I’ve seen the future, and it’s a tad bit scary. Here’s what in the works: networking analysis technology that "knows" what kind of content is being passed on a network, and can act appropriately. Perhaps it will block the traffic. Or, maybe you’ll be charged for it. The future, in some places, is now.
Voice-over-IP, be it in the form of PC-based Skype or home service such as Vonage, is becoming massively popular. And why not? While many have already ditched land-lines because of cell phones, there’s still no shortage of people who would like to see their phone bill either sliced in half, or eliminated all-together. This has traditional phone companies running scared, and not a few of them are hoping to stave off the defection of customers by luring them in with DSL packages laced with their own VoIP offerings.
But what happens when the telecos have broad powers over their networks? In the past, it wasn’t possible for them to do much about VoIP.
Enter Narus. The San Francisco Bay company has been working hard for the past several years at developing innovative network analysis technology, long before anyone really foresaw the popularity of VoIP in 2005. However, their software is being used in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and even Germany to block VoIP calls from traditional phone networks. Some countries and phone service providers don’t like being left out of the fiscal loop, as it were.
Could it happen in the US? Yes and no. The US already has laws on the books that would make it illegal for a carrier to block traffic from a competitor, but don’t worry, Narus’ president of marketing Jay Thomas has it all figured out. Prepare to be incensed.
"But there’s nothing that keeps a carrier in the United States from introducing jitter, so the quality of the conversation isn’t good," Thomas says. "So the user will either pay for the carrier’s voice-over-Internet application, which brings revenue to the carrier, or pay the carrier for a premium service that allows Skype use to continue. You can deteriorate the service, introduce latency [audible delays in hearing the other end of the line], and also offer a premium to improve it."
This Balkanization of the Internet by competitors cannot be tolerated. "Network Neutrality," the view that networks should not discriminate against devices or services as a principle, is going to become a rallying call in the next several years. Barbara van Schewick has written a great paper on the topic (PDF). I recommend looking it over before declaring this to be a non-issue.
