2025 sees Tesla’s annual revenue fall for the first time

rochefort

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The hilarious part is them converting the Fremont plant to make robots. The ones that nobody has seen. Switching a plant from cars to robots is likely going to be an expensive venture but if they haven't gotten a final design for Optimus, the change order costs are going to eat Tesla alive.
Assuming they actually pay their bills.
 
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What does the bolded part mean?
The simplest way to explain it is that Income from operations is the income you have from your primary business. Say you make widgets and sell a million and make a profit of $5 on each. (The actual sales price doesn't matter.) Your income from operations would be $5 million. But the company also makes money from interest on the money it has in the bank at any given time. And if the company owns stock or bonds in another company, they might have dividends and interest that get added in to your total income. Might not be much, might be a bundle. But it's not income from widget making.
 
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Snark218

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I have lived in northern Nevada for about five years and regularly travel back to the Bay Area.

In 2023 and 2024 I saw Tesla semi’s regularly driving interstate 80 back-and-forth across the hill on training runs and what I must assume be testing runs. Then, one of them crashed near Gold Run, and almost burned down that side of the Sierra when the battery packs were punctured and went critical.

I have seen two Tesla semi’s on the road since then. One on US 50, near the Tesla semi facility. The other was driving around in Sparks, and appeared to be having trouble navigating city streets. it’s well known here that the semi program has been rebooted in a fundamental way, and that the effort is very far behind other EV tractor manufacturers. The semi tractor will be dead on arrival if it even shows up.
My guess is the Semi program hasn’t been rebooted so much as it’s been booted into safe mode - a zombie product, only notionally under ongoing development and only to the extent they can’t be charged of securities fraud after claiming it’s coming.

Meanwhile, Freightliner, Volvo, and even Nikola are quietly selling actual Class 8 BEV trucks that aren’t bullshit and serve real markets that make sense for the current state of the art, like regional/short haul and drayage trucks. Fleet managers don’t give a limp pity fuck about Elon’s shitty freestyle sci-fi. They’re going to buy trucks that make sense for their actual needs from manufacturers with whom they have existing relationships.
 
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Legatum_of_Kain

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Good. They should do even worse.

All issues with the company and owners aside, they're really shit-tier customer support being propped up by a cult.

If I received a vehicle that had suspension, door usability/exit issues in emergencies, and fit/finish issues, I'd lose my god damn shit.

Them lying about the range as well is bonkers, and I cannot believe they don't get independent range tests (with independent GPS sources vs whatever the vehicle reports) and them not having been buried for dishonesty/customer service years ago.
 
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raxx7

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Honestly is should do better internationally than in the US. Germany alone buys as many new semi's as the US each year and the EU in total 5 times more.

The downside of having 27 nations is limited waterway transport for cross country trade and the railways prioritise passenger over cargo so trucks dominate.

Trucks dominate in the US way more than Europe.

EU's freight modal share is ~70% water, ~25% road and ~5% rail.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/stati...le=Freight_transport_statistics_-_modal_split

Excluding pipelines, US's is more like 12% water, 53% road and 34% rail
https://www.bts.gov/content/us-ton-miles-freight
 
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Fleet managers don’t give a limp pity fuck about Elon’s shitty freestyle sci-fi. They’re going to buy trucks that make sense for their actual needs from manufacturers with whom they have existing relationships.
Fleet managers would be more than willing to evaluate the Tesla Semi on its merits, even though they don't have any relationship with the company.

It's just that, on its merits, it's a lousy truck. I get why Tesla made certain choices, like having the driver's seat in the middle of the cab (one vehicle fits all countries, irrespective of whether they drive on the left or right!), but it turns out that doing so absolutely destroys the utility of the vehicle whenever the driver needs to lean out of the window.. eg, at a gate or to receive or hand over paperwork. Which they need to do remarkably often.

That sort of screwup, where Tesla made certain design choices without talking to people in the industry first, means that the Semi is dead on arrival. Or, at best, a very low volume seller in the market.
 
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denemo

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It kind of makes me sad that after everything, Tesla sales ONLY fell 8.6%. . . that's not nothing, not insignificant, but it really seems like the message here is that going full-bore fascism, and stealing the American public's data from the government, only costs you 8.6% of sales, which might recover in a couple years. . .

Wasn't there a lot of sales in the third quarter due to some EV credits expiring? It would probably look a lot worse if that hadn't contributed. I think the financials will next year will be more reflective of the true sentiment of the company.
 
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Aelix

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Tell me how Tesla is going to out-compete a vertically integrated manufacturer from Asia that is also the only source of high-speed/high-torque servomotors.

The US can’t even competitively build a robotic vacuum for Christ sakes. The only reason BYD hasn’t taken over is because they are straight up banned. It will be even worse with robots.
 
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The decline is sold vehicles / decline in vehicle revenue is actually worse than it looks. Loosing sales in a rising market is much worse.

Tesla declined.
Tesla's competitors increased.

For a long time Tesla enjoyed first mover's advantages. For many markets, Tesla was the only real electric vehicle. The other manufacturers had poor attempts, but they were all less than sum of their parts. Now its flipped. Competitors have closed the gap and it many circumstances gone past Tesla.
Tesla is now just one of many options for electric vehicle... but with the drawback of Musk. Sure he has his fans that gladly would sacrifice their life for him, but boy does he turn many people of.
 
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Aelix

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Here we see a picture of Elon Musk with his latest Optimus robot 20 years from now, and just like today… don’t look under the mask.

IMG_9597.jpeg
 
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thenitz

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Trucks dominate in the US way more than Europe.

EU's freight modal share is ~70% water, ~25% road and ~5% rail.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/stati...le=Freight_transport_statistics_-_modal_split

Excluding pipelines, US's is more like 12% water, 53% road and 34% rail
https://www.bts.gov/content/us-ton-miles-freight
The 70% share of water transport for EU is weird.
Looking into details, they count ocean going ships that pass through territorial waters. This way Portugal looks like having a huge share of maritime traffic, but in fact this also counts Shanghai to UK ships passing through the ocean 50 km away from Lisbon. IMO this is misleading for any practical purpose.
What looks more real is 5:1 share of trucks in EU vs 3:2 share in the US. I would say trucks dominate the EU freight but they are more or less an equal player to rail in the US.
 
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SeanJW

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The simplest way to explain it is that Income from operations is the income you have from your primary business. Say you make widgets and sell a million and make a profit of $5 on each. (The actual sales price doesn't matter.) Your income from operations would be $5 million. But the company also makes money from interest on the money it has in the bank at any given time. And if the company owns stock or bonds in another company, they might have dividends and interest that get added in to your total income. Might not be much, might be a bundle. But it's not income from widget making.

Large enough companies have huge pools of money in different countries so they can actually make money from currency hedging and more (separately to the pricing policies that build in a certain amount of hedging on currency fluctuations). They need utterly ridiculous finance systems and there's only 2 or 3 suitable at that scale and the companies that provide them are the ones you all know and detest...people like Oracle or SAP. They use banks of course, but they don't need to ask their banks to transfer money - they're they're own SWIFT destination....
 
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RZetopan

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I think Musk has nowadays some moments of lucidity away from his usual ketamine diet because things feel like he wants to pivot exclusively to SpaceX and its IPO as the base of his fortune.

Tesla will slowly continue to circle the drain, an embattled and ultimately failing automotive, robotics, AI company.
And you only missed nailing it by “that much”: (https://www.quotes.net/mquote/741325)
“Tesla will slowly continue to circle the drain, an embattled and ultimately failing automotive, robotics, AI, Premiere Vaporware company.” Remember, this is the same literal moron who claimed that “we” may be living in the Matrix.*

*Testimonial from an actual Elite Ketamine Connoisseur.
 
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Zeppos

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Funny article in the local newspaper. After 4 years new cars have to undergo their inspection here (Belgium). Roughly 50% of Teslas (model 3 and y) fail due to too much clearance in the suspension. It is a problem in multiple EU countries. Other brands, even the French ones do not have this issue.
I wonder who will be blamed for this. Oh no I don't. They probably blame EU inspection for being anti America.
 
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I think Musk has nowadays some moments of lucidity away from his usual ketamine diet because things feel like he wants to pivot exclusively to SpaceX and its IPO as the base of his fortune.

Tesla will slowly continue to circle the drain, an embattled and ultimately failing automotive, robotics, AI company.
I think Tesla has a potential future as an energy solutions provider, like charging stations and battery storage (both private and industrial). However, it would likely need to be spun off into a separate company from the car and AI parts. And that Elon Musk is completely disconnected from it.
 
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Since then, they made their cars worse, blew the wad on the cybertruck, then the cyber cab, then the robots that NO ONE actually wants, squandered their technical lead, destroyed their brand by associating themselves with nazis (despite their core customers being exactly opposites), and pissed off more than half the world. But, the stock has stayed high because there are too many "smartest guys in the room" in finance who don't want to admit they were wrong. It's being held up by wishes and dreams.
Oh man hard disagree about not wanting a robot that does all the things Optimus will totally definitely do for real.

But even if it did all those things, lol at the idea of ever, fucking ever putting a Nazi owned robot into my household and I'm white as the snow that locked my ass inside Dallas this weekend.

Never ever gonna happen.
 
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Translation: Elon got bored running a mature business like an actual adult and crawls up the goddamn wall unless he's risking billions of dollars on other people's money on something new that fascinates him.

RRRRRRRRGHHHHHH this stupid motherfucker. We ALREADY have robots that can outperform human surgeons. We've had them for decades. We use them where it makes sense to, which is to say in limited and highly specialized contexts doing things human hands can't do through minuscule incisions. And I don't give a fuck how much these dumbfucks wave their hands around about AI, they are not delivering a general-purpose learning AI capable of independently doing a full range of household chores or independently performing surgeries to the standard of a human surgeon without telepresent control. There is no AI at present or anywhere on the horizon that is capable of replicating those tasks or of emulating human problem-solving, judgement, or learning. We don't even know if such a thing is possible given realistic constraints on power, cooling water, and compute. If Optimus is capable of independently doing anything more complex than giving me a handjob in three years, I'll give it a handjob.

We have a real problem in this country, namely that the people who control the money are morons, grifters, engaged in securities fraud, or all three - hi Cathie Wood!
This handjob line deserves to be the featured comment on this article. I lost it.
 
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Funny article in the local newspaper. After 4 years new cars have to undergo their inspection here (Belgium). Roughly 50% of Teslas (model 3 and y) fail due to too much clearance in the suspension. It is a problem in multiple EU countries. Other brands, even the French ones do not have this issue.
I wonder who will be blamed for this. Oh no I don't. They probably blame EU inspection for being anti America.
I'm even more bewildered at people here in continental Europe who still buy this brand which is now very well known for the poor quality, reliability, security and build issues, horrible resale value when the EU and Asian brands offer a far more compelling proposition.
And funding American fascism by the way goes a long way in the decision to avoid this brand altogether. Luckily, I live in a country where the YtY sales numbers have fallen off a cliff, so there's that.
 
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Carewolf

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How long will I have to wait to find out if a lot of rich people are smarter than me or much, much dumber than me?
When prices go up after the stock exchange is closed, it is the stock exchange algorithms fiddling with the supposed price. Not any humans buying and selling.

Edit: I was trying for multiple days last week to sell most of my American stocks, but you could never sell at even the lowest price displayed after the stock exchange closed, they were all imaginary high values. I had to force my trading platform to allow me to sell under the official "market range" to be able to sell anything.
 
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jack1983

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What are these services exactly? Like charger location fees?
It's a combination of charger fees and servicing fees, as well as subscriptions like FSD. For a conventional automotive business, parts and servicing costs form a large part of their profits. Tesla finally has a decent sized, aging fleet, so income from these is steadily increasing.

Of course it will never be especially high, since electric cars need very little servicing. This is the principal reason why legacy car manufacturers were so wary to enter this sector.
 
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