable to sustain the war.No, Ukraine's theory of victory is waiting for the Soviet stockpiles to run dry, for Russia's numbers to dwindle, and for their economy to become unable to sustain the war at this scale, all of which is slowly happening, and then to reconstitute enough to take advantage of that. The war will continue to look like nothing much is happening for a while yet, maybe another year. That doesn't mean that that will continue forever.
Some good people on RedditFR24 spoke of counting the aircraft (seats) that fly to Guantanamo Bay, "should the worst happen". Today's equivalent of the cattle trucks. gods help us, it's nightmarish.Well, what about the policies affecting minorities (e.g the Trans people) ? Because, successfully fighting the large stuff is not going to save them from genocide.
To that note, stolen from the thread in The Bad Place:
Ukraine hasn't talked about militarily reconquering lands since 2023. That suggests their theory of victory isn't that.No, Ukraine's theory of victory is waiting for the Soviet stockpiles to run dry, for Russia's numbers to dwindle, and for their economy to become unable to sustain the war at this scale, all of which is slowly happening, and then to reconstitute enough to take advantage of that. The war will continue to look like nothing much is happening for a while yet, maybe another year. That doesn't mean that that will continue forever.
What they have said is that they don't have the capacity to retake all the occupied areas, with a strong implication that all or most of them will be regained through negotiations. For that to happen they need the military strength and position to make that a reasonable proposition for Russia, so while they may not plan to actually launch a series of counteroffensives, they at least need to look like they could sometime in the future.Ukraine hasn't talked about militarily reconquering lands since 2023. That suggests their theory of victory isn't that.
Anders Nielsen uploaded a video for the optimists (to cure them, I mean):
View: https://youtu.be/p7_rduK5WA0
Fresh water for landlocked nations, sure. For coastal ones, with energy getting ever cheaper, and materials science improving, desalination becomes ever more economically relevant.
Some Spanish regions use water from the desalination plants for agriculture, although probably mainly as a complement for greenhouses that have recirculating hydroponics and rainwater catchment systems.Desalinization's costs have a long long way to go.
Desalinization produces water at > 0,50€/m³. This is OK for human consumption but way way too expensive for farming which is the biggest user and is mostly relies on getting fresh water at ~1 cent/m³.
Passing and enforcing pollution laws/regulations is entirely legit. Even UNCLOS Part III explicitly says it's totally legit meaning that it can be enforced during transit, not just at ports/within the 12 mile limit. Admittedly it's likely to be easier at ports.Danes starting to take the gloves off when it comes to the Russian Shadow Fleet:
https://danwatch.dk/danmark-vil-kontrollere-skyggeflaaden/
TLDR: ships part of Russian's Shadow Fleet that stop to refuel in the Danish port of Skagen will be investigated for compliance with various environmental rules. Ships that fail inspection may be confiscated.
Skagen is not the only port where Shadow Fleet ships can refuel, but there's nothing that stops other ports from following suit.
Some small bit of good news.
municipal water capture and recycling is probably going to make the biggest difference, desalination would just have to make the difference could potentially use some of the brine for roads and for grid storage. so there's some value add potentialSome Spanish regions use water from the desalination plants for agriculture, although probably mainly as a complement for greenhouses that have recirculating hydroponics and rainwater catchment systems.
Syphilis being otherwise disqualifying? What is this, WWI?To that note, stolen from the thread in The Bad Place:
El Paso has been quietly "banking" treated wastewater back into the aquifer since the '80s.municipal water capture and recycling is probably going to make the biggest difference, desalination would just have to make the difference could potentially use some of the brine for roads and for grid storage. so there's some value add potential
Recycling municipal water is like finding small change in your couch. As pointed out above, the lion’s share of water is used in agriculture. After that is industrial, the really big users of which aren’t even attached to municipal systems.municipal water capture and recycling is probably going to make the biggest difference, desalination would just have to make the difference could potentially use some of the brine for roads and for grid storage. so there's some value add potential
I was presuming they were referring to untreated, symptomatic late-stage syphilis.Syphilis being otherwise disqualifying? What is this, WWI?
Orange County, CA has long had a system that purifies to drinkable levels. They still pump it down into the aquifer and then pump up from the aquifer nearby. It’s done only because people seem to accept drinking treated water that has percolated through the aquifer, and rebel against the idea of treated water being piped right to their homes.El Paso has been quietly "banking" treated wastewater back into the aquifer since the '80s.
They now have a project building a new purification system which will route directly into municipal water distribution system.
Oh, you mean like actually thinking it through? Guess in theory I could have done that.I was presuming they were referring to untreated, symptomatic late-stage syphilis.
These hi-tech glasshouses seem to have a life of their own; robotic seeding, transplanting, pollinating, harvesting, precision feeding & watering. All your produce untouched by human hand.Some Spanish regions use water from the desalination plants for agriculture, although probably mainly as a complement for greenhouses that have recirculating hydroponics and rainwater catchment systems.
Maybe foolish, but I'd rebel. Stuff like Flint happens.Orange County, CA has long had a system that purifies to drinkable levels. They still pump it down into the aquifer and then pump up from the aquifer nearby. It’s done only because people seem to accept drinking treated water that has percolated through the aquifer, and rebel against the idea of treated water being piped right to their homes.
What stuff, old lead pipes? That isn't going to happen. What could happen, because it already does, is small molecules like drugs remaining in the purified water. The reverse osmosis systems used in desalination are actually better at this than the conventional water systems most places employ with, for instance, river or ground water. Definitely better than settling ponds and running that through sand. A few small molecules roughly the size of water will pass through an RO system (H2S, for instance), as will some small organics and volatile organics, but the majority of drugs are too big to go through the membrane. Pesticides are mostly pretty big, those should be removed too.Maybe foolish, but I'd rebel. Stuff like Flint happens.
I’m confused by the point, since percolating through the aquifer provides zero benefit. There are actually useful ways to prevent Flint 2.0.Maybe foolish, but I'd rebel. Stuff like Flint happens.
Instead, we should go to other countries of interest with humanitarian hearts, and there are many of them that want to do this and build various domains that will ultimately be occupied by the million Palestinians living in Gaza, ending the death and destruction and frankly bad luck.
The only reason the Palestinians want to go back to Gaza is they have no alternative.
The US will take over the Gaza Strip and we will do a job with it too.
I do see a long-term ownership position and I see it bringing great stability to that part of the Middle East, and maybe the entire Middle East.
Possibly relevant to Ukraine. I'm beginning to wonder if Trump has any concept at all of how most people think about their countries and what they will do to protect them. Consider his recent comments on Gaza, the transcript is here:
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/full-text-trump-and-netanyahus-explosive-news-conference
Among other choice tidbits we have:
Of course this landed like a lead balloon with every Arab and Muslim country, and as far as I can tell, every other country on the planet. The European, Chinese, South American, and etc. statements on the matter have been the diplomatic version of "what a Moron". Also, at long last Iran and Saudi Arabia are standing shoulder to shoulder on something. Great work Mr. President. Anyway, the most striking thing to me is that he seems to think he can treat Gaza in particular, and countries in general, like any other redevelopment project. You know, evict the inhabitants, put up something with TRUMP on the top, and profit. It will be beautiful. But that isn't what happens when dealing with countries. People don't negotiate the sale of their country with an invader and happily move away. Instead the two sides kill each other until the conflict is resolved. He keeps talking about how the Iranians want to kill him, well he can now add pretty much every Palestinian to the list, along with something like a billion other Arabs and Muslims. I wonder if he even remembers who Sirhan Sirhan is, perhaps RFK Jr. can remind him?
@SebLecomu via DeepL Translate said:On 6 June 2024,
@EmmanuelMacron
announced the delivery of French Mirage 2000s to Ukraine.
The first of them arrived in Ukraine today.
With Ukrainian pilots trained for several months in France on board, they will now help defend Ukraine's skies.
DeepL Translate said:In Kursk Region, an AFU column of 400 Ukrainian servicemen on NATO equipment has launched a counter-offensive from the Suzhansky district towards the Belovskyy district. According to SHOT, part of the column was broken up on the approaches to the village of Ulanok, and fighting is currently taking place there.
How is Isaacman all about Mars? His projects don't seem to have had much to do with it. For example, he wanted to spend a lot of his own money on raising Hubble's orbit and generally prolonging its life. NASA said no, but maybe that will change now. Historically, Musk has worked for him as a provider of services, not vice versa. Musk wants to send ships to Mars in 2 and 4 years, and maybe some NASA funding will contribute to that (and they could benefit enormously from being able to land 100 tonnes at a time instead of less than 1 tonne), but it probably won't be at the expense of Earth sciences and if they also get cut it'll be because of Trump. I would expect Isaacman to be a sane voice who pushes back against that.Anyone got any opinions about Jared Isaacman as head of NASA?
I'm hoping the Earth & Climate Science departments won't be terminated, and the infrared telescope will survive. But it's all about Planet B now. Jared and Elon.
The first of the Mirage 2000s donated by France have arrived in Ukraine
In addition to air-to-air missiles, the Mirage 2000s are fully compatible with the AASM HAMMER rocket-boosted GPS-guided glide bombs that France has been donating to Ukraine since mid-2024
Possibly relevant to Ukraine. I'm beginning to wonder if Trump has any concept at all of how most people think about their countries and what they will do to protect them. Consider his recent comments on Gaza, the transcript is here:
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/full-text-trump-and-netanyahus-explosive-news-conference
Among other choice tidbits we have:
Of course this landed like a lead balloon with every Arab and Muslim country, and as far as I can tell, every other country on the planet. The European, Chinese, South American, and etc. statements on the matter have been the diplomatic version of "what a Moron". Also, at long last Iran and Saudi Arabia are standing shoulder to shoulder on something. Great work Mr. President. Anyway, the most striking thing to me is that he seems to think he can treat Gaza in particular, and countries in general, like any other redevelopment project. You know, evict the inhabitants, put up something with TRUMP on the top, and profit. It will be beautiful. But that isn't what happens when dealing with countries. People don't negotiate the sale of their country with an invader and happily move away. Instead the two sides kill each other until the conflict is resolved. He keeps talking about how the Iranians want to kill him, well he can now add pretty much every Palestinian to the list, along with something like a billion other Arabs and Muslims. I wonder if he even remembers who Sirhan Sirhan is, perhaps RFK Jr. can remind him?
Do they have to move out two-by-two?If we're going for stupid ideas, draw a 40,000 cubit radius circle around Temple Mount, and say that only Angels can live there now. ALL the people have to move out.
If we're going for stupid ideas, draw a 40,000 cubit radius circle around Temple Mount, and say that only Angels can live there now. ALL the people have to move out.
... insurance companies won't cover Florida properties, what makes you think they'd touch the middle east with a 10ft pole?Unlike Jerusalem, the fight over Gaza is only about half religious. There is an Israeli contingent that believe that they have a claim on land which includes Gaza because their God gave it to them. I don't believe that the Palestinians, not even Hamas with its religious fanatics, have made that sort of claim for this particular piece of land. Instead theirs is the more conventional "this is where we have lived for centuries and it is our land".
The way things are going, I will not be surprised when Trump suggests that the two parties refer the matter to their title insurance companies for resolution.
Not just Jerusalem. Most/all of the West Bank represents the heartland of biblical Judaism. Judaism evolved there and Jews actually lived there. Gaza was where the Philistines lived and was just promised to the Jews, at some vague future date (and if they earned it through piety).Unlike Jerusalem, the fight over Gaza is only about half religious. There is an Israeli contingent that believe that they have a claim on land which includes Gaza because their God gave it to them. I don't believe that the Palestinians, not even Hamas with its religious fanatics, have made that sort of claim for this particular piece of land. Instead theirs is the more conventional "this is where we have lived for centuries and it is our land".
The way things are going, I will not be surprised when Trump suggests that the two parties refer the matter to their title insurance companies for resolution.