Artemis II is unlikely to be the cultural touchstone Apollo 8 was, and that’s OK

A significant part of the population is very unhappy with a president who will undoubtedly bask in the glow of Artemis.
I think this is a good time to remind people that he wanted to cut NASA's budget for this year by 24% and has cut the workforce by 20%. He expects praise for the accomplishments of an agency he's gutting.
 
Upvote
14 (14 / 0)

Hmnhntr

Ars Scholae Palatinae
3,187
As much as I truly love space and am I sci-fi nerd at heart, I feel like my entire attitude towards space exploration has shifted over the last decade or so. It's gotten increasingly hard to stomach the idea of space exploration when we're so deeply and profoundly neglecting our own planet, to the point that some parts of it may functionally be uninhabitable in a century. The notion that we're going to occupy Mars is a fantasy, and one that has very real consequences for all of us.
If we were truly focused on going to Mars, we would be focusing our budget on how to live there, not how to get there. Anyone can tie a brick to their feet and go to the ocean depths. The impressive thing is doing so while alive.
 
Upvote
12 (14 / -2)
Yikes indeed and very well stated!

My feelings on this are decidedly mixed. I wasn't born for the Apollo program and remember my mom wanting to gently tell me about Challenger because she knew how much space meant to me. I grew up always wanting us to do something more exciting than orbiting in LEO. The unmanned space program is a technical marvel and I've cheered its successes, but I've always wanted to see people out there, whether it's the Moon or Mars or wherever. I'm sure that's fueled my love of sci-fi.
BUT…
Now that I know more, there's just so many problems with this effort:
  • We talk about wanting to go to Mars (or even permanently to the Moon) but we've known for decades that this requires advances in closed loop ecosystems & resolution of the bone and strength loss issues zero gee creates. That could be artificial (spin) gravity, the miraculous invention of strength-preserving biotech, or a miraculous continuous-acceleration drive like in The Expanse that can provide thrust gravity. There appears to be no recent interest in investing in tackling these problems. Because of that, this program feels like a dead end that's just playing pretend, and it's insulting.
  • The Apollo program was a marvel of systematic testing and building of all the required capabilities to land on the Moon. Each mission either gathered data or developed the technology needed while minimizing risk to crew. The same can't be said for Artemis. All the missions basically assume no failures of significance are even possible despite plenty of reasons to know that's unwise and enough design (let alone hardware) is replaced from mission to mission to invalidate the testing that is done. The recent rearrangement of III into III & IV helps but doesn't eliminate the problem.
  • I don't particularly care about the cost of the program. But I'm offended by the waste. Another commenter mentioned the importance of reuse to this effort except we're throwing reusable technology away and replacing tested designs repeatedly. It's also hard to feel inspired by a program designed to show we've still "got it" when that program feels like it has an embarrassing number of problems we're sweeping under the rug every chance we get. (Heat shield, anyone?)
  • I'm concerned that we're more likely to get these astronauts killed than in Apollo. After Columbia, you'd think the response to heat shield problems would be to go back and retest until the problem is proven to have been solved rather than use human test dummies and cross our fingers. It would be tolerable if they died from something unexpected (like sinking under miles of lunar dust, or lunar dust dissolving the lander), but we have known unexplained negative test results and we're charging on anyway as if we are invincible. Maybe the change in reentry profile is enough, but there are experts that are unconvinced by the analysis.
  • I'm convinced the low flight rate is a significant part of these problems. SpaceX is full of its own problems but it has demonstrated the power of reuse and rapid iteration.
  • And then there's the backdrop of the usual human problems compounded by aggressive efforts to dismantle programs attempting to help, reverse progress on those problems, and even actively damage the environment just for spite. And even if you accept the dubious claim that some of that was to save money & stop waste (I don't), we've got the Iran war to blow those arguments to smithereens.
  • Furthermore, this program is being used to puff the ego of a guy who clearly perjured himself while taking the oath of office and is actively dismantling our democracy. At least Nixon faced removal from office for his corruption.
So while it's great we're sending a woman and a person of color to the Moon and are talking about this being a step to Mars, it all rings hollow. So while I'm paying attention to this mission and am happy it's going reasonably well so far, I'm not at all inspired.
 
Upvote
15 (17 / -2)

Znomit

Ars Scholae Palatinae
621
Subscriptor
Imagine where we would be if the US and USSR had collaborated instead of having a space race all those years ago.
We might be in a world controlled by the worst aspects of both regimes?
The presidents of those countries are both working together towards common personal goals now and things aren't going very well at all.
 
Upvote
8 (9 / -1)

AustinAllan

Ars Scholae Palatinae
872
Space is hostile to living things. With the pace of AI and robotics it is only a matter of a short time before we can send robot astronauts to the moon, mars and beyond. Not need for air, water or food. No worries about living in low gravity or radiation. And no angst when the mission goes bad and the robots cannot come back. Much cheaper than sending humans if we only wait a few more years :) In the meantime we can work on fixing climate change and nuclear proliferation.
 
Upvote
-5 (4 / -9)
Meh. I'm certainly a space nerd and I'm glad we're doing ... something. But the real politik of the situation is that the Artemis program is one of "what can we actually accomplish with 50 year-old technology" and the parts we have sitting on a shelf vs. setting an audacious goal that was barely achievable with the technology of the day (Apollo).

Along the way, the SLS hardware was variously targeted as parts of a Mission to Mars or for an asteroid intercept. But a return to the moon? It's a definite "meh" and I'm about as space nerd as one can get.
To be fair, Artemis isn't just SLS, Orion, and (now cancelled) gateway, it includes HLS and Blue Origin's landers now.

While SLS and Orion are old hat, the landers are new cutting-edge technology.

And for that reason, even as a space nerd I'm still pretty ambivalent about Artemis II, but I think I will be pretty excited about Artemis III.
 
Upvote
3 (3 / 0)

rhgedaly

Ars Scholae Palatinae
1,377
You don't genuinely believe that do you because that is so wrong it makes your silly NASA and DOD comment look informed.

There is no scientist on the planet which will say "yup 100% of the moon science all done by Apollo". Does even seem plausible to you.

All the Apollo missions spent less than 4 hours combined in EVA on the lunar surface. You couldn't do all the science in a random canyon on Earth in 4 years much less 4 hours. You think we just by pure luck had a lunar program that just so happened to finish just as all the science was done?
Apollo astronauts spent a total of 80 hours doing EVA on the lunar surface. Maybe time for a coffee break? o_O
 
Upvote
14 (14 / 0)

fl4Ksh

Ars Tribunus Militum
1,588
Subscriptor
The only way to establish permanent human presence on the lunar surface within this decade is with Starships and only Starships. NASA has nothing. The SLS payload capability is too small and for each Artemis crewed mission the cost to NASA is $4.1B. That's about 33% of the $12B annual NASA budget for human spaceflight. Which is why NASA is limited to one SLS/Orion launch per year. And China plans to start construction of its lunar base in 2030 with completion in 2035.

NASA has spent $93B (current dollars) since 2000 attempting to put astronauts on the Moon. So far, the space agency has launched three astronauts on Artemis II on a 10-day cruise around the Moon getting no closer than 5000 miles (8047 km) above the surface. That mission cost $4.1B.

Through 2025 the estimated SpaceX expenditure on Starship is $8-10B ($2025) at a $2B per year rate, all private money. This figure encompasses research and development (R&D), vehicle construction, and the substantial infrastructure required to support the megarocket (one Starfactory, two Gigabay final assembly buildings, two launch pads at Starbase Texas, one launch pad at KSC in Florida, and two launch pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Base in Florida). A second Starfactory at the SpaceX Roberts Road facility at KSC will begin construction in late 2026.

SpaceX has two NASA contracts for customized Starship lunar landers totaling $4.5B. To date NASA has paid SpaceX about $2.6B on those contracts.

The Gigabay at Starbase Texas has 24 workstations while the two Megabays there each have 5 workstations for a total of 34. Seventeen Starships can be assembled simultaneously at the Starbase Texas production facility.

The estimated cost to produce the Booster (the first stage of Starship) is $63M and $27M for the Ship (the second stage of Starship) for a total of $90M per unit. The per unit cost of
 
Upvote
-15 (3 / -18)

Publius Enigma

Ars Scholae Palatinae
743
Subscriptor
Regardless of geopolitical reasons, the last time we went to the moon was indeed over half a century ago. They were using 50 year old technology, at best. We have 50 years of scientific and engineering progress to apply to lunar analysis now
50 years of technological progress just hear over the radio how they have two instances of Outlook running on the onboard PDC, and neither one of them is working.
 
Upvote
-3 (1 / -4)

Constant Variable

Smack-Fu Master, in training
88
I read the article twice and it seems the answer to the question in the title is "to beat the Chinese." I suppose some people might think that's a good reason, but from a non-US perspective, winning this new iteration of the space race is almost certain not to give the same boost to the US's international reputation as the last once. Last time, it didn't feel as if it was just Americans going to the Moon, it felt like humanity in general was on its way there. Doesn't feel like that this time (and I don't think it makes a difference that there's technically a non-American on board).
Not to mention that last time, it was a race between freedom and democracy (and yes, capitalism) on one side versus repression and communism on the other. Now it’s between fascism and communism. Can they both lose, please?
 
Upvote
7 (9 / -2)

Statistical

Ars Legatus Legionis
55,665
@fl4Ksh If you need a k-holed nazi to get to the moon, you don't deserve to.

The sadder part is he thinks Ole Musky is actually going to be build "cities on the moon" out of the goodness of his heart. You know like all those Mars colonies SpaceX built in the last 15 years. That SpaceX which will have public shareholders at a $1.75B valuation which needs $50B+ a year in profit which likely requires $200B+ in revenue to not be sitting on a stupid investment. That company is totally not going to raise prices and instead is going to dump countless billions for free to build cities on the moon. Never before in the history of companies has a company with a commanding advantage just exploited that for profit no companies with no real competition tend to keep prices low to be nice and charitable.

However like most fanboys he isn't even consistent. The US "needs" an all starship solution to compete with China who ... <checks notes> ... doesn't have an all Starship solution. Hell they don't even have the equivalent of a New Glenn or Falcon 9. Their lander and crew vehicle is 100% expendable fueled with hypergolics. The only option to compete with that is give the Nazi In Chief full control over everything.
 
Last edited:
Upvote
3 (5 / -2)

Statistical

Ars Legatus Legionis
55,665
Not to mention that last time, it was a race between freedom and democracy (and yes, capitalism) on one side versus repression and communism on the other. Now it’s between fascism and communism. Can they both lose, please?

Arguably there is nothing communist about China anymore beyond the name. It is fascism vs fascism. Who will win?
 
Upvote
8 (9 / -1)

OrvGull

Ars Legatus Legionis
11,881
You don't genuinely believe that do you because that is so wrong it makes your silly NASA and DOD comment look informed.

There is no scientist on the planet which will say "yup 100% of the moon science all done by Apollo". Does even seem plausible to you.
Everything we needed humans for. By the end we were smacking golf balls for the TV cameras because there's really nothing there. It's a big dead sand pit made of the same stuff Earth is made of, because it used to be part of Earth.

If there were serious science to be done we'd be sending robots, not humans. Humans are who you send for PR, not for scientific work.
 
Last edited:
Upvote
2 (7 / -5)

OrvGull

Ars Legatus Legionis
11,881
The Moon is close, and a base on that will help us with what we need to know for a crew on Mars to stay there until the return launch window opens. I think it makes sense. We don't need another detour again.
The physical environments are so different that I'm not sure the Moon has much to teach us about building stuff on Mars, frankly.
 
Upvote
3 (5 / -2)
Those are all strawmen. I was stated the reality that there is a race. Saying there isn't a race doesn't make it not a race. Who knows maybe China will trip over its dick and India passes them someday none of that changes the fact that you can't plan to go to the moon and then once someone else plans to go to the moon you go "oh it isn't a race".

The old joke about sailing is what makes a sailboat race? Two sailboats going in the same direction. The US and China are going in the same direction. It is a race.
I don't have problem with thinking this as a race? What puzzles me is the exaggeration of the outcome of the race. Some people make it sounds like "if the US loses this race to China this time, it's gonna lose forever after and never have the chance to come back!". What the heck was that idea come from?
 
Upvote
1 (4 / -3)
The sadder part is he thinks Ole Musky is actually going to be build "cities on the moon". You know the SpaceX which will have public shareholders at a $1.75B valuation which needs $50B+ a year in profit which likely requires $200B+ in revenue. That company is just going to dump countless billions for free to build cities on the moon.

However like most fanboys he isn't even consistent. We "need" all starship solution to compete with the Chinese who ... don't have an all Starship solution. Hell they don't even have the equivalent of a New Glenn much less a Falcon 9. Their lander and crew vehicle is 100% expendable fueled with hypergolics.
So you do know that, right? Let's assume that China lands two astronauts on the Moon ahead of the US. Then a year later the US lands more astronauts and tons of stuffs on the Moon with Starship.

So who's the winner here? I, as a Chinese, think it's the US. Yet you seems to think that the US is the loser?
 
Upvote
4 (5 / -1)

niftykev

Ars Scholae Palatinae
760
I still say it's difficult to cheer for my country for sending the first woman, first person of color, and first non-American around the moon when a month ago they killed a bunch of Iranian kids with a Tomahawk.

This mission costs billions of dollars and this administration took away billions in aid to people in need all over the world.

A fascist administration launching a really amazing mission is still a fucking fascist administration.

So yeah, this mission isn't going to be a cultural touchstone. It's not going to heal the nation even for a day, or the world. It's not even diverting my attention from the evil this administration is inflicting all over the world. It just reminds me of how out of touch they are.

But if some of you can take some happiness from it, then enjoy it. Don't let me bring you down.
 
Upvote
8 (13 / -5)

thearcher

Ars Scholae Palatinae
736
Subscriptor++
Wondering if Trump will try to claim the moon for the US, either now or if Americans land on it during his term, however long it ends up being. (Yes, I know there are laws against that, but Trump doesn't care about law. And given that President Felon got a second term, I'm pretty sure his gullible supporters don't care either. And apologies if someone already suggested it: text search seems to be broken in this browser.)
 
Upvote
3 (4 / -1)

WaveMotionGum

Ars Praetorian
420
Subscriptor
Even SpaceX launches are not BUILT on human misery. Elon Musk being a sociopathic piece of shit didn't increase human misery by launching rockets. Arguably he was contributing less to human misery when he was more interested in playing with rockets then playing Nazi kingmaker on social media.

You can say SpaceX made him rich but yeah so did Tesla and Paypal. It isn't like if SpaceX never existed Elon Musk would have been a poor guy and not have the resources to do all the terrible shit he has done. It isn't like SpaceX dollars (which only became profitable last year) is what put him over the top so that he could start courting nazis.


(Side note I read every word of your post I just think quoting 6 paragraphs provides no context as to what is being responded to and why but I did it here)
He has the cause and effect reversed. It's human misery built on the back of SpaceX. Without the success and mystique of SpaceX propping up the fictitious value of Tesla it's very unlikely that Musk would have managed to buy Twitter and an election and the opportunity to kill 9 million of the world's sickest and poorest.
 
Last edited:
Upvote
7 (9 / -2)
Wondering if Trump will try to claim the moon for the US, either now or if Americans land on it during his term, however long it ends up being. (Yes, I know there are laws against that, but Trump doesn't care about law. And given that President Felon got a second term, I'm pretty sure his gullible supporters don't care either. And apologies if someone already suggested it: text search seems to be broken in this browser.)
Please for the love of all that is good in the Universe don't stir up the Moon Treaty fanatics.
 
Upvote
4 (4 / 0)

sorud

Smack-Fu Master, in training
30
Shocking mask-off moment:

This is poison to democracy. We get consulted for some very good reasons, and sometimes we say "no" to stuff that an individual would rather we didn't.
Mask-off, or straight-talking? There are many necessary things a nation does that people don't think about, and if they did they would probably be knee-jerk opposed to - for instance nuclear deterrent and the wider military. Thoughtful governance means looking at the bigger picture and taking the advice of experts.

Pandering to the instincts of the uninformed has a name: Populism. We already have our fair share right now, but you want to add to it?
 
Upvote
-5 (4 / -9)

WaveMotionGum

Ars Praetorian
420
Subscriptor
Mask-off, or straight-talking? There are many necessary things a nation does that people don't think about, and if they did they would probably be knee-jerk opposed to - for instance nuclear deterrent and the wider military. Thoughtful governance means looking at the bigger picture and taking the advice of experts.

Pandering to the instincts of the uninformed has a name: Populism. We already have our fair share right now, but you want to add to it?
You figure thoughtful governance is what is happening in America today? You figure moon landings are on the list of unpalatable but necessary things a sovereign nation must do? You think less than a secure majority of Americans support funding a military?

Are you by chance...from the moon?
 
Upvote
1 (4 / -3)

OrvGull

Ars Legatus Legionis
11,881
To pick on one particular error, we already know that exercise is sufficient - people have stayed on the ISS for as long as a trip to Mars.
That's true, but they needed someone to help them out of the capsule when they got back. There won't be anyone waiting with a stretcher on Mars.

Wondering if Trump will try to claim the moon for the US, either now or if Americans land on it during his term, however long it ends up being.
I mean, he could try that, but actually defending the claim would be tough. This ain't Risk 2210, he can't exactly station a battalion there to hold it.
 
Upvote
9 (9 / 0)

arsisloam

Ars Scholae Palatinae
1,381
Subscriptor
I will never understand people saying "But we did it already nearly 60 years ago, so why do we have to do it again?" This isn't about the past, it's about the present and the future. You do NOT want China to say "Yes, you could do it back then, but now WE can do it and you can't anymore".

It's a bit lame, yes, but the world is looking at the US and at China and the US is not looking good now for lots of reasons...

The great thing about spaceflight is that is JUST possible and you need to get everything right to do it. You can't pray, threaten, bully or talk yourself into orbit or onto the Moon. It's a proof of real capabilities. And the US can be happy that the current administration can still count on people who're not just "loyal" but can get things done. Give it another ten years and they'll be reduced to trying to pray or bully a rocket to the Moon because they have replaced everyone capable with someone who's just sucking up to the MAGA crowd.

In some ways it's very similar to the last space race: it's about which system works better. Just that now the system that needs to lose is the regime of idiots. And think about China whatever you want, but idiots they're not.
The USA went to space in the middle of having a senile president, a drunken secretary of defense, morons running literally every other agency, a record deficit, and running multiple wars. Even at one of the lowest points in our history, we did that. Space isn't even a national goal, really. It's a hobby that we choose to indulge in. There is no race, except in nationalists' imaginations. When China does it, it's a national achievement. When we do it, it's a Thursday.

Now let's all pray these 4 fine people don't blow up on re-entry, because fucking Boeing.
 
Upvote
9 (9 / 0)
I have to say this: I think part of the challenge on the enthusiasm is the utter contempt that many in other parts of the world feel towards the US right now due to the executive leadership behaviours and the contempt towards the rest of humanity, the contempt for knowledge, for science, for education, for long known truths being shown by so many in the US gov't leadership.

I'm in Canada: I should be fricking delighted that a Mission Specialist is on that flight who is from Canada.
(Hey: Ars editorial. Notice how I phrased that? )

Instead: when I turned on the Nasa stream to see if the flight was actually going to launch, I had the unfortunate aspect of joining into the Nasa stream just as the most vile amount of American jingoism was played.
About 10 seconds into that stream of BS about the US 250'th I put things on mute, stopped watching, and set a stopwatch to check back in closer to the hopeful terminal count.

to a certain extent Apollo 8 "worked" because there was a lot of "we are doing this for all mankind" and less "rah rah America"
vs this flight which seems to be really trying to pump the MAGA-line and the false narrative that this flight is actually somehow something special: This flight is NOT anything special. It IS a repeat of the past: and it is not pushing the envelope at all.

And its doing it with hardware that is, in many ways, far less capable than what was done in the 60'ies.

There's a certain irony to the fact that even the Apollo program was essentially an all-US driven program it was played up more as an achievement for all mankind whereas even though the Artemis program fundamentally doesn't work without the ESA service module, the current mission is being played up as an Ameican-first achievement.
 
Upvote
13 (13 / 0)

Starlionblue

Ars Tribunus Militum
2,720
Subscriptor
“Miles considered Barrayaran marching bands. It wasn't enough that humans did something so difficult as learning to play a musical instrument. Then they had to do it in groups. While walking around. In complicated patterns. And then they competed with one another to do it even better. Excellence, this kind of excellence, could never have any sane economic justification. It had to be done for the honor of one's country, or one's people, or the glory of God. For the joy of being human.”

Excerpt From
Diplomatic Immunity (Vorkosigan Saga)
Lois McMaster Bujold

This is why.

Bonus points for Vorkosigan reference.
 
Upvote
1 (2 / -1)

BemusedPenguin

Smack-Fu Master, in training
65
(No idea how middle-of-the-night me posted this reply in the wrong comments section, but here it is where it belongs. Mea culpa.)

I appreciate the article but more so the rightful critique of it here in the comments. I'm honestly pretty ambivalent.

2am reflections here: I'm one generation removed from remembering the Apollo times. I was an Air Force brat whose first meaningful connection to the space program was staring up into the Southern California sun and waiting for the twin sonic booms of the space shuttle returning. I was a voracious astronomy nut from preteens on. I still remember staring at the news footage of Columbia breaking up - and with it, one of my parents' old friends, Rick Husband.

By rights some would say I should care about Artemis. But how, and why? Why get excited about doing essentially the same thing again now, and for so many problematic reasons? What the hell is this race nonsense and us vs. them crap, anyway? I have no vendetta against "The Chinese," and if they want to go to space, more power to them.

Honestly, I had forgotten the Artemis launch was a serious thing until a day or two before. Sure, I sent the live stream link to my family. I watched it over supper, trying not to retch over the "Murica, f*ck yeah!" bullshit. I even snapped a quick pic of our little four-month-old daughter staring at the live stream - you know, in case it turned out to be historic or something.

It went up. Without exploding. Cool.

And that was about it. A few hours later, the news headlines were back to being about the criminal-in-chief's social media ravings and the absurdities and human horrors unfolding in Iran.

So, yeah. Ambivalent is the word.
 
Upvote
12 (12 / 0)

dzahsh

Smack-Fu Master, in training
2
We didn't need 20 years of HSF development to perform a lunar sample return.
Sure, maybe technically possible robotically, ice is a bit "volatile", but no such robotic mission exists or is funded. VIPER (the robotic precursor to even locating the ice) was cancelled last year after being fully built. Artemis IV is what's actually happening. Are we interested in finding a thrilling storyline or not?
The Moon has been holding the origin story of Earth's water frozen in permanent darkness for 3 billion years. Its a miracle of coincidences that it exists. We're going to go get it. How is that not absolutely thrilling popular science that is far more interesting than dick-waving geopolitics?
 
Upvote
0 (0 / 0)

Feniks

Ars Scholae Palatinae
1,312
Native Americans would have been better off if the European barbarians would stayed home.
Curiously this is the heart of the matter: America is claiming the moon.

Look as a non USian I am just not interested in the usual flag waving and jingoism.
People in my country actually LIKED America in 1968.

Today the US are involved in a war which directly negatively impacts my life. And seeing Trump or one of his cabal on the news every day is not helping.

I could excuse it all for science but let's be honest there is no science here.
 
Upvote
9 (11 / -2)