Scotttheking kicked this off last year. Not seeing it yet so figured lets get the party started.
So, 2024 happened, you can look up your previous posts below. How did your 2024 come out and thoughts on your 2025?
Past threads:
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2023
2024
Not a formatting whiz at Ars so hopefully the 2023 review and 2024 forecast at the bottom there worked out ok. I was uh, wrong about about 2024 - I called for 5% but ended up -1.2%. The vast bulk of that was mark to market on fixed income lower on higher rates and gbp outperforming euros, the stocks were pretty flat'ish. Not a great year but not fussed.....wouldn't have minded some of that 20% up US stock action but that isn't what we tend to hold due to taxation issues.
2025, hoooo boy, uh, my hunch is the trump shitshow is going to be inflationary and rates on the longer end (regardless of what the fed does on the fed funds rate which is all they can directly control) will trend higher so I am looking at another year of bond/dividend income with mark to market temporary 'loses' on existing bond holdings. I project 0%. My other hunch, gold goes and hits 3500 if not approaching 4000.
Buckle up people.
What say ye?
So, 2024 happened, you can look up your previous posts below. How did your 2024 come out and thoughts on your 2025?
Past threads:
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2023
2024
Not a formatting whiz at Ars so hopefully the 2023 review and 2024 forecast at the bottom there worked out ok. I was uh, wrong about about 2024 - I called for 5% but ended up -1.2%. The vast bulk of that was mark to market on fixed income lower on higher rates and gbp outperforming euros, the stocks were pretty flat'ish. Not a great year but not fussed.....wouldn't have minded some of that 20% up US stock action but that isn't what we tend to hold due to taxation issues.
2025, hoooo boy, uh, my hunch is the trump shitshow is going to be inflationary and rates on the longer end (regardless of what the fed does on the fed funds rate which is all they can directly control) will trend higher so I am looking at another year of bond/dividend income with mark to market temporary 'loses' on existing bond holdings. I project 0%. My other hunch, gold goes and hits 3500 if not approaching 4000.
Buckle up people.
What say ye?
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