CEO says "most companies are late" to realize how much technology will affect employment.
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The billionaires don't give a shit. If they can maintain their lives of luxury they give zero shits if we live, die, go to Mars or get tortured by their goons while praying for death. We are ants to them.
The tech oligarchs of course.Im not sure what the endgame is. If all/most jobs are automated by AI in the future, and nobody is employed, who is going to become the consumer of the products AI is creating if nobody is employed to afford those products?
This is the truth. Because they're human beings and that's how human beings are. Do you care about the workers in China assembling your crap? Or the shipbreakers in India dying from poisoning and horrid injuries to save a nickel?
We don't do anything for people we're not directly responsible for, unless there is an immediate payoff in dopamine. At least, 99% of the human race operates that way. The 1% that may not -- interesting choices, but doesn't move the needle.
I'm sure many reading such a bald-faced assertion will be upset and think "I do care!" But here is another truth: human beings lie to themselves, me certainly included.
Maybe it's just me, but It is hard to see anyone with a beard like that as a business/tech genius.
Thank you for this. I searched for that + pdf and quickly found it.In 2005 analysts at Citibank saw the massively increasing wealth and income disparity. And being analysts and economists for a company that was part of the problem....they saw an angle to make money with it, what is more American or corporate than that. They dubbed the term "Plutonomy". Whereby the Future for Big Business 4D chess strategy wasn't in serving consumers...it was instead servicing exclusively corporations and high-net-worth-individuals.
That Citibank report...they tried to retcon from the internet--but you can still find it if you dig. Search for:
“Equity Strategy - Plutonomy: Buying Luxury, Explaining Imbalances”
The reality, is that already most people today are economically irrelevant. Sure countries like the USA have a "consumer economy", but most of the GDP in consumption is nearly top-loaded as equities-ownership is.
Sounds like a ponzi scheme. Get in fast, leave the dead leftovers for the sucker at the bottom. I'm going to coin a new term "ponzinomics"Of course, much like bitcoin, the actual value of AI doesn’t matter so long as executives think it can replace workers, to make them more money (in the short term before everything the AI has slopped together falls apart and the product loses any value it once had).
And reduced quality. Companies will save money but cutting head count, but they will also be producing much lower quality work while convincing themselves it's "good enough." AI slop is going to become the new normal, not just in creative spheres.This is going to be such a horrible ride between unemployment and price rises.
A large part of the 60% who survive the cut will probably be looking at leaving too, as any company that make this kind of announcement, clearly is capable of cutting its workforce again, even if it doesn't actually make sense to do so, other than to bump the share price."Build this AI tool and we will revolutionize!"
"AI tool has now replaced nearly half of you"
It's one thing to disrupt this profession or that specific product (buggy whips, etc).We have seen this movie before, just on a smaller scale. Companies used to have legions of administrative assistants and those were largely wiped out by computers with word processors and spreadsheets. People in those jobs took it on the chin, but nobody really paid them much mind.
Are there just a metric ton of AI trading bots that buy/sell on any mention of AI or are actual human traders actually this dumb?
Then you just fire more people, use their salaries to pay for the more expensive tokens... Doh'You inspire a good question: what happens when the AI tools raise their prices to cover their actual cost?
Dorsey can save money now by automating 40% of Block, but what happens when the inevitable post-lock-in SaaS price increases start? Will he still be saving money when Claude prices jump 10X or 20X?
As opposed to software engineers that built compilers? It's compilers, not LLMs, that write 90% of generated code. That too used to be someone's job. It's just that we've gotten so used to the magic of "in goes java/python/typescript/c++ and out goes a binary*" that most think of this as magic or not at all.
* binary, bytecode for some vm, whatever
Two things can be true.Are there just a metric ton of AI trading bots that buy/sell on any mention of AI or are actual human traders actually this dumb?
(Not referring to you but companies all-in on AI)I find it odd that so many companies say they are so confident they can do the same amount of work with fewer people using AI that they fire people, yet none have announced that they are keeping the same number of people and increasing their output. If AI is so good at speeding up software development, why aren't we in a golden age of cheap, abundant software?
I don't see it like that. We are life. We are the culmination of many hundreds of millions of years of multicellular life competing and cooperating and doing all its things.Humans have a limited capacity to give a shit. I forget but it's a pretty small number we can juggle.
We're a really shitty species when it gets down to it but evolution is blind so here we are. I can't even imagine some 'other wordly or God' would create such a mess but maybe it's a child or something and we're just GI Joe dolls to them.
Wait, this guy went from selling Twitter to doing... BitCoin and Fintech?
Wow, he sure devoted his life's work to such meaningful pursuits
It's one thing to disrupt this profession or that specific product (buggy whips, etc).
But AI is being both pushed and utilized to replace significant chunks of workers across many very different industries and job areas. And it's being done explicitly to maximize profits for the already-super-rich (unsurprising, but worth reiterating and remembering).
If anything, this feels closer to the industrial revolution but without the "silver lining" creation of a bunch of new, unsafe factory jobs for those who can be paid the least and whose complaints can most readily be ignored.
Now think about how bad stuff got in factories and mines before unions fought (and their members sometimes literally were killed) to get better working conditions. And how far the US has let things regress since then, with the messaging that we're all somehow "meant to be" on the side of the bosses despite actually being workers. Things got very bad, and it took a lot of hard work and grief to improve them, and now we're back almost where we started and facing down a similar-looking shift.
Jeez, maybe I made my coffee too bitter this morning. Ugh.
That's the gist of that Citrini Research thought experiment that (Gonna be hard to make a profit when no one has a paycheck. Maybe AI can be a better customer too.
yesAre there just a metric ton of AI trading bots that buy/sell on any mention of AI or are actual human traders actually this dumb?
Same as it ever was.So people don't matter, profit is king.
It’s like comparing kitchen knives to Thermomix, and firing all your cooks to tell your chef to use Thermomixes instead.As opposed to software engineers that built compilers? It's compilers, not LLMs, that write 90% of generated code. That too used to be someone's job. It's just that we've gotten so used to the magic of "in goes java/python/typescript/c++ and out goes a binary*" that most think of this as magic or not at all.
* binary, bytecode for some vm, whatever
This is going to be such a horrible ride between unemployment and price rises.
So people don't matter, profit is king.
Gonna be hard to make a profit when no one has a paycheck. Maybe AI can be a better customer too.
I think the biggest problem with this reasoning is how much the top are insulated from this. It will take so many decades for them to even get a splinter from their actions.That's the gist of that Citrini Research thought experiment that (mildlyinsufficiently) spooked everyone earlier this week, isn't it?
my wife and i have been doing a lot of jigsaw puzzles lately. so i bought her a couple of new puzzles from an online place. they have filters for things like difficulty, size, piece count - all the things you'd expect. they also have as filter for "AI designed images", so you can exclude all the AI slop designs (the majority of them are, it turns out).
some brands even boast of being entirely AI-free.
the backlash is here.
Well, because one action pays off immediately to shareholders. Tearing down is the fast road to return while building can be a long and uncertain path for everyone else, the market, and society.I find it odd that so many companies say they are so confident they can do the same amount of work with fewer people using AI that they fire people, yet none have announced that they are keeping the same number of people and increasing their output. If AI is so good at speeding up software development, why aren't we in a golden age of cheap, abundant software?
A bigger unemployed or underemployed underclass with more wealth concentrated on top. What could go wrong?
Maybe this is why the greedy oligarchs pushed so hard to get fascist elected.
A democracy might try to mitigate the damage to the plebs.
People are already on it. https://cyberplace.social/@GossiTheDog/116080909947754833I wonder how many people are cataloguing the security flaws AI tools are prone to generate. I suspect they will be the only people who will profit from this madness.