"Your company has issued a number of misleading statements," NHTSA wrote to Musk.
Read the whole story
Read the whole story
Of course, if Tesla wants to say "the Model 3 is safer than any other car period", if they can remotely justify that statement, then whatever. Get out your bullhorn, Elon. It's only Tesla's name at stake.What NHTSA did is use their model to say "based on the Model 3's results on this test, compared to other vehicles' results on this test we calculate a lower chance of injury." Tesla took that ball and ran it all the way over to "the Model 3 is safer than any other car period." And NHTSA's responding "that's not what we said."
If it's a head on collision there are more factors to account for, like the speed/kinetic energy of the other vehicle. I guess I'm just thinking of a more directly comparable situation, like hitting a wall vs hitting a stationary vehicle. In that case, I'd tend to think the wall is worse.I think a fixed object is identical to a vehicle of equal weight moving at equal speed in the other direction. It seems like this must be so for reasons of symmetry. A heavier vehicle is worse than a fixed object -- rather than arresting you completely, you're going to be thrown backward.But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Not that I disagree that this is probably misapplying the statistics, but that's a standard marketing tactic.
Unless it's a Wednesday afternoon and I can't brain good.
NHTSA seems to be taking the position of "if you're going to play marketing-speak with the facts, don't attach our name to it".
It would certainly be worse if Tesla's claims were factually incorrect, but their being factually correct does not absolve them of using sneaky language to play on the public's good faith in a third party.
It is a fact that the Tesla Model 3 is significantly safer than other cars of similar size and weight. IMO, Tesla is fully within its rights to highlight that fact using publicly available NHTSA data.
Only allowing Tesla to advertise "5 stars", when it's vehicles are actually far safer than competing "5 star" rated vehicles, largely defeats the point of the NHTSA tests - to encourage auto makers to improve their vehicle's safety. Why spend time and money to exceed a 5 star safety rating if you're not allowed to tell anyone about it?
But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Probably because if NHTSA thought there was a meaningful difference they would issue a 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, or 10th star rating values for their tests that exceed the minimums for a 5 star rating.It is a fact that the Tesla Model 3 is significantly safer than other cars of similar size and weight. IMO, Tesla is fully within its rights to highlight that fact using publicly available NHTSA data.
Only allowing Tesla to advertise "5 stars", when it's vehicles are actually far safer than competing "5 star" rated vehicles, largely defeats the point of the NHTSA tests - to encourage auto makers to improve their vehicle's safety. Why spend time and money to exceed a 5 star safety rating if you're not allowed to tell anyone about it?
It seems likely that the whole thing was a gambit. Tesla needed the cash at the time. Musk was hoping that by the time someone calls him on his FSD lies Tesla will have grown enough the payout won’t matter. And if it hadn’t, then the lawsuit wouldn’t matter because the company would be dead or dying anyways. Of course lying to customers is still fraud, but Musk doesn’t let little things like morality get in the way of his plans and rich white people seldom get jail time for fraud so there’s no reason not to do it. He has no qualms about deliberate stock manipulation, for a similar example.That's the thing. The hardware is supposed to be 100% complete, and customers are just waiting for this mythical OTA software upgrade so they can sleep, read a book, or eat, during their commute.Misleading statements is their entire marketing plan. See: Selling "full self driving".
What's missleading there?
they can't currently self drive, and they've not shown that the hardware they're selling is indeed capable of full self driving.
It just isn't going to happen people.
I think there will be a lawsuit, and then all these Teslas will be recalled and brought back to retrofit with sensors that would work. And of course that will be years from now.
probably cheaper just to offer a partial refund of the price paid for the package.
This is a case where both sides are right.
(and where I'll be downvoted by readers who do fall on a particular side)
This is a case where both sides are right.
(and where I'll be downvoted by readers who do fall on a particular side)
I like how in the moment you have exactly as many up votes as down votes.
Congrats on reaching nirvana.
Based on the advanced architecture of Model S and Model X, which were previously found by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to have the lowest and second lowest probabilities of injury of all cars ever tested, we engineered Model 3 to be the safest car ever built.
This is a case where both sides are right.
(and where I'll be downvoted by readers who do fall on a particular side)
I like how in the moment you have exactly as many up votes as down votes.
Congrats on reaching nirvana.
It was slightly imbalanced when I saw it, and added my attempt to balance it. Glad others helped out.
But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
No. This is demonstrated very clearly in a series of crash tests that IIHS conducted a few years ago. I wrote about them in this piece which Tim also linked in the article, but this video is probably a much better explanation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnLrgIBa2Pg
So at least in part, the test just isn't a good indicator of real world conditions like Tesla is implying.The program came about in 1995 after researchers noticed that most frontal collisions were offset—unlike the National Highway Safety Administration's New Car Assessment Program (NCAP) 35mph (56km/h) frontal impact test. [...] But because the force is equally distributed across the width of the vehicle, it is a less demanding test of how well a car's structure absorbs or redirects energy away from the humans inside.
You can’t brain good.I think a fixed object is identical to a vehicle of equal weight moving at equal speed in the other direction. It seems like this must be so for reasons of symmetry. A heavier vehicle is worse than a fixed object -- rather than arresting you completely, you're going to be thrown backward.But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Not that I disagree that this is probably misapplying the statistics, but that's a standard marketing tactic.
Unless it's a Wednesday afternoon and I can't brain good.
Another identical weight car has crumple zones to soften the impact. A “fixed object” is usually a concrete wall or similar.
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
You can’t brain good.I think a fixed object is identical to a vehicle of equal weight moving at equal speed in the other direction. It seems like this must be so for reasons of symmetry. A heavier vehicle is worse than a fixed object -- rather than arresting you completely, you're going to be thrown backward.But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Not that I disagree that this is probably misapplying the statistics, but that's a standard marketing tactic.
Unless it's a Wednesday afternoon and I can't brain good.
Another identical weight car has crumple zones to soften the impact. A “fixed object” is usually a concrete wall or similar.
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
Don't forget that it also factors into the velocity of the other car, even if the weight is identical, if the other car has a much higher velocity it will be transferring much more energy than a stationary equal weight object.
This is a case where both sides are right.
(and where I'll be downvoted by readers who do fall on a particular side)
It's called marketing. The whole point is to lie, keep lying, and double down on the lies.
Probably because if NHTSA thought there was a meaningful difference they would issue a 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, or 10th star rating values for their tests that exceed the minimums for a 5 star rating.It is a fact that the Tesla Model 3 is significantly safer than other cars of similar size and weight. IMO, Tesla is fully within its rights to highlight that fact using publicly available NHTSA data.
Only allowing Tesla to advertise "5 stars", when it's vehicles are actually far safer than competing "5 star" rated vehicles, largely defeats the point of the NHTSA tests - to encourage auto makers to improve their vehicle's safety. Why spend time and money to exceed a 5 star safety rating if you're not allowed to tell anyone about it?
Not to mention the fact that you can't compare vehicles in different weight classes.
None of the FSD payments have been realized on teslas books, which means they cant use them or call it profit or whatever, close to $2bn from memory.
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
None of the FSD payments have been realized on teslas books, which means they cant use them or call it profit or whatever, close to $2bn from memory.
So you’re claiming that if you buy a Tesla car and get the FSD option, they set the money you paid for the option aside and don’t count it as income?
Interesting take...
In the totally unrealistic scenario of Car A crashing into Car B, where A and B are perfectly aligned with each other, of identical type, with identical weights aboard, at identical and opposite speeds, the crash is in fact the same as crashing into an infinitely rigid immovable object.You can’t brain good.I think a fixed object is identical to a vehicle of equal weight moving at equal speed in the other direction. It seems like this must be so for reasons of symmetry. A heavier vehicle is worse than a fixed object -- rather than arresting you completely, you're going to be thrown backward.But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Not that I disagree that this is probably misapplying the statistics, but that's a standard marketing tactic.
Unless it's a Wednesday afternoon and I can't brain good.
Another identical weight car has crumple zones to soften the impact. A “fixed object” is usually a concrete wall or similar.
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
None of the FSD payments have been realized on teslas books, which means they cant use them or call it profit or whatever, close to $2bn from memory.
So you’re claiming that if you buy a Tesla car and get the FSD option, they set the money you paid for the option aside and don’t count it as income?
Interesting take...
That would indeed be the generally accepting accounting principle here. Same as when you, say, buy a gift card; the money does not get recognized until you redeem it. Until that point, it is essentially a loan.
But he is still wrong. Tesla can in fact use that money in many different ways, even when it is not recognized as a profit.
Btw there is an article on this on Teslarati
I'm ignoring all the opinions on that site
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-3 ... deep-dive/
They have actually posted the letter & the response.
Ars should have posted both of them to make it an objective article
NHSTA Letter
https://www.scribd.com/document/4210684 ... from_embed
Tesla's Response
https://www.scribd.com/document/4210684 ... from_embed
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
Airbags deploying doesn't have all that much to do with crumple zones, actually. They deploy based on sensors, I believe in the front bumper, outside the crumple zones.
But, yes, I've also had friends in serious accidents where the airbag didn't deploy. And other friends whose airbag deployed with a minor fender bender.
Exactly why, I'm not sure.
Btw there is an article on this on Teslarati
I'm ignoring all the opinions on that site
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-3 ... deep-dive/
They have actually posted the letter & the response.
Ars should have posted both of them to make it an objective article
NHSTA Letter
https://www.scribd.com/document/4210684 ... from_embed
Tesla's Response
https://www.scribd.com/document/4210684 ... from_embed
1) quoting Teslarati as an independent, unbiased source of information is problematic, at least.
2) if you are going to say "Tesla Model 3 has the lowest probability of injury of all the cars ever tested" (the exact line stated from the Teslarati post), then to the lay public, it means "the Tesla Model 3 is the safest car out there".
And yet that is clearly not the case. Unless you're saying that NHTSA never tested a 2014 BMW 535i/xi... because per the IIHS, it had scored a zero fatality rate through 2018. Not something a Model 3 can claim.
None of the FSD payments have been realized on teslas books, which means they cant use them or call it profit or whatever, close to $2bn from memory.
So you’re claiming that if you buy a Tesla car and get the FSD option, they set the money you paid for the option aside and don’t count it as income?
Interesting take...
That would indeed be the generally accepting accounting principle here. Same as when you, say, buy a gift card; the money does not get recognized until you redeem it. Until that point, it is essentially a loan.
But he is still wrong. Tesla can in fact use that money in many different ways, even when it is not recognized as a profit.
So its R&D ? until it's realized ?
Take for example the jaguar i-pace or I forget which non tesla ev, that is supposed to get an update to enable faster charging at "a future date"
Well you've bought the car now, so does the company not realize a fraction of the sale until a future date ?
As part of its evaluation process, the NHTSA calculates a number called a vehicle safety score, which the agency has characterized as “relative risk of injury." The agency then awards each vehicle a star rating based on VSS ranges.
Tesla noticed that the Model 3 had a better VSS score than any other vehicle on the market. That, in Tesla's view, means that a Model 3 driver is less likely to be injured in a crash than a driver of any other vehicle.
This sort of thinking led to the oft-mocked 100-point video game review scores and the like.of yesteryear. As if the subjective reviewer could really draw a meaningful distinction between, say, a 93-point score and a 92-point score.Tesla noticed that the Model 3 had a better VSS score than any other vehicle on the market. That, in Tesla's view, means that a Model 3 driver is less likely to be injured in a crash than a driver of any other vehicle.
So would I. If NHTSA thinks the VSS isn't sufficient for such comparisons then the solution isn't to hammer Tesla's use. NHTSA needs to fix VSS then publish the scores.
The weight thing is a red herring. Even if Tesla made all the technically-correct qualifications on their statement (according to NHTSA test data, within its weight class, etc.) they'd have still been in violation of NHTSA guidelines, which only allow automakers to use the star rating and specific other claims in their marketing materials. If consumers want to look up VSS scores in order to inform their purchasing decisions, the data is publically available, but it's not supposed to be used in advertisements or spec sheets.
You don't understand accounting. Pre-payments for future goods are not counted as revenue until the goods are delivered. They are classified as an asset with the corresponding liability of the value of the good to be delivered, so they are net neutral from a profit / loss perspective. However, the company still has the cash and can use it for anything they so desire and the money inflow still counts as part of their cashflow. There is no legal need to set the money aside until delivery and nobody does that.None of the FSD payments have been realized on teslas books, which means they cant use them or call it profit or whatever, close to $2bn from memory.
In the totally unrealistic scenario of Car A crashing into Car B, where A and B are perfectly aligned with each other, of identical type, with identical weights aboard, at identical and opposite speeds, the crash is in fact the same as crashing into an infinitely rigid immovable object.You can’t brain good.I think a fixed object is identical to a vehicle of equal weight moving at equal speed in the other direction. It seems like this must be so for reasons of symmetry. A heavier vehicle is worse than a fixed object -- rather than arresting you completely, you're going to be thrown backward.But wouldn't a fixed object be roughly equivalent to a very heavy object, in terms of how the collision works? Or even potentially worse? I'm not sure I understand this argument.But the NHTSA argues that this is statistical malpractice because it doesn't take into account vehicle weight. In a vehicle-to-vehicle crash, the occupant of the heavier vehicle is less likely to be injured. The NHTSA's tests, which involve crashing a car into fixed objects, don't necessarily account for this difference.
Not that I disagree that this is probably misapplying the statistics, but that's a standard marketing tactic.
Unless it's a Wednesday afternoon and I can't brain good.
Another identical weight car has crumple zones to soften the impact. A “fixed object” is usually a concrete wall or similar.
A friend of mine was recently in a head on collision at pretty decent speeds and the airbags didn’t even deploy - that’s how good crumple zones are these days (both cars were a mangled mess). And no there were no neck injuries.
Intuitively, we know that in this idealized example that no part of either Car A or Car B will cross the plane of impact. They can't, because each bit of A will crash into its corresponding bit of B, which has identical and opposite momentum and mass. Every bit of Car A can interact only with other parts of Car A, or with the corresponding part of Car B at the plane of impact, where both must stop dead.
It's impossible in practice to engineer such a perfect collision, but if you could, it would be identical to crashing into a rigid and immovable barrier.