Investors Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Jeff Bezos, and Intel value Figure at $2.6B.
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Where will the money to pay for UBI cone from?This thing looks like a tin piece of crap right now but in less than a decade it will be replacing all those black Tesla plant workers Elon Musk seems to hate so much. I think, if anything we should start laying the groundwork for a Universal Basic Income, because the writing is kind of on the wall at this point for factory jobs.
Derivative markets alone are worth hundreds of trillions of dollars.When you talk about a UBI, where do you plan on getting the money? Tax the rich? There isn't enough money there. Tax corporations? Corporations don't pay taxes. They just add it to the cost of doing business and the consumer pays it.
The same place all money comes from.Where will the money to pay for UBI cone from?
The support costs alone. In order for these robots to be generalized enough to do things outside of very specific tasks, they're going to require very robust infrastructure to data centers, and data centers are hungry things.It would be then interesting to see some specific analysis of why this is the efforts of charlatans. A lot of the comments come across as jaded and ad hominen.
The thing is, all these “solutions” are really just stopgaps to addressing the real problem. The problem being, people want more out of life than just education, work, and kids.If we accept the axiom that population growth in the style or scheme of a pyramid is strictly necessary for growth, prosperity, and happiness, that's not that bad for a rich country!
South Korea and China are presently going to do quite a bit worse than that.
Checking Google, Germany is at 1.54 births per woman. South Korea is at 0.84. With population change being an exponential, that's a biiiig difference. South Korea is looking at more than a halving of population per generation. And as others have mentioned, no rich country has found a 'solution' to bring birth rates back up. Handing out money, handing out generous pat/mat leaves, nothing seems to make people actually have 2.1 kids. Polls show that people want more kids than they have, but reality shows that life seems to get in the way, even in countries where the government tries to help a lot.
A lot of our infrastructure, tools etc are built for human shaped operators. So instead of replacing the whole process or machine in order to automate the task, you could far easier automate it by dropping in a humanoid, if you had one that worked sufficiently well. This also means that one humanoid can potentially automate dozens of tasks, that might only need to be performed occasionally but are still essential.Why the focus on humanoid robots? Even if factories and warehouses are replete with stairs, making wheels unsuitable, I'm not sure there's a need for a human shape. Why a head? Is that to make it friendlier or something to humans it might work alongside? An R-series astromech droid feels like it's built for industrial purposes (as a close second, the first thing R2 is built for is plot). This robot doesn't need to be a human to leverage human-like hands. So is there a purpose to the shape I'm missing?
The laser-focus on taxing 'profits' is why stock buybacks are so common now. Net income and capital gains should be what's given the most attention at this point.The taxes on profits only seems fine, it just needs to be steeper.
It still boils down to, once all the people are out of work, who do we suppose all these robots going to make things for? Why are we even making all these things in the first place?There are a lot of people who's jobs and livelihoods depend on requiring humans to do it. Factory workers, truckers, many types of drivers. A lot of work stands to be displaced by automated robots. People will fight it because the negative affects will likely come far, far sooner for them than the positives. And many have kids to feed and mortgages to pay. Overall, in the broader scheme of things, automated labor will raise the baseline for humanity and advance society as a whole. But a lot of people will disproportionately be affected, and those voices will surely be the loudest.
Agreed based on my personal experienceThe thing is, all these “solutions” are really just stopgaps to addressing the real problem. The problem being, people want more out of life than just education, work, and kids.
How about a mandatory 4-day work week? 6 weeks vacation? An actual, guaranteed livable wage? And most importantly, a society that’s willing to step in and help people take care of their children so that making the choice to foster the next generation doesn’t mean placing your entire life on hold for years?
These hardly seem like outlandish asks that would bring the modern economy to its knees. The problem is, as a society, we’re still stuck in a mindset where economic growth is the metric by which we insist on measuring success.
I would wager that if we figured out how to take all of our technological progress and turn it to benefit people rather than the increasingly concentrated capital that we allow to have undue influence over all aspects of society, focusing on human wellbeing as the most important metric by which to judge our success, the problem of population stagnation would largely solve itself. Because, as you say, people want kids. We just insist on making the cost so high that many people choose to forgo that fundamental part of the human experience entirely.
That sounds great and all, but real humans, billions of them, have their entire short lives built around the current system. Some VC firm shouting "surprise!" and removing jobs one by one until we decades later are at a point where it finally applies to everyone is a recipe for mass unemployment.Pardon the pure optimism a few moments more... but a world with mass solar power, absorbing the suns energy, powering batteries, robots maintaining almost all of these devices and recharging themselves, helping to farm, clean, do dangerous work, deliver food, build buildings, repair roads, synthetic materials nearly as good as wood and non-renewable resources... The transition to this world will be like the integration of the internet into society. Rife with problems and vulnerabilities, but would we ever go back to a world without it?
None of this is new. It's as old as humanity itself. You don't think domestication of animals put people out of work? It freed people up to do more productive work. Same will happen here.That sounds great and all, but real humans, billions of them, have their entire short lives built around the current system. Some VC firm shouting "surprise!" and removing jobs one by one until we decades later are at a point where it finally applies to everyone is a recipe for mass unemployment.
I was in the graphic desig industry before. The digital version. When print died and the market was flooded with job seekers nobody gave a shit. We just got slowly mass unemployed over a period of two years. There was no magic solution.
The same boiling frog effect will happen here. Over several decades of cascading economic turmoil. We're going to have our lives ruined so some dipshit 100 years in the future can lounge around. I vote no to sacrificing my short life for them. There has to be another way to transition to this than relying on the mercy of profit seeking companies (they have no mercy)
Most of Western Europe has that or close enough (other than 4-day weeks for now, though Fridays often are half-assed days already), as well as long paid parental leave, daycare support etc etc. Still doesn't really for reaching even replacement rates.The thing is, all these “solutions” are really just stopgaps to addressing the real problem. The problem being, people want more out of life than just education, work, and kids.
How about a mandatory 4-day work week? 6 weeks vacation? An actual, guaranteed livable wage? And most importantly, a society that’s willing to step in and help people take care of their children so that making the choice to foster the next generation doesn’t mean placing your entire life on hold for years?
These hardly seem like outlandish asks that would bring the modern economy to its knees. The problem is, as a society, we’re still stuck in a mindset where economic growth is the metric by which we insist on measuring success.
I would wager that if we figured out how to take all of our technological progress and turn it to benefit people rather than the increasingly concentrated capital that we allow to have undue influence over all aspects of society, focusing on human wellbeing as the most important metric by which to judge our success, the problem of population stagnation would largely solve itself. Because, as you say, people want kids. We just insist on making the cost so high that many people choose to forgo that fundamental part of the human experience entirely.
Que Musk suing Figure over something he makes up, because Tesla's "Optimus" butler bot isn't hardcore enough. Turns out it needed more than 42 hardcores. For humanity/civilization.
OMG, that's an umbilical cord! THEY ARE REPRODUCING!!!Is this thing tethered or battery powered? In the first and fourth images of the first set there appears to be a cable or wire.
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Sexbots. The true eventual goal that no one talks about.So is there a purpose to the shape I'm missing?
How strange that Corsica has over 1.7 while Sardinia has less than 1.3. Also that Catholic Ireland has over 1.7 while Catholic Spain and Italy have less than 1.3.Most of Western Europe has that or close enough (other than 4-day weeks for now, though Fridays often are half-assed days already), as well as long paid parental leave, daycare support etc etc. Still doesn't really for reaching even replacement rates.
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Also I don't think "people want to have children" is a completely safe assumption.
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I mean I don't disagree that we should improve quality of life for everyone but I wouldn't be surprised that people will just end up spending that extra time and money on whatever it is they spend it now instead of having children.
Unless... we can have humanoid robot nannies that will change the diapers and feed the children and keep watch at night while we're off doing something else! Anecdotally at least that's one of the reasons. I can afford children but it'd mean a significant downgrade to QoL in other areas.
Since we're firmly in the AI era, I have to ask: is that demo video REAL, or is it AI generated? Or perhaps it's traditional CGI? It certainly has a different "feel" that what you see from Boston Dynamics.
More than ever, we need to be asking those sorts of questions.
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I think automation is also going to take a chunk out of white collar work as well.This thing looks like a tin piece of crap right now but in less than a decade it will be replacing all those black Tesla plant workers Elon Musk seems to hate so much. I think, if anything we should start laying the groundwork for a Universal Basic Income, because the writing is kind of on the wall at this point for factory jobs.
I find it quite strange for a technology website to have the majority of comments coming across as dismissive or overtly hostile to technology and what the future could hold for it.
Personally I see it as a good thing that capital is being put to work in uses like this rather than another social media company, app or another way to jam adverts in front of my eyes.
The same negativity seems to be true of the technology subreddit.
Fusion, high speed satellite internet, aligned AGI, self-driving cars, regime change in cost to access space - I hope we can look back at this time as having achieved some if not all of these.
Technology can be a wonderful tool to make the lives of humans better, if both the technology and the political landscape are geared towards that. With more and more technology getting closer and closer to replacing more and more people, together with the divide between the rich and poor becoming bigger and bigger in addition to social systems having been hollowed out, the political side to this change seems ill equipped to handle the coming changes.I find it quite strange for a technology website to have the majority of comments coming across as dismissive or overtly hostile to technology and what the future could hold for it.
Personally I see it as a good thing that capital is being put to work in uses like this rather than another social media company, app or another way to jam adverts in front of my eyes.
The same negativity seems to be true of the technology subreddit.
Fusion, high speed satellite internet, aligned AGI, self-driving cars, regime change in cost to access space - I hope we can look back at this time as having achieved some if not all of these.
There are rules a company must fulfil to be allowed to IPO, this is a VERY good thing. Just look at all the SPACs that are failing left and right, they went with the SPAC route because they couldn't fulfil those rules and tried to get around them. Not fulfilling even those basic levels of having a working business instead of just investor money, they never got to the stage of a working business and all the people buying their stocks on the stock market (that should have never been allowed to invest in them) are now paying the price. SPACS should have never been allowed (but financial regulation is a joke these days, stock buybacks were also not something allowed before the early 80s).Maybe new companies have always worked this way, but it seems like all the really promising huge growth companies never take public IPO investments.
So you have the ultra rich buying in before anyone else can even attempt to purchase shares through an IPO.
Thus locking out anyone from ever getting a chance to invest.
The problem of course is that this necessarily means that capital isn't being allocated to one or more robotics companies that are working on robots that would be more useful.IMO, the real answer is that the VCs putting up the money are middle-aged nerds who want the robots from the SF they read as kids. And I've got no problem with that. I just think it makes asking "why" fairly pointless unless & until the VC money runs dry and the robots have to show a plausible change of turning a profit. Then there will be a shake-out.
You think 10 years is a long time. If we are lucky the major changes coming will take 10 years. If we are not lucky it may be months instead. At least unlucky for the majority of people since there is no chance UBI will go anywhere any time soon.I'm very skeptical that this technology is anywhere near a everyday useful state. We've been talking about full self driving for 10 years and it still feels another 10 years away. The technology very doable to get 85% of what's needed but the devil is the last 15%.
Yep. Robots will always be as slow as a 90 year old man because technology never improves or advances. /sThey walk like a 90 year old man.
Just to clarify for "people". Money is an artifical construct. It is made up. A group delusion we all agree to.The same place all money comes from.
I don't think the islands are subdivided from their country. So Corsica gets the same average as France while Sardinia is Italy's average.How strange that Corsica has over 1.7 while Sardinia has less than 1.3. Also that Catholic Ireland has over 1.7 while Catholic Spain and Italy have less than 1.3.