Is it normal for you to see gas stations with four pumps and not another one for 50 miles or more?When a pump is bagged as out of service at my local gas station it’s almost always for longer than that. Not sure why EV chargers should be held to a higher standard.
Yeah you can move hydrogen generation off site, but then you add in transport cost to something that is already fairly expensive comparatively. You still need the local storage equipment which is not cheap to store a substantial amount, and as you said compressor losses.Yup. Those margins are thin and sensitive to operating costs of which fuel is a significant percentage.
While it doesn't much more the needle in favor of hydrogen, provisioning relatively few industrial sites for massive power is orders of magnitudes less difficult than bumping provisioning for numerous far-flung sites effectively from kilowatts to megawatts. Of course local compressors (merely 950 bar to refill those 700 bar tanks) will likely require some service upgrades anyway...
Aviation is likely to have the margins for such a switch. Trans-oceanic shipping might have enough raw scale.
I suspect that - in addition to handwave-y statements about and the exhaust is water vapor - the superficial similarity to liquid hydrocarbon operations is the appeal. Except the not-so-secret dream of converting diesel engines to hydrogen isn't going to pan out primarily for reasons of fuel density - even with terrifying cryogenic hydrogen. And facts-on-the-ground refueling speeds at pilot H2 stations are often similar to DC fast charging electric vehicles.Hydrogen is appealing because it is similar to the fossil fuel setup.
It's all possible within the realm of existing technology, just not presently economically feasible nor do any of the developable proposals within the R&D pipeline look to change this reality.Most of hydrogens problems are solvable, they just add additional cost to something that is already expensive.
Fully agree, but my prediction is that long haul trucking will be a combo of:Hydrogen fuel cells stubbornly remain ten to twenty years out from mass adoption while BEV is COTS, seeing steadily-expanding roles. End of the day the unavoidable economic problem of hydrogen - massive bespoke infrastructure + ~treble the energy input per unit of output vs electric - remains the unavoidable elephant in the room.
That being said, I expect OTR trucking will not transition any time soon. Short- and medium-haul (i.e. intra-city delivery, distribution) are slowly pivoting to BEV. But long-haul has challenges related to range and the nontrivial expense of installing multi-megawatt service to the likes of truck stops along freight corridors. Not sure what shape this will take.
But otherwise I expect OTR to remain firmly the domain of today's familiar diesel trucks for more than a decade.
- Catenaries have been experimented with but those pilots are few and halting; aware of a discontinued pilot in LA/Long Beach and and one ongoing in Germany
- Battery hot-swapping would allow for slower more economic charging of battery packs, albeit with the added capital of hot-spare packs spending time sitting around
- We could maybe - just maybe - incentivize the railroads to handle more freight and operate PSR as originally intended (respond to customer demand!) rather than its present mode of destroying the rail network in order to appease stock market analysts
Caltrans has (slowish, but free) DC chargers at a lot of the rest stops in the south-central inland areas. Unfortunately, most of them are broken (no ongoing budget for maintenance), or inaccessible because the rest areas are closed long-term for construction.For rest stops, it’s illegal. Vending machines are the only thing allowed.
For the grandfathered-in service stops eg on the NY Thruway, there are some but they were down last time I went through. I hope they add new ones.
Used to be. Lots of "Next gas 50 miles" or so signs in rural California, sometimes not even that far away from urban areas. Less common now, of course.Is it normal for you to see gas stations with four pumps and not another one for 50 miles or more?
Truck stop with lots of gas pumps but low prices next to a heavily used freeway? Yes, 15-20 min wait is not unusual. Problem with EV chargers is that your worst-case wait can be a lot longer than that, though with the Bolt I never had to wait long, if at all, at any charger (though getting a charge once connected could take a while).Is it normal for you to wait for 15-20 minutes per car before getting through the pump line to start your car fueling?
I've seen more chargers out of service in my 1.5 years of EV ownership and 30k miles on it than the number of gas pumps I've seen out of service in 20 years of driving cars over hundreds of thousands of miles.When a pump is bagged as out of service at my local gas station it’s almost always for longer than that. Not sure why EV chargers should be held to a higher standard.
I take it you don't own a Tesla? That's not to say Tesla superchargers are anywhere near perfect, but their uptime is much better than non-Tesla DC chargers. I've a dozen out-of-service stalls in 7.5 years) as listed in the app's real-time operational status and with my eyes. And I'm pretty sure I've seen more than that at a gas station over 20+ years (I've seen entire rows closed down).I've seen more chargers out of service in my 1.5 years of EV ownership and 30k miles on it than the number of gas pumps I've seen out of service in 20 years of driving cars over hundreds of thousands of miles.
Reasonable.Fully agree, but my prediction is that long haul trucking will be a combo of:
- Better batteries (improved Wh/kg and Wh/$)
- High powered fast chargers
- Autonomous on freeways
To the extent that the catenary model has a chance, it would involve major freight corridors, trucks with moderate battery packs, and intermittent deployment to facilitate charging at a rate less than DC fast charging.Catenaries are way more infrastructure-heavy than a network of fast charger stations. They make more sense for rail than roads (because rail doesn't cover last mile, it's a sparse network).
The capital cost would be significant, along with the cost to users. Would have a better chance of working if the industry standardizes on a single formfactor and goes out of their way to properly maintain packs with a meaningful performance guarantee, but that's a bit of an ask.Hot swapping a $50K battery pack requires a lot of trust from customers, and heavy equpiment. That business model won't get off the ground for anything bigger than scooters.
I expect this to catch on regardless of drivetrain. The industry is powerfully driven to eliminate costs and wages are one of the prime targets there. Offerings like BlueCruise are close to being able to handle this task today; others I'm unaware of may simply be awaiting market and regulatory acceptance. I expect that there will be the occasional highway rescue by drivers who otherwise perform drayage runs.Autonomous (domain limited to just freeways) will be way cheaper for long haul. Trucks pulls into a charging stall and a person plugs it in. Somewhere near a city's edge, a driver will meet the truck to drive the cargo last mile to the customer and manage the delivery.
Freeway autonomous is vastly easier to get 100% right than urban, and the partial autonomy will face less resistance.
As for people realizing that cost per mile is lower with an EV it turns out it is really expensive to be poor. Sure you could spend more to get a lower cost per mile in the long run, but if you can't afford that additional amount it doesn't really matter. The EV tax credits have improved in that the dealer can collect the rebate which allows for just a lower purchase price. Sadly the charging install rebates still rely on you shelling out the money and then waiting for the end of the year for the tax rebate. So if someone is looking at a used EV they need to shell out additional cash to get it up and running at their home. If that person is financing that car they probably don't have much free cash left after a down payment.
I was responding to a previous poster saying that the lower cost per mile of EVs will drive adoption quickly. You are correct that cost per mile calculation is heavily dependent on your local electric rates and local gas prices and is not always a victory for EVs.Depends heavily on the way you charge.
If I charge at home using cheap electricity from an off demand meter my Ioniq 5 is about a third the cost of my Prius per mile, assuming I don't count the costs to have the 240V line and meter installed. With those the payback will be well over a year.
If I use the level 2 charger at my Mom's retirement community it's a wash with my Prius
If I use a DCFC around here it runs $0.50-0.56/KW, which is more than twice what my Prius costs per mile
Admittedly an extreme example comparing DCFC to one of the most efficient gas cars, but in general you won't save substantial money with an EV unless you can home charge or find a super cheap lvl 2 like the one at my work.
I don't own a Tesla, but I see enough superchargers out around the greater seattle area when I pass by themI take it you don't own a Tesla? That's not to say Tesla superchargers are anywhere near perfect, but their uptime is much better than non-Tesla DC chargers. I've a dozen out-of-service stalls in 7.5 years) as listed in the app's real-time operational status and with my eyes. And I'm pretty sure I've seen more than that at a gas station over 20+ years (I've seen entire rows closed down).
It's just generally such a non-issue for gas pump that most people don't even notice it (which actually supports the point that EV charging uptime matters more than gas pump uptime).
Hopefully, NEVI uptime requirement lead to more reliable chargers that combined with the realtime availability requirement (which is true for Superchargers, but not all other charging networks) should mitigate these types of problems.
So you are looking at the Supercharger stations as you pass and seeing out of order stalls?I don't own a Tesla, but I see enough superchargers out around the greater seattle area when I pass by them![]()
I agree that non-Tesla DC charger and most L2 chargers tend to have worse uptime. Tesla destination chargers don't report real-time availability data and more importantly not are maintained by Tesla, but rather the "destination" (e.g. the hotel) that they are located at. I've personally never had an issue with Tesla destination chargers, but I've only use about a dozen of them over the past 7.5 years.It's not just superchargers, everything from level 2 posts (Tesla destination charging included) to DCFC all seem like they got terrible uptime...
Yeah.... that's literal bullshit from Tesla.So you are looking at the Supercharger stations as you pass and seeing out of order stalls?
I agree that non-Tesla DC charger and most L2 chargers tend to have worse uptime. Tesla destination chargers don't report real-time availability data and more importantly not are maintained by Tesla, but rather the "destination" (e.g. the hotel) that they are located at. I've personally never had an issue with Tesla destination chargers, but I've only use about a dozen of them over the past 7.5 years.
As I mentioned above, it was unclear to me if you are claiming Tesla superchargers in your area also have poor uptime that is worse than the overall 99.97% uptime for the whole Supercharger network.
The company explains: "*Uptime of Supercharger sites reflects the average percentage of sites globally that had at least 50% of their daily capacity functional for the year."
Tesla's metric of average uptime is interesting, but as usual, statistics have weaknesses. In this case, the general average concerns stations, not individual stalls.
In an extreme theoretical example, if up to 49.9% of the stalls at each station were dead for the whole year, and the remaining 51.1% would be online for the entire year, then the result would be a perfect 100% uptime, according to Tesla. The same 100%, of course, would be achieved if 100% of the stalls were online for the whole year.
Hot swapping for long-haul freight trucks is the one use case where it kinda makes sense. Standardizing battery pack size and location is easier (vs light duty cars and trucks), shipping routes are more predictable (vs general public), and being able to charge batteries more slowly helps keep infrastructure and consumption costs in check (utilities do not like big spikes in usage, especially during peak demand periods).No catenaries or hot swapping.
I see. Separately, how are you judging Tesla Supercharger uptime if you are just driving by then?Yeah.... that's literal bullshit from Tesla.
Just ignore our broken chargers and judge the location as a whole.
It's nowhere near 99.97% in reality.
Technically, yes. Packaging for large trucks is both more generous and more standardized than personal automobiles. Demand is more predictable as well - operators could even know days in advance when a given truck is scheduled to make a stop and plan accordingly.Hot swapping for long-haul freight trucks is the one use case where it kinda makes sense. Standardizing battery pack size and location is easier (vs light duty cars and trucks), shipping routes are more predictable (vs general public), and being able to charge batteries more slowly helps keep infrastructure and consumption costs in check (utilities do not like big spikes in usage, especially during peak demand periods).
I was responding to a previous poster saying that the lower cost per mile of EVs will drive adoption quickly. You are correct that cost per mile calculation is heavily dependent on your local electric rates and local gas prices and is not always a victory for EVs.
But what I bolded was more my main point. Even if in a persons area the cost per mile is lower to charge at home you can't discount the cost to install an EVSE in a low income area. I plan on installing my own but even then I am looking at almost $500 and that is not needing a panel upgrade, and me doing all the wiring and install. That would just be an additional expense for someone when they are buying a car.
There’s no reason to install Level 2 or an EVSE - it is a luxury someone with a low income fortunately doesn’t need. You can charge most people’s daily driving with a regular outdoor outlet.Even if in a persons area the cost per mile is lower to charge at home you can't discount the cost to install an EVSE in a low income area.
I think there is still technically an EVSE when plugging into a 120V outlet, it's just a very simple one - in the same way that an EV still technically has a transmission, even though it is a single speed with a fixed gearbox.There’s no reason to install Level 2 or an EVSE - it is a luxury someone with a low income fortunately doesn’t need. You can charge most people’s daily driving with a regular outdoor outlet.
If I drove straight to work and back it would take 6 hours to replenish what I used. If I ran errands and stopped and visited until late at night like usual, it would not be full the next day. Not a problem, but I wouldn't want to do that too many days in a row.There’s no reason to install Level 2 or an EVSE - it is a luxury someone with a low income fortunately doesn’t need. You can charge most people’s daily driving with a regular outdoor outlet.
And ... if you have TOU metering (which we have as default here, regardless of EV use), you can always charge from a 120V outlet for short commutes. At 4 miles/kwh, you can easily recover the energy used in a 24-25 mile round trip commute overnight. Longer than that, yes, you need the Level 2, but when you get the car you can use 120V to get used to it, charge overnight, and still get an off-peak rate. The local utility also offers a $0.015 discount from the off-peak rate between midnight-0600 if a EV is registered to the service address, which works whatever voltage you're using.Depends heavily on the way you charge.
If I charge at home using cheap electricity from an off demand meter my Ioniq 5 is about a third the cost of my Prius per mile, assuming I don't count the costs to have the 240V line and meter installed. With those the payback will be well over a year.
If I use the level 2 charger at my Mom's retirement community it's a wash with my Prius
If I use a DCFC around here it runs $0.50-0.56/KW, which is more than twice what my Prius costs per mile
Admittedly an extreme example comparing DCFC to one of the most efficient gas cars, but in general you won't save substantial money with an EV unless you can home charge or find a super cheap lvl 2 like the one at my work.
I could see battery swaps at operator-owned facilities, eg pepsi plants. Otherwise, seems cheaper to just have stationary batteries buffering the grid draw at a truck stop where various trucks come by and plug in for half an hour each.Technically, yes. Packaging for large trucks is both more generous and more standardized than personal automobiles. Demand is more predictable as well - operators could even know days in advance when a given truck is scheduled to make a stop and plan accordingly.
But like hydrogen it runs into cost issues. For every hotswap-capable truck there will need to be some (fraction) of a pack on hot standby out there waiting for them. As the battery is the most expensive component of a BEV that cost will be passed on to the user in the form of significant fees.
The capital costs suggest a high degree of regimentation would maximize that ROI - knowing where rigs will be at any given hour, knowing route schedules to the point that a hotswap makes sense mid-route or end of day swapping in another driver.I could see battery swaps at operator-owned facilities, eg pepsi plants.
Those don't need to be expensive/low(er) cycle-life li-ion either - LFP or one of the many flavours of flow batteries. Could even be a service that grid-scale peaking/load-following battery banks offer.Otherwise, seems cheaper to just have stationary batteries buffering the grid draw at a truck stop where various trucks come by and plug in for half an hour each.
Yes, states must submit plans with specific requirements to get the funds. https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/12744I am just noticing that Mississippi got nothing. I drove up to Jackson a few weeks ago and the charging options were very few.
Does the state have to apply with a project plan to get something?
This is FUD. NEVI maintenance funding is via reimbursements.Builders will already have their money and can declare bankruptcy to get out of that requirement. Or they just use a different legal entity for construction that they promptly close upon completion. It isn't like the US gov't has a great track record of going after wasteful spending.
If Chargepoint could fix ONE issue in 1.5 weeks it would be a serious improvement.97% up time means that it can be out for about 1.5 weeks a year, which seems mediocre at best...
They've fixed "down" issues in my city within 2 weeks normally... other issues like not linking online, or etc is a bit longer...If Chargepoint could fix ONE issue in 1.5 weeks it would be a serious improvement.
Collectively only having 9 days of downtime allowed per calendar year is a significant upside to the current situation
To be sure, China's one party government and party-state capitalism allows it to be much more decisive and ambitious it it's national plans - for better (China's HSR rail system has done a great job are replacing regional air travel) or for worse (China's "encouragement" of real estate development lead to lots of corruptions/embezzlement with "tofu concrete" buildings and as well as ghost cities). Still personally, I think investing in infrastructure almost never a bad idea ("the bridge to nowhere" is the exception to the rule)... even with the missteps and false starts, I think China has done a superior job compared to the US (with the two-party system in the US and more state independence, it takes us time to move, especially if there is "disagreement" among people at the lower levels of government, which is basically not allowed in China for better or worse.China, approximately the same geographical area as the USA, has more than 2million chargers (most Level 2 but DC fast chargers gaining momentum). Consequently, EV sales passed 30% last year and closing in on 50% now, while EV sales in USA & most of EU are tanking.
It's hard to say what the needed number of L2 chargers is.. one big difference between the US and China is that 65% of households in the US live in single family homes, a majority of them (like 80%) are owned and a majority of those (over 90%) have a garage/carport. On the flipside only 9% of US households that drive to work live in apartment buildings of over 9 units. That's compared to the 25% of single family homes in China. I couldn't find a stat on the percentage of apartment dwellers in China (particular ones that owned and drove cars) do you have a link? The number of DC chargers that China has is impressive though and I hope US will catch up (as seen by this article, we are trying to).A plan to have 500,000 by 2030 is not going to start the revolution needed to meet US electrification and clean energy goals. Get with the program.