[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719535#p26719535:zfuvn9gc said:Bengie25[/url]":zfuvn9gc][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718585#p26718585:zfuvn9gc said:KarolofNine[/url]":zfuvn9gc]1. ISP's begin throttling user connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2009, bandwidth caps for wired conenctions)
2. Heavy users begin paying for usage
3. Users reduce usage to cut costs
4. ISPs begin throttling commercial connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2014, Netflix v. Comcast, et al)
5. Companies begin paying for usage
6. Companies reduce usage to cut costs (By switching bandwidth load to users)
7. ISP's begin throttling user connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2019, predicted)
Depends on what you mean by "heavy" users. By 2019 1gb-10gb fiber should be the norm and 100gb-10tb uplinks for ISPs will be common. "Low usage" may be measured in tens of terabytes. Plenty of room for 4k-3d streaming.
The last mile thing really sucks. You are a hostage to whomever owns the lines in the ground and building.
I really hope my sarcasm detector is broken because your post sent it off the charts...and not the other reason.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719701#p26719701:10zv79t0 said:FeldmanSkitzoid[/url]":10zv79t0]It's a good idea, but...sigh...why can't I just pay by the megabyte?
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719733#p26719733:3ls5s9mv said:type unknown[/url]":3ls5s9mv]
While I don't disagree with you about technology moving forward, it would be a good question to ask 'where' these networks will be providing 1-10gb fiber connections.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:2br5yki7 said:jdale[/url]":2br5yki7]
I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network, since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718575#p26718575:2qzg9tci said:Ostracus[/url]":2qzg9tci]The only problem I see with P2P aside from the start-up delays, is the out-of-order nature of the process. Something that conflicts with the in-order nature of streaming.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718973#p26718973:1x1ccfwj said:Lets all mariachi![/url]":1x1ccfwj][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718827#p26718827:1x1ccfwj said:curiosus[/url]":1x1ccfwj]Dumping your bandwidth costs onto your users is not a good business model. Especially when those users have bandwidth caps from the terrible ISPs you are trying to avoid. The only way for this to end happily is for Netflix to fight, not pass the problem along.
That depends on your intent. If Netflix were to work on an alternate infrastructure behind the curtain, make no announcements, very quietly pass out client updates and then flip the switch at the beginning of a month 2 things would happen. One, a ton of users would notice a significant spike in video quality, making them very happy. Two, at the end of the month Comcast, not expecting the switch, would end up sending out exponentially more overage bills, triggering consumer outrage from a very large group of people all on the same billing date before Comcast even figures out why, immediately escalating something that most people don't know / care about into a high profile media story affecting "everyday Americans". That's how policy change happens.
It's probably not the Wifi that is saturated, since anything remotely modern is at least theoretically much faster than a consumer connection, but the fact that multiple devices are using it. It has nothing to do with p2p and nothing to do with Wifi. Wifi often has multiple devices sharing a connection and p2p is good at saturating a line, especially if there are not limits set. However, you can do the same thing with a wired router and a lot of fast xdcc bots.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718881#p26718881:3jbarvfq said:jandrese[/url]":3jbarvfq][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718831#p26718831:3jbarvfq said:Andrew Norton[/url]":3jbarvfq]Really! Why hadn't someone told me this before???!?!?!?![url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718715#p26718715:3jbarvfq said:jandrese[/url]":3jbarvfq][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718667#p26718667:3jbarvfq said:mikehild[/url]":3jbarvfq]
The reason this won't work is because way too many people use Wifi these days, and doing P2P over Wifi kills the signal for everything else.
Oh wait, I know, because it's not true
you see that link about comcast being caught? Rob Toplowski spotted it initially, I led the verification for TorrentFreak (which prompted the EFF to do their report several months later). Many of the test boxes used wifi.
P2P data is just data. it's not going to kill your wifi system any more than any other traffic. the only exception is if you have a (now) old router, with bad UDP handling, then assuming you use a lot of DHT and µTP, it can run out of ram. But that can happen even with it wired.
Try running an even moderately popular torrent over Wifi while people are browsing or gaming and they will notice, especially if you live in an apartment where several other people are running lots of data over their Wifi links. It is very easy to build up big queues on Wifi and choke off normal traffic.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719917#p26719917:1ldn9h3w said:rutebega[/url]":1ldn9h3w][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:1ldn9h3w said:jdale[/url]":1ldn9h3w]
I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network, since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
What about service discounts based on bytes uploaded? A free month for every 50GiB, or whatever Netflix deemed reasonable?
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719843#p26719843:2jpwfhcp said:Bengie25[/url]":2jpwfhcp][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719733#p26719733:2jpwfhcp said:type unknown[/url]":2jpwfhcp]
While I don't disagree with you about technology moving forward, it would be a good question to ask 'where' these networks will be providing 1-10gb fiber connections.
My city went from 1mb DSL 5 years ago to 1gb fiber now being offered. It's still expensive, but their prices have been coming down.
My brother lives in a town of 800, but most are farmers and spread over a wide area. He went from $100/month for 1mb/0.25mb DSL to 40/40 fiber with no price change in just the past 2 years.
In Minnesota, they're running 1gb fiber to log cabins in the woods and 100mb to the farms.
As far as I can tell, all the areas that don't have incumbents are getting 1gb fiber. It seems that small towns and cities are getting faster Internet because incumbents don't care about them, but the issue is word is getting out via family members that these small towns and cities are getting faster and cheaper Internet than the big cities.
Expectations will start to rise.
Not to mention local cities are starting to have fiber initiatives. Since incumbents are so set on not using fiber yet, the smaller ISPs are getting the job done and it's wreaking havoc on the incumbents, but they still don't care because they're still smaller cities.
edit: I forgot to mention. I've been following news for GPON roll outs and case studies. Even though the reported stories are only a fraction of the number of fiber deployments actually happening, there are about 10 such stories per year. When you look at it all together, you're talking about 300k+ people getting access to 1gb fiber per year, at least.
This has been going on for years now, we're talking about millions of users by now having access to 1gb fiber, even if not currently offered by the ISP. A sizable chunk of the USA is getting fiber, it's just not going strait to 1gb/1gb like Google Fiber, because most ISPs can't handle going from 1mb DSL to 1gb fiber in a single roll out. But the infrastructure is ready and waiting.
Yes, they would have to be seeders themselves, but it would drastically reduce the load and bandwidth coming from them, which would solve the Comcast problem.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718651#p26718651:171s5eg5 said:lee_machine[/url]":171s5eg5]A service like this should work really well for very popular streams but what about the unpopular ones? Netflix would still have to have fast dedicated hosting. That said, having a decentralized method of distributing content would easy the load coming directly from Netflix.
Key word here is 'should be.' Those should be slow connections by now, but Comcast et al have avoided proper investment in infrastructure because they are in environments without meaningful competition.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719535#p26719535:171s5eg5 said:Bengie25[/url]":171s5eg5][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718585#p26718585:171s5eg5 said:KarolofNine[/url]":171s5eg5]1. ISP's begin throttling user connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2009, bandwidth caps for wired conenctions)
2. Heavy users begin paying for usage
3. Users reduce usage to cut costs
4. ISPs begin throttling commercial connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2014, Netflix v. Comcast, et al)
5. Companies begin paying for usage
6. Companies reduce usage to cut costs (By switching bandwidth load to users)
7. ISP's begin throttling user connections based on bandwidth usage. (~2019, predicted)
Depends on what you mean by "heavy" users. By 2019 1gb-10gb fiber should be the norm and 100gb-10tb uplinks for ISPs will be common. "Low usage" may be measured in tens of terabytes. Plenty of room for 4k-3d streaming.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26720127#p26720127:2mk8ib7o said:type unknown[/url]":2mk8ib7o]
So who owns these fiber lines? Since there are some community based initiatives, I would assume that the communities have a heavy hand in how service is implemented if they invested any money to help get the fiber there in the first place. Or are the smaller providers operating on a CLEC style model?
Well, as long as Netflix servers themselves seed all their catalogue, this won't be an issue, as they would be able to seed as fast as they currently stream. So the p2p part is just a bonus for them and/or their users.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718651#p26718651:1b5db7n5 said:lee_machine[/url]":1b5db7n5]A service like this should work really well for very popular streams but what about the unpopular ones? Netflix would still have to have fast dedicated hosting. That said, having a decentralized method of distributing content would easy the load coming directly from Netflix.
Priority streaming, faster download, higher quality, free shows, exclusives, keeping the movie files, price reductions... There's many incentives available for an opt-in system.[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:1b5db7n5 said:jdale[/url]":1b5db7n5]
I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network, since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
To paraphrase Jeff Goldblum, "BitTorrent... finds a way."[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719729#p26719729:2enhkmw2 said:AngelZero[/url]":2enhkmw2](note I do not actually work for an ISP)
From an ISP's perspective: block the protocol(s), throttle the number of connections, problem solved. Oh and guess what, you'll still have to buy our product! Suck it, plebes!
No amount of dancing around different ideas gets around the fact that ISPs control things. Either we fix that root problem, perhaps through nationalizing the ISPs, or we deal with the consequences such as the ongoing Net Neutrality stuff.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718575#p26718575:28dzog7y said:Ostracus[/url]":28dzog7y]The only problem I see with P2P aside from the start-up delays, is the out-of-order nature of the process. Something that conflicts with the in-order nature of streaming.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:16toovg3 said:jdale[/url]":16toovg3][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718575#p26718575:16toovg3 said:Ostracus[/url]":16toovg3]The only problem I see with P2P aside from the start-up delays, is the out-of-order nature of the process. Something that conflicts with the in-order nature of streaming.
Streaming always requires buffering. If the stream is unreliable, you buffer more. This is a solvable problem, as long as you can accumulate enough total bandwidth.
[bold]I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network[/bold], since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:a8v2i544 said:jdale[/url]":a8v2i544][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718575#p26718575:a8v2i544 said:Ostracus[/url]":a8v2i544]The only problem I see with P2P aside from the start-up delays, is the out-of-order nature of the process. Something that conflicts with the in-order nature of streaming.
Streaming always requires buffering. If the stream is unreliable, you buffer more. This is a solvable problem, as long as you can accumulate enough total bandwidth.
I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network, since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718575#p26718575:1r34r4jv said:Ostracus[/url]":1r34r4jv]The only problem I see with P2P aside from the start-up delays, is the out-of-order nature of the process. Something that conflicts with the in-order nature of streaming.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718793#p26718793:1bph9n71 said:jonsmirl[/url]":1bph9n71]Use a blend of the two technologies. Start off streaming straight from Netflix. Simultaneously use P2P to start asking for blocks a minute or so further into the stream. As you start collecting blocks send word up to the Netflix servers that you don't need the blocks any more. First step would be for Netflix to implement off-line caching.
Neat thing about a scheme like this is that if the P2P piece disappears you are just back to the old system. Also, given the hit driven nature of movie viewing, you might see 90% of Netflix's transit traffic disappear since P2P would satisfy everything internally to the ISP's network for things like the House of Cards initial binge.
Of course P2P servers on mobile are bad. That is why Spotify is getting rid of them on mobile.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718831#p26718831:174e71if said:Andrew Norton[/url]":174e71if]Really! Why hadn't someone told me this before???!?!?!?![url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718715#p26718715:174e71if said:jandrese[/url]":174e71if][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718667#p26718667:174e71if said:mikehild[/url]":174e71if]
The reason this won't work is because way too many people use Wifi these days, and doing P2P over Wifi kills the signal for everything else.
Oh wait, I know, because it's not true
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719301#p26719301:2frl0e1l said:Zak[/url]":2frl0e1l]Another problem I see is that the BT protocol is blocked by many institutions. If you're sitting in the lab all night watching an experiment and try to kill the time with Netflix, you'll be out of luck.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26720117#p26720117:194kbld3 said:Bengie25[/url]":194kbld3][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719917#p26719917:194kbld3 said:rutebega[/url]":194kbld3][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718625#p26718625:194kbld3 said:jdale[/url]":194kbld3]
I think the more difficult part of the problem is getting people to participate in the P2P network, since it will increase their own bandwidth usage. Perhaps Netflix could offer their service for free to anyone with a gigabit connection who agrees to peer...
What about service discounts based on bytes uploaded? A free month for every 50GiB, or whatever Netflix deemed reasonable?
Netflix' average bandwidth custom per use is about $0.3/month of your $8 bill, and almost $4 for content licensing. All in all, Netflix currently pays about $0.01/GB. To break even on the $4 for licensing costs, you would need to upload about 400GB. If they actually wanted to make a worth-while profit, you'd need to upload closer to 1TB.
That ignores that their bandwidth costs closely follow whole-sale bandwidth costs, which are dropping about 50% per year. By next year, you'll need to upload 2TB, and that's assuming their licensing costs haven't gone up.
Actually that data that I read was a bit old already, so you may need to upload 2TB right now and 4TB next year.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26719481#p26719481:loiibjk6 said:ldillon[/url]":loiibjk6][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718651#p26718651:loiibjk6 said:lee_machine[/url]":loiibjk6]A service like this should work really well for very popular streams but what about the unpopular ones? Netflix would still have to have fast dedicated hosting. That said, having a decentralized method of distributing content would easy the load coming directly from Netflix.
Netflix has an army of servers on different backbones. When I have slow Netflix, it's usually because one of the interconnects is overloaded. P2P would move some of the load in-network, reducing the down-stream load on the interconnects and distributing the load to all available paths. Less popular titles should benefit from the lower connection at the interconnects, even if all of their content comes through them.
If this encourages more symmetrical Internet connections, that's another win.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26721091#p26721091:33oumx1p said:Newmusicmark[/url]":33oumx1p]Spotify already did that and now they got so big they turned it off (https://torrentfreak.com/spotify-starts ... rk-140416/) so if it doesn't work for Spotify, I doubt it would work for Netflix. They even had the creator of uTorrent working with them when they started so I'm sure this CEO doesn't know what he's talking about.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718853#p26718853:6dk2e578 said:nijave[/url]":6dk2e578]Of course a lot of consumer broadband packages have a relatively low upload bandwidth. We have 16/1Mbls from Time Warner that's unmetered and unthrottled. Of course, about 70% of that 1Mbps is constantly consumed by online backups. At 100% upload utilization, our latency takes a massive hit. It's my understanding it has something to do with how cable works and the fact it wasn't originally designed for 2 direction data transfer.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718831#p26718831:4hisyw2m said:Andrew Norton[/url]":4hisyw2m]Really! Why hadn't someone told me this before???!?!?!?![url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718715#p26718715:4hisyw2m said:jandrese[/url]":4hisyw2m][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718667#p26718667:4hisyw2m said:mikehild[/url]":4hisyw2m]
The reason this won't work is because way too many people use Wifi these days, and doing P2P over Wifi kills the signal for everything else.
Oh wait, I know, because it's not true
you see that link about comcast being caught? Rob Toplowski spotted it initially, I led the verification for TorrentFreak (which prompted the EFF to do their report several months later). Many of the test boxes used wifi.
P2P data is just data. it's not going to kill your wifi system any more than any other traffic. the only exception is if you have a (now) old router, with bad UDP handling, then assuming you use a lot of DHT and µTP, it can run out of ram. But that can happen even with it wired.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26721139#p26721139:1qq5imqa said:HonorableSoul[/url]":1qq5imqa][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718831#p26718831:1qq5imqa said:Andrew Norton[/url]":1qq5imqa]Really! Why hadn't someone told me this before???!?!?!?![url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718715#p26718715:1qq5imqa said:jandrese[/url]":1qq5imqa][url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718667#p26718667:1qq5imqa said:mikehild[/url]":1qq5imqa]
The reason this won't work is because way too many people use Wifi these days, and doing P2P over Wifi kills the signal for everything else.
Oh wait, I know, because it's not true
you see that link about comcast being caught? Rob Toplowski spotted it initially, I led the verification for TorrentFreak (which prompted the EFF to do their report several months later). Many of the test boxes used wifi.
P2P data is just data. it's not going to kill your wifi system any more than any other traffic. the only exception is if you have a (now) old router, with bad UDP handling, then assuming you use a lot of DHT and µTP, it can run out of ram. But that can happen even with it wired.
Since you so eloquently stated that the whole exception is an old router, How many routers on the internet are old? All you have to do is look at the decline in wireless router market statistics for the last 5 years to understand most folks have at least a 5 year old router which have the same problems with P2P, because honestly most non-IT savy folks are not going to be upgrading their modem. So most folks aren't upgraded with the latest router technology.
The original posters comments on P2P traffic hosing up a home nework are valid for a >50% population of the internet.
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26720627#p26720627:1vnhe9x6 said:Tundro Walker[/url]":1vnhe9x6]The main issue is that there will be jackasses that want to be ultra-stingy, just like in other torrenting situaitons. That one jerk that wants to torrent down, but tweaks his system to not seed (either via a file, or compiling some open-source torrenting prog himself that making it nothing but a leecher).
[url=http://meincmagazine.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=26718853#p26718853:7fhyoqs6 said:nijave[/url]":7fhyoqs6]Of course a lot of consumer broadband packages have a relatively low upload bandwidth. We have 16/1Mbls from Time Warner that's unmetered and unthrottled. Of course, about 70% of that 1Mbps is constantly consumed by online backups. At 100% upload utilization, our latency takes a massive hit. It's my understanding it has something to do with how cable works and the fact it wasn't originally designed for 2 direction data transfer.