The proposed bill would ban trading, mining, and even holding cryptocurrencies.
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But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
I'm all for it. It's high time for this energy-sucking scam to be legislated away. It has 0 benefit for humanity.
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
I find that offensive. The so-called "criminals" are really the true giants of our society. Slowly they will disappear and communists and unproductive bureaucrats will take their places. Eventually we'll find out the economy will crash without the power of cryptocurrency.
Then the governments of the world will attempt to take over everyone's money in the bank, and finally Satoshi Nakamoto emerges out of a ranch in Colorado to tell us that we need to fight against the corrupt centralized government-led monetary system.
People listen. The governments officials go mad. Biden offers Nakamoto the combined chair of the Federal Reserve/IMF/WorldBank. But Nakamoto - surrounded by fighter drones and robot waifus all made possible by bitcoin - simply says "no". A short pandemonium briefly follows but bitcoins and other cryptos make a quick work of the recovery afterward.
Dollars become useless. But the internet is kept alive by our heroes and cryptos persist. Cold wallets have become the norm and everything is tracked and kept organized by distributed ledgers. The humanity sees a level of productivity never thought to be possible.
So yeah, let's not ban crypto.
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
I find that offensive. The so-called "criminals" are really the true giants of our society. Slowly they will disappear and communists and unproductive bureaucrats will take their places. Eventually we'll find out the economy will crash without the power of cryptocurrency.
Then the governments of the world will attempt to take over everyone's money in the bank, and finally Satoshi Nakamoto emerges out of a ranch in Colorado to tell us that we need to fight against the corrupt centralized government-led monetary system.
People listen. The governments officials go mad. Biden offers Nakamoto the combined chair of the Federal Reserve/IMF/WorldBank. But Nakamoto - surrounded by fighter drones and robot waifus all made possible by bitcoin - simply says "no". A short pandemonium briefly follows but bitcoins and other cryptos make a quick work of the recovery afterward.
Dollars become useless. But the internet is kept alive by our heroes and cryptos persist. Cold wallets have become the norm and everything is tracked and kept organized by distributed ledgers. The humanity sees a level of productivity never thought to be possible.
So yeah, let's not ban crypto.
Okay, I'll bite. Describe for me a specific example of a case where "decentralized finance" would make life concretely better than it is now in some significant way.
Apparently you can't be bothered to actually spend 30 seconds to google this but I'll go ahead and give you some of my time and write you this response. Not sure why, to be honest, because you seem closed-minded about the subject already, but here goes.
DeFi concretely makes life better for some people in small but meaningful ways:
•1 DeFi does not require an intermediary, which mitigates several issues and inefficiencies.
•2 DeFi markets and credit facilities are open 24/7/365; no need to wait for the bank to open.
•3 DeFi is open to anyone, even if they have bad credit. No closed doors because someone stole your identity and ruined your credit, for example. Many more reasons why this is good. Some reasons why this could be bad.
1. Is not the transaction cost an "intermediary" in a structural sense? This bullet point is vague to the point of uselessness; I genuinely don't know what you mean or even what could be meant.
2. Doesn't venmo/cashapp/paypal cover this use case? I used venmo this morning to pay for breakfast. Instantly.
3. I'm having trouble, conceptually, with the idea of giving people loans without doing due diligence -- "can the person I'm loaning money to pay me back" seems like the key factor in deciding whether or not to loan them the money. I mean, overextended credit was the problem in the subprime mortgage crisis, so how is "DeFi" not an over-leveraged unsecured debt market? Is it just because the insecurity is spread across the entire system?
---
None of this addresses the real problem with cryptocurrency, the baked-in deflationary nature. Deflation discourages economic activity -- strongly -- and is rightly feared by economists.
Let's get ridiculous and say that BTC is going to infinity. I mean,.. let's make the numbers manageable and pretend right now it's 50k, and that it could go to a million. I've seen that said -- BTC to a million; it makes the math easier, because that's 20x what it's worth now.
For every single purchase you make with BTC, you shouldn't really think of it as the current value, but the expected value. Which means -- your 50 dollar movie night with your partner actually "costs" you 1000 dollars. Would I spend 1000 bucks to go to the theatre? No, I wouldn't. Because I'd rather have 1000 bucks in two years than a date with my wife. That vacation we're planning? 3500 bucks? That's 70k in future-BTC! That new car? 600k. Nope, I'll make this one last as long as it can.
So it is with all purchases in a deflationary economy. You shouldn't set up your economy in a way that so very strongly discourages any luxury spending... It's bad for your monetary velocity. If no one's buying anything at all because hey, in two years BTC will be a million bucks per, discretionary spending should drop to near zero. New paperback? Not for 200 bucks, no way.
You really, really don't want discretionary spending to dry up, or cease altogether. That'd be "bad."
If that isn't the case -- if someone has done away with the fundamental problem of a deflationary-by-design model, I'm all ears. I haven't come across anything other than hand-wavey bull.
Okay, I'll bite. Describe for me a specific example of a case where "decentralized finance" would make life concretely better than it is now in some significant way.
Apparently you can't be bothered to actually spend 30 seconds to google this but I'll go ahead and give you some of my time and write you this response. Not sure why, to be honest, because you seem closed-minded about the subject already, but here goes.
DeFi concretely makes life better for some people in small but meaningful ways:
•1 DeFi does not require an intermediary, which mitigates several issues and inefficiencies.
•2 DeFi markets and credit facilities are open 24/7/365; no need to wait for the bank to open.
•3 DeFi is open to anyone, even if they have bad credit. No closed doors because someone stole your identity and ruined your credit, for example. Many more reasons why this is good. Some reasons why this could be bad.
1. Is not the transaction cost an "intermediary" in a structural sense? This bullet point is vague to the point of uselessness; I genuinely don't know what you mean or even what could be meant.
2. Doesn't venmo/cashapp/paypal cover this use case? I used venmo this morning to pay for breakfast. Instantly.
3. I'm having trouble, conceptually, with the idea of giving people loans without doing due diligence -- "can the person I'm loaning money to pay me back" seems like the key factor in deciding whether or not to loan them the money. I mean, overextended credit was the problem in the subprime mortgage crisis, so how is "DeFi" not an over-leveraged unsecured debt market? Is it just because the insecurity is spread across the entire system?
---
None of this addresses the real problem with cryptocurrency, the baked-in deflationary nature. Deflation discourages economic activity -- strongly -- and is rightly feared by economists.
Let's get ridiculous and say that BTC is going to infinity. I mean,.. let's make the numbers manageable and pretend right now it's 50k, and that it could go to a million. I've seen that said -- BTC to a million; it makes the math easier, because that's 20x what it's worth now.
For every single purchase you make with BTC, you shouldn't really think of it as the current value, but the expected value. Which means -- your 50 dollar movie night with your partner actually "costs" you 1000 dollars. Would I spend 1000 bucks to go to the theatre? No, I wouldn't. Because I'd rather have 1000 bucks in two years than a date with my wife. That vacation we're planning? 3500 bucks? That's 70k in future-BTC! That new car? 600k. Nope, I'll make this one last as long as it can.
So it is with all purchases in a deflationary economy. You shouldn't set up your economy in a way that so very strongly discourages any luxury spending... It's bad for your monetary velocity. If no one's buying anything at all because hey, in two years BTC will be a million bucks per, discretionary spending should drop to near zero. New paperback? Not for 200 bucks, no way.
You really, really don't want discretionary spending to dry up, or cease altogether. That'd be "bad."
If that isn't the case -- if someone has done away with the fundamental problem of a deflationary-by-design model, I'm all ears. I haven't come across anything other than hand-wavey bull.
The point about deflationary assets is a good one, but given the power of compounding, that's true of anything you buy when you could have invested the money itself. Young Warren Buffett was apparently famous in his family for saying things like, "Do I want to pay $300,000 for this haircut?"
I don't want this to be construed as being a bitcoin bull, I'm not, but neither am I a complete skeptic. So many bulls and bears seem to think in totality, that bitcoin is either going to take over the world or go to zero, that there is no middle ground or room for bitcoin (or something like it) to serve a purpose somewhere in the middle.
rn mentioned one of these reasons above, which is what if you live somewhere you can't trust the central authority. That's not a small number of people, depending on your definitions, something like half to 2/3rds of the world live under authoritarian regimes. In general, I think there is demand for being able to move semi-large funds around the globe in a way that can't easily be stopped by authorities. Some of these are for nefarious purposes, but others might be to get support to persecuted minorities where other methods are blocked.
Even something like the fragmented state of the cannabis market in the U.S., where even where it is legal, growers and dispensers have difficulty accessing the financial services available to most other businesses, should give pause to thinking that there are no uses for a decentralized currency in the developed world.
I sort of understand crypto and in many ways I don’t. I keep hearing how crypto can be used in unstable countries and save the poor but how are these poor people supposed to have the infrastructure to mine/buy/transact/save their cryptos? How do you trust the one crypto amongst so many?
If I have crypto and you accept only krypto what’s the exchange rate for our transaction?
My 100 cryptos are worth 1000 “real” money today, 10,000 tomorrow and 50 the day after. Am I going to be timing my Costco purchases to get the best deal on the hotdogs?
Don’t expect you to answer each of my questions but would appreciate an unbiased internet resource that is not peddling their own utopian currency.
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
I find that offensive. The so-called "criminals" are really the true giants of our society. Slowly they will disappear and communists and unproductive bureaucrats will take their places. Eventually we'll find out the economy will crash without the power of cryptocurrency.
Then the governments of the world will attempt to take over everyone's money in the bank, and finally Satoshi Nakamoto emerges out of a ranch in Colorado to tell us that we need to fight against the corrupt centralized government-led monetary system.
People listen. The governments officials go mad. Biden offers Nakamoto the combined chair of the Federal Reserve/IMF/WorldBank. But Nakamoto - surrounded by fighter drones and robot waifus all made possible by bitcoin - simply says "no". A short pandemonium briefly follows but bitcoins and other cryptos make a quick work of the recovery afterward.
Dollars become useless. But the internet is kept alive by our heroes and cryptos persist. Cold wallets have become the norm and everything is tracked and kept organized by distributed ledgers. The humanity sees a level of productivity never thought to be possible.
So yeah, let's not ban crypto.
That's simply absurd.If you do proper research you'll find that India is much more democratic than many 'labelled' democracies.
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
I find that offensive. The so-called "criminals" are really the true giants of our society. Slowly they will disappear and communists and unproductive bureaucrats will take their places. Eventually we'll find out the economy will crash without the power of cryptocurrency.
Then the governments of the world will attempt to take over everyone's money in the bank, and finally Satoshi Nakamoto emerges out of a ranch in Colorado to tell us that we need to fight against the corrupt centralized government-led monetary system.
People listen. The governments officials go mad. Biden offers Nakamoto the combined chair of the Federal Reserve/IMF/WorldBank. But Nakamoto - surrounded by fighter drones and robot waifus all made possible by bitcoin - simply says "no". A short pandemonium briefly follows but bitcoins and other cryptos make a quick work of the recovery afterward.
Dollars become useless. But the internet is kept alive by our heroes and cryptos persist. Cold wallets have become the norm and everything is tracked and kept organized by distributed ledgers. The humanity sees a level of productivity never thought to be possible.
So yeah, let's not ban crypto.
I admire the way you've walked that fine line between humor and Ayn-Randian libertarian cultism. At least, that's what I'm hoping you were aiming for...
"Officials seem to be worried that ordinary Indian consumers could make bad cryptocurrency bets and lose their savings as a result. "
Oh horseshit. They just can't figure out how to get their cut. I don't have a dog in the fight either way but there's basically zero chance that caring about the wellbeing of others is a major factor here.
I wonder if the timing of this announcement has anything to do with BTC dropping 5 thousand dollars overnight.
Good thing, for the wrong reason, but living in a 3rd world country with record inflation (only surpassed by Venezuela?) I may understand why people would have their savings in another currency that is not local.
Given that, I still think that mining should be banned... either you provide something of value to the society or your electricty is cut. But people says I am an extremist.
Okay, I'll bite. Describe for me a specific example of a case where "decentralized finance" would make life concretely better than it is now in some significant way.
Apparently you can't be bothered to actually spend 30 seconds to google this but I'll go ahead and give you some of my time and write you this response. Not sure why, to be honest, because you seem closed-minded about the subject already, but here goes.
DeFi concretely makes life better for some people in small but meaningful ways:
•1 DeFi does not require an intermediary, which mitigates several issues and inefficiencies.
•2 DeFi markets and credit facilities are open 24/7/365; no need to wait for the bank to open.
•3 DeFi is open to anyone, even if they have bad credit. No closed doors because someone stole your identity and ruined your credit, for example. Many more reasons why this is good. Some reasons why this could be bad.
1. Is not the transaction cost an "intermediary" in a structural sense? This bullet point is vague to the point of uselessness; I genuinely don't know what you mean or even what could be meant.
2. Doesn't venmo/cashapp/paypal cover this use case? I used venmo this morning to pay for breakfast. Instantly.
3. I'm having trouble, conceptually, with the idea of giving people loans without doing due diligence -- "can the person I'm loaning money to pay me back" seems like the key factor in deciding whether or not to loan them the money. I mean, overextended credit was the problem in the subprime mortgage crisis, so how is "DeFi" not an over-leveraged unsecured debt market? Is it just because the insecurity is spread across the entire system?
---
None of this addresses the real problem with cryptocurrency, the baked-in deflationary nature. Deflation discourages economic activity -- strongly -- and is rightly feared by economists.
Let's get ridiculous and say that BTC is going to infinity. I mean,.. let's make the numbers manageable and pretend right now it's 50k, and that it could go to a million. I've seen that said -- BTC to a million; it makes the math easier, because that's 20x what it's worth now.
For every single purchase you make with BTC, you shouldn't really think of it as the current value, but the expected value. Which means -- your 50 dollar movie night with your partner actually "costs" you 1000 dollars. Would I spend 1000 bucks to go to the theatre? No, I wouldn't. Because I'd rather have 1000 bucks in two years than a date with my wife. That vacation we're planning? 3500 bucks? That's 70k in future-BTC! That new car? 600k. Nope, I'll make this one last as long as it can.
So it is with all purchases in a deflationary economy. You shouldn't set up your economy in a way that so very strongly discourages any luxury spending... It's bad for your monetary velocity. If no one's buying anything at all because hey, in two years BTC will be a million bucks per, discretionary spending should drop to near zero. New paperback? Not for 200 bucks, no way.
You really, really don't want discretionary spending to dry up, or cease altogether. That'd be "bad."
If that isn't the case -- if someone has done away with the fundamental problem of a deflationary-by-design model, I'm all ears. I haven't come across anything other than hand-wavey bull.
The point about deflationary assets is a good one, but given the power of compounding, that's true of anything you buy when you could have invested the money itself. Young Warren Buffett was apparently famous in his family for saying things like, "Do I want to pay $300,000 for this haircut?"
I don't want this to be construed as being a bitcoin bull, I'm not, but neither am I a complete skeptic. So many bulls and bears seem to think in totality, that bitcoin is either going to take over the world or go to zero, that there is no middle ground or room for bitcoin (or something like it) to serve a purpose somewhere in the middle.
rn mentioned one of these reasons above, which is what if you live somewhere you can't trust the central authority. That's not a small number of people, depending on your definitions, something like half to 2/3rds of the world live under authoritarian regimes. In general, I think there is demand for being able to move semi-large funds around the globe in a way that can't easily be stopped by authorities. Some of these are for nefarious purposes, but others might be to get support to persecuted minorities where other methods are blocked.
Even something like the fragmented state of the cannabis market in the U.S., where even where it is legal, growers and dispensers have difficulty accessing the financial services available to most other businesses, should give pause to thinking that there are no uses for a decentralized currency in the developed world.
F off... it takes about 100 years for 20$ to become 300k at 10% annual compounding interest.
And that's without accounting for inflation, against inflation you can probably get at most 5% and that requires 200 years beating inflation at 5% which is better than the market in the last 50 years.
Notice that bitcoin already achieved this according to the pizza tracker https://bitcoinpizzaindex.net/ and that's just a decade. Current bitcoin prices mean the coin is broken beyond redemption, and worse, energy waste correlates directly with the price until the next halving in 2024, so quite a few years of eco-waste ahead of us.
Good thing, for the wrong reason, but living in a 3rd world country with record inflation (only surpassed by Venezuela?) I may understand why people would have their savings in another currency that is not local.
Given that, I still think that mining should be banned... either you provide something of value to the society or your electricty is cut. But people says I am an extremist.
I wonder if the timing of this announcement has anything to do with BTC dropping 5 thousand dollars overnight.
nah that is par for the course... BTC has never been "stable" and it's progression is not monotonous ascending/descending, and given the volatility involved in it's trading changing 10k in a day is not surprising.
I can't believe this has gone on as long as it has without any government oversight. While I'm sure there are plenty of legit users and purposes, there are also a shit ton of criminals relying on it. It's time to lock it down.
I would suggest that many of these so-called "criminals" are only criminals because they are in violation of stupid made-up laws. As others have said, many of these made-up laws are because the government, at all levels, has a pathological FOMO.
Just today, I got an email from NORML advising me that the alcohol and tobacco cartels are mounting a major anti-cannabis-legalization lobbying effort. Because they are concerned about our health, I'm sure.
Since all laws are "made-up", I'd appreciate it if you clarify your assertion a bit. IMO, banking and securities laws that ensure that the average person can have confidence in the currency and the institutions that handle it are a good thing, and have benefitted us greatly.
I can't believe this has gone on as long as it has without any government oversight. While I'm sure there are plenty of legit users and purposes, there are also a shit ton of criminals relying on it. It's time to lock it down.
I would suggest that many of these so-called "criminals" are only criminals because they are in violation of stupid made-up laws. As others have said, many of these made-up laws are because the government, at all levels, has a pathological FOMO.
Just today, I got an email from NORML advising me that the alcohol and tobacco cartels are mounting a major anti-cannabis-legalization lobbying effort. Because they are concerned about our health, I'm sure.
Since all laws are "made-up", I'd appreciate it if you clarify your assertion a bit. IMO, banking and securities laws that ensure that the average person can have confidence in the currency and the institutions that handle it are a good thing, and have benefitted us greatly.
Happy to clarify. Note that I never said "All laws are made up". And I think you know that.
Just a few of the laws that I consider stupid and counter-productive: Drug laws, blue laws, vocational licensing laws, anti-money-laundering laws, many immigration laws. The question is always, who benefits from enforcing a particular made-up law? Put another way, whose cronies benefit?
The application to crypto prohibition might be, in my opinion, that the government prohibits so many perfectly reasonable activities that people who participate in those activities are highly motivated to go underground. Thus, the government's war on crypto, especially in countries where everything "the serfs" do is de-facto illegal. Note that somebody also mentioned the Indian government's "war on cash". What about the US war on cash?
The US used to have a $500 bill. Here's what Wikipedia says that the Federal Reserve said about that:
"There are public policies against reissuing the $500 note, mainly because many of those efficiency gains, such as lower shipment and storage costs, would accrue not only to legitimate users of bank notes but also to money launderers, tax evaders and a variety of other lawbreakers who use currency in their criminal activity. While it is not at all clear that the volume of illegal drugs sold or the amount of tax evasion would necessarily increase just as a consequence of the availability of a larger dollar denomination bill, it no doubt is the case that if wrongdoers were provided with an easier mechanism to launder their funds and hide their profits, enforcement authorities could have a harder time detecting certain illicit transactions occurring in cash.[15]"
So, you see, it's all about those nasty wrongdoers. No mention of alcohol or tobacco, just those nasty drug users. Just wait until the US abolishes the $100 bill. Imagine trying to buy or sell a used car worth, say $20,000, using $20 bills. I did it once, using $100 bills, and it was very difficult for both parties. And keep in mind, selling a car is a publicly recorded event. Nothing nefarious, but banks will no longer accept cashiers checks. So it's either electronic EFT, bank-to-bank, or it's a shoe box full of cash. Super convenient.
Wikipedia also mentions that today's $100 bill was worth almost $700 in 1969. So, it might be might handy if we could have a few $500 bills available today.
I hope that helps.
I can't believe this has gone on as long as it has without any government oversight. While I'm sure there are plenty of legit users and purposes, there are also a shit ton of criminals relying on it. It's time to lock it down.
I would suggest that many of these so-called "criminals" are only criminals because they are in violation of stupid made-up laws. As others have said, many of these made-up laws are because the government, at all levels, has a pathological FOMO.
Just today, I got an email from NORML advising me that the alcohol and tobacco cartels are mounting a major anti-cannabis-legalization lobbying effort. Because they are concerned about our health, I'm sure.
Since all laws are "made-up", I'd appreciate it if you clarify your assertion a bit. IMO, banking and securities laws that ensure that the average person can have confidence in the currency and the institutions that handle it are a good thing, and have benefitted us greatly.
Happy to clarify. Note that I never said "All laws are made up". And I think you know that.
Just a few of the laws that I consider stupid and counter-productive: Drug laws, blue laws, vocational licensing laws, anti-money-laundering laws, many immigration laws. The question is always, who benefits from enforcing a particular made-up law? Put another way, whose cronies benefit?
The application to crypto prohibition might be, in my opinion, that the government prohibits so many perfectly reasonable activities that people who participate in those activities are highly motivated to go underground. Thus, the government's war on crypto, especially in countries where everything "the serfs" do is de-facto illegal. Note that somebody also mentioned the Indian government's "war on cash". What about the US war on cash?
The US used to have a $500 bill. Here's what Wikipedia says that the Federal Reserve said about that:
"There are public policies against reissuing the $500 note, mainly because many of those efficiency gains, such as lower shipment and storage costs, would accrue not only to legitimate users of bank notes but also to money launderers, tax evaders and a variety of other lawbreakers who use currency in their criminal activity. While it is not at all clear that the volume of illegal drugs sold or the amount of tax evasion would necessarily increase just as a consequence of the availability of a larger dollar denomination bill, it no doubt is the case that if wrongdoers were provided with an easier mechanism to launder their funds and hide their profits, enforcement authorities could have a harder time detecting certain illicit transactions occurring in cash.[15]"
So, you see, it's all about those nasty wrongdoers. No mention of alcohol or tobacco, just those nasty drug users. Just wait until the US abolishes the $100 bill. Imagine trying to buy or sell a used car worth, say $20,000, using $20 bills. I did it once, using $100 bills, and it was very difficult for both parties. And keep in mind, selling a car is a publicly recorded event. Nothing nefarious, but banks will no longer accept cashiers checks. So it's either electronic EFT, bank-to-bank, or it's a shoe box full of cash. Super convenient.
Wikipedia also mentions that today's $100 bill was worth almost $700 in 1969. So, it might be might handy if we could have a few $500 bills available today.
I hope that helps.
Re: "all laws are made up" - I know you didn't say that. I did. Just now, because they are.
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
Okay, I'll bite. Describe for me a specific example of a case where "decentralized finance" would make life concretely better than it is now in some significant way.
Apparently you can't be bothered to actually spend 30 seconds to google this but I'll go ahead and give you some of my time and write you this response. Not sure why, to be honest, because you seem closed-minded about the subject already, but here goes.
DeFi concretely makes life better for some people in small but meaningful ways:
•1 DeFi does not require an intermediary, which mitigates several issues and inefficiencies.
•2 DeFi markets and credit facilities are open 24/7/365; no need to wait for the bank to open.
•3 DeFi is open to anyone, even if they have bad credit. No closed doors because someone stole your identity and ruined your credit, for example. Many more reasons why this is good. Some reasons why this could be bad.
1. Is not the transaction cost an "intermediary" in a structural sense? This bullet point is vague to the point of uselessness; I genuinely don't know what you mean or even what could be meant.
2. Doesn't venmo/cashapp/paypal cover this use case? I used venmo this morning to pay for breakfast. Instantly.
3. I'm having trouble, conceptually, with the idea of giving people loans without doing due diligence -- "can the person I'm loaning money to pay me back" seems like the key factor in deciding whether or not to loan them the money. I mean, overextended credit was the problem in the subprime mortgage crisis, so how is "DeFi" not an over-leveraged unsecured debt market? Is it just because the insecurity is spread across the entire system?
---
None of this addresses the real problem with cryptocurrency, the baked-in deflationary nature. Deflation discourages economic activity -- strongly -- and is rightly feared by economists.
Let's get ridiculous and say that BTC is going to infinity. I mean,.. let's make the numbers manageable and pretend right now it's 50k, and that it could go to a million. I've seen that said -- BTC to a million; it makes the math easier, because that's 20x what it's worth now.
For every single purchase you make with BTC, you shouldn't really think of it as the current value, but the expected value. Which means -- your 50 dollar movie night with your partner actually "costs" you 1000 dollars. Would I spend 1000 bucks to go to the theatre? No, I wouldn't. Because I'd rather have 1000 bucks in two years than a date with my wife. That vacation we're planning? 3500 bucks? That's 70k in future-BTC! That new car? 600k. Nope, I'll make this one last as long as it can.
So it is with all purchases in a deflationary economy. You shouldn't set up your economy in a way that so very strongly discourages any luxury spending... It's bad for your monetary velocity. If no one's buying anything at all because hey, in two years BTC will be a million bucks per, discretionary spending should drop to near zero. New paperback? Not for 200 bucks, no way.
You really, really don't want discretionary spending to dry up, or cease altogether. That'd be "bad."
If that isn't the case -- if someone has done away with the fundamental problem of a deflationary-by-design model, I'm all ears. I haven't come across anything other than hand-wavey bull.
The point about deflationary assets is a good one, but given the power of compounding, that's true of anything you buy when you could have invested the money itself. Young Warren Buffett was apparently famous in his family for saying things like, "Do I want to pay $300,000 for this haircut?"
I don't want this to be construed as being a bitcoin bull, I'm not, but neither am I a complete skeptic. So many bulls and bears seem to think in totality, that bitcoin is either going to take over the world or go to zero, that there is no middle ground or room for bitcoin (or something like it) to serve a purpose somewhere in the middle.
rn mentioned one of these reasons above, which is what if you live somewhere you can't trust the central authority. That's not a small number of people, depending on your definitions, something like half to 2/3rds of the world live under authoritarian regimes. In general, I think there is demand for being able to move semi-large funds around the globe in a way that can't easily be stopped by authorities. Some of these are for nefarious purposes, but others might be to get support to persecuted minorities where other methods are blocked.
Even something like the fragmented state of the cannabis market in the U.S., where even where it is legal, growers and dispensers have difficulty accessing the financial services available to most other businesses, should give pause to thinking that there are no uses for a decentralized currency in the developed world.
F off... it takes about 100 years for 20$ to become 300k at 10% annual compounding interest.
And that's without accounting for inflation, against inflation you can probably get at most 5% and that requires 200 years beating inflation at 5% which is better than the market in the last 50 years.
Notice that bitcoin already achieved this according to the pizza tracker https://bitcoinpizzaindex.net/ and that's just a decade. Current bitcoin prices mean the coin is broken beyond redemption, and worse, energy waste correlates directly with the price until the next halving in 2024, so quite a few years of eco-waste ahead of us.
The haircut example is the title of a piece on Warren Buffett.
https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jo ... 00-haircut
So blame him, or the reporter, or the faulty memories of his family and friends. The point wasn't supposed to be about amounts anyway, just that this basic idea that no one would buy anything they don't have to, because the asset will be worth more in the future. That's a problem we already have, but it's mitigated quite a bit by the fact that most people prefer to consume today rather than 100 years in the future.
Yes, bitcoin has appreciated by orders of magnitude more over the last decade than whatever a normal, diversified portfolio has done. No one expects that to go on forever though, rates of growth inevitably have to slow down. The deflationary aspect that people talk about is the fact that eventually, no more coins will be mined, and that the supply will eventually shrink as coins are lost. As long as bitcoin sits alongside other currencies and the world doesn't move to a "bitcoin standard" though, that doesn't seem like much of a problem.
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
I think you miss the point. Cryptocurrency, as a concept, is an utter waste of time. Proof of Work coins are a disaster to the environment, and proof of stake coins will never *truly* take off, because the powers that be in the PoW space will simply fork off and continue mining. You can't discount inertia.
I'm sure many an Arsian have owned Arscoin as a joke, including myself, back when that was a thing. Does that now make my opinion more valid, in your eyes?
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
I think you miss the point. Cryptocurrency, as a concept, is an utter waste of time. Proof of Work coins are a disaster to the environment, and proof of stake coins will never *truly* take off, because the powers that be in the PoW space will simply fork off and continue mining. You can't discount inertia.
I'm sure many an Arsian have owned Arscoin as a joke, including myself, back when that was a thing. Does that now make my opinion more valid, in your eyes?
In all fairness, cryptocurrecy computations are thermodynamically irreversible, so they do materially increase entropy and hasten the inevitable heat death of the universe.
That's something at least.
And they cannot do it. There is a very plausible theory of "technosponge" absorbing liquidity which requires more printingVery few states not named the United States can get away with printing infinite amount of money."Officials seem to be worried that ordinary Indian consumers could make bad cryptocurrency bets and lose their savings as a result. "
Oh horseshit. They just can't figure out how to get their cut. I don't have a dog in the fight either way but there's basically zero chance that caring about the wellbeing of others is a major factor here.
This is more about maintaining control of the state to print infinite amounts of their own currency as they see fit. Those with first access to money get richer while the working class get poorer.
Indeed, in a way it is remarkable that even the U.S. can get away with it because the Fed is basically printing money in order to prevent inflation from getting too low, and failing.
"Officials seem to be worried that ordinary Indian consumers could make bad cryptocurrency bets and lose their savings as a result. "
Oh horseshit. They just can't figure out how to get their cut. I don't have a dog in the fight either way but there's basically zero chance that caring about the wellbeing of others is a major factor here.
Good thing, for the wrong reason, but living in a 3rd world country with record inflation (only surpassed by Venezuela?) I may understand why people would have their savings in another currency that is not local.
Given that, I still think that mining should be banned... either you provide something of value to the society or your electricty is cut. But people says I am an extremist.
I wonder if the timing of this announcement has anything to do with BTC dropping 5 thousand dollars overnight.
nah that is par for the course... BTC has never been "stable" and it's progression is not monotonous ascending/descending, and given the volatility involved in it's trading changing 10k in a day is not surprising.
".. record inflation (only surpassed by Venezuela? .." -- what have you been smoking? There's this thing called "Google search" where you can query for information, try it sometime.
Good thing, for the wrong reason, but living in a 3rd world country with record inflation (only surpassed by Venezuela?) I may understand why people would have their savings in another currency that is not local.
Given that, I still think that mining should be banned... either you provide something of value to the society or your electricty is cut. But people says I am an extremist.
The irony is that with your philosophy, we might as well cut your electricity to save the world. Who actually gains from hearing your opinion, in a provable sense?
But if you ban the cryptocurrency it means only the criminals will have cryptocurrency!
I find that offensive. The so-called "criminals" are really the true giants of our society. Slowly they will disappear and communists and unproductive bureaucrats will take their places. Eventually we'll find out the economy will crash without the power of cryptocurrency.
Then the governments of the world will attempt to take over everyone's money in the bank, and finally Satoshi Nakamoto emerges out of a ranch in Colorado to tell us that we need to fight against the corrupt centralized government-led monetary system.
People listen. The governments officials go mad. Biden offers Nakamoto the combined chair of the Federal Reserve/IMF/WorldBank. But Nakamoto - surrounded by fighter drones and robot waifus all made possible by bitcoin - simply says "no". A short pandemonium briefly follows but bitcoins and other cryptos make a quick work of the recovery afterward.
Dollars become useless. But the internet is kept alive by our heroes and cryptos persist. Cold wallets have become the norm and everything is tracked and kept organized by distributed ledgers. The humanity sees a level of productivity never thought to be possible.
So yeah, let's not ban crypto.
This is my 1st post here (long time lurker here) and I will probably be downvoted into oblivion. But I am surprised how many here know little about Crypto and that "its largely pointless" is the common perception. Specially when Proof-of-stake systems don't have the negatives of Bitcoin.
Honest question, how many here own (or have owned) Crypto that are calling it "useless"? Be honest! I have a difficult time accepting a regular Ars reader has never owned some.
I think you miss the point. Cryptocurrency, as a concept, is an utter waste of time. Proof of Work coins are a disaster to the environment, and proof of stake coins will never *truly* take off, because the powers that be in the PoW space will simply fork off and continue mining. You can't discount inertia.
I'm sure many an Arsian have owned Arscoin as a joke, including myself, back when that was a thing. Does that now make my opinion more valid, in your eyes?
In all fairness, cryptocurrecy computations are thermodynamically irreversible, so they do materially increase entropy and hasten the inevitable heat death of the universe.
That's something at least.