Great news to hear that they've appointed a grown up, especially as it seems to have wound up many of the top comment posters. Given the scientific illiteracy of much of the scientific establishment it's no wonder the world is full of people who've failed Maths and believe that a natural phenomena can grow exponentially. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1lyggPhWOM
Holy shit.
" believe that a natural phenomena can grow exponentially. "
How. Just how? Are you that dumb?
well you know there is always some natural limit that stops exponential growth therefore exponential growth never really happened, this idiot, probably
The only time I've ever seen exponential growth as a solution to an equation is when someone has simplified a term. In epidemiology this typically means assuming a constant reproduction rate. For a nuclear chain reaction it means that setting off an atom bomb results in the whole universe blowing up and this discussion forum thus being some form of quantum fluctuation in the resulting soup?
Alternatively just don't believe a solution that goes to infinity when resources are finite actually solves the problem.
You do realize that for virus spread to not be exponential a person would have to come into contact with only 1 other person ever?
Lazy thinking. Assuming people meet at random then the probability of an infected person meeting another person who isn't infected or immune is monotonically decreasing. This has been incorporated into Mathematical models since at least 1927 with the natural result that an epidemic dies out before everyone gets infected because of herd immunity.
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